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Eredivisie · Matchweek 23

Momentum

ExcelsiorAZ
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Leeroy Echteld
Position
12 · 7
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Erwin Blank

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
-1.2° (feels -3.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 273

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  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

DDDDW 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.27–7.11 · xPts 5.47

  • W A NAC Breda 2–0 xG 1.12–1.58 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 2–2 xG 0.55–0.8 NLD E
  • D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.84–1.62 NLD E
  • D A AZ Alkmaar 1–1 xG 1.06–1.52 NLD E
  • D H Telstar 2–2 xG 1.71–1.59 NLD E

AZ

LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.68–5.64 · xPts 7.59

  • D H Ajax 1–1 xG 1.21–1.31 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 1–3 xG 1.06–1.43 NLD E
  • W A Telstar 1–0 xG 1.33–0.79 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 1–1 xG 1.52–1.06 NLD E
  • L A PEC Zwolle 1–3 xG 1.56–1.06 NLD E

All meetings · 24 matches since 2006

Excelsior 59 draws10 AZ

Goals 30–50 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Excelsior 32 draws5 AZ

Goals 13–20 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Excelsior 02 draws3 AZ

Goals 3–13 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 4–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 0–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 34Excelsior at home · 17AZ all · 34AZ away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.061.531.24
W / D / L10 / 8 / 165 / 3 / 914 / 10 / 106 / 3 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.181.711.12
Goals against / match1.651.291.501.47
Clean sheets18%24%26%29%
Failed to score21%24%12%24%
Both teams scored65%53%65%53%
Over 2.562%53%65%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.401.871.74
xG against / match1.721.581.361.51
xG difference-0.29-0.180.510.23
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.22-0.16-0.62
xPts / match1.201.281.671.53
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.22-0.14-0.29
Game state
Scored first44%53%62%41%
PPG when scoring first1.801.672.192.29
PPG when conceding first0.560.380.420.44
Came back from behind33%25%38%20%
Leads held62%56%56%60%
Minutes leading24%26%34%16%
Minutes level46%49%44%56%
Minutes trailing30%25%21%27%
First goal (min)39373548
First goal conceded (min)41454032
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%50%45%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%53%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.290.380.29
Late goals against0.260.290.380.35
Style
Possession48%49%53%54%
Shots12.412.815.815.4
On target4.24.35.95.5
Shot conversion10%9%11%7%
Shots inside box66%66%66%60%
Big chances created2.63.13.12.8
Corners4.14.25.85.6
xG from set plays29%30%27%29%
Goals from headers22%22%9%10%
Pressure index7.99.314.813.6
Dominant minutes38.742.253.650.6
Pass accuracy77%78%82%82%
Fouls12.311.410.211.1
Cards1.351.531.912.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

AZ

0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

AZ · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

AZ

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.381.761.761.921.35
4-3-39 26%1.781.671.221.961.25
3-4-32 6%2.01.00.01.581.19
5-3-21 3%3.03.01.01.091.04
5-4-11 3%0.01.02.01.423.06

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 32%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.35Away 40% P 42%

Double Chance

1.66Excelsior or Draw 28% P 29%1.28Excelsior or AZ 37% P 36%1.36Draw or AZ 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 58%2.2No 42% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 53%2.05Under 46% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw27%28%24%-4.2
Away42%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Erwin Blank

Career
61 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.48 (3.41 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 45 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.493.32+0.2759
Fouls / match22.520.3+1.03
Fouls per card6.86.2+0.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6914
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
40' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 40 250 28'14
2026-01-17 40 280 8'8
2025-12-07 · AZ 30 160 42'5
2025-11-22 20 200 39'5
2025-10-25 10 230 69'10
2025-09-20 40 190 47'7
2025-08-31 50 241 39'14
2025-08-10 30 260 46'3
2025-05-14 14 5
2025-04-13 40 310 18'2