Eredivisie · Matchweek 23
Momentum
– HEANAC Breda –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Heracles Almelo | at home | Stat | league | away | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.0 #10 |
| 11.1 #16 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.1 #10 |
| 3.6 #17 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| 4.5 #14 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.8 #5 |
| 13.5 #1 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.8 #10 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #9 |
| 15.8 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.2 #12 |
| 85.3 #16 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 97.7 #10 |
| 36.8 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 45.6 #8 |
| 346.1 #18 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 395.1 #13 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.7 #18 |
| – #16 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #17 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #4 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #14 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #16 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 #16 |
| 2.5 #1 | 2.1 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 #5 |
| 0.2 #16 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 8.2 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.1 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 2.2 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 7.3 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.6 #10 |
| 5.2 #9 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| 3.7 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.5 #4 |
| – #18 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Absences
Heracles Almelo
- injury Jeff Reine-Adélaïde midfielder · Knee Surgery · 32 missed · until 2026-04-25
- injury Lequincio Zeefuik attacker · Unknown Injury · 62 missed
- injury Sem Scheperman midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 21 missed · until 2026-02-27
- injury Yvandro Borges Sanches attacker · Outer Ligament Problems · 58 missed
NAC Breda
- injury Fredrik Oldrup Jensen midfielder · Knee Injury · 12 missed · until 2026-02-26
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 23
Venue
- Stadium
- Asito Stadion, Almelo
- Capacity
- 13,500
- Surface
- artificial turf
Teams
- Coaches
- Ernest Faber · Carl Hoefkens
- Position
- 17 · 18
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- -1.3° (feels -4.8°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 79%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Heracles Almelo
LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 13 · xG 7.02–8.95 · xPts 5.9
- L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.15–2.27
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.19–0.65
NLD E
- L
A
Feyenoord
2–4
xG 1.85–1.48
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
0–2
xG 1.26–2.45
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
xG 0.57–2.1
NLD E
WDDLLLLLWL 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 14 GA 24 · xG 16.43–17.8 · xPts 13.04
- L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.15–2.27
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.19–0.65
NLD E
- L
A
Feyenoord
2–4
xG 1.85–1.48
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
0–2
xG 1.26–2.45
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
xG 0.57–2.1
NLD E
- L
H
SC Heerenveen
0–3
xG 0.72–2.0
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
3–4
xG 2.33–3.86
NLD E
- D
H
Telstar
1–1
xG 2.06–0.83
NLD E
- D
A
Fortuna Sittard
1–1
xG 0.9–1.66
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
4–2
xG 3.39–0.5
NLD E
NAC Breda
DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 6.09–7.58 · xPts 5.9
- L
H
Excelsior
0–2
xG 1.58–1.12
NLD E
- D
H
FC Twente
2–2
xG 1.39–2.12
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 1.17–1.64
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
LLLDLDLDDL 0W 4D 6L · 4 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 15 · xG 13.25–13.58 · xPts 13.63
- L
H
Excelsior
0–2
xG 1.58–1.12
NLD E
- D
H
FC Twente
2–2
xG 1.39–2.12
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 1.17–1.64
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
3–4
xG 0.97–1.11
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
0–0
xG 0.98–1.59
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
0–1
xG 0.92–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.25–0.75
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
xG 2.09–1.79
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
0–1
xG 1.64–1.03
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
0–1
xG 1.28–0.72
NLD E
All meetings · 28 matches since 2005
Goals 49–38 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 68%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%
Recent meetings
- L Heracles Almelo 0–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 2–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- D NAC Breda 1–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 2–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 1–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 2–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 6–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 2–1 NAC Breda neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 1–3 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 6–1 NAC Breda neutral NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 34 | Heracles Almelo at home · 17 | NAC Breda all · 34 | NAC Breda away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.56 | 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 25 | 4 / 3 / 10 | 6 / 11 / 17 | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.03 | 1.35 | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | 2.12 | 1.71 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 6% | 12% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 47% | 41% | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 53% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 65% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.98 | 1.76 | 1.48 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | -0.71 | -0.27 | -0.17 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.14 | -0.28 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.43 | -0.33 | -0.45 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 29% | 26% | 18% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.25 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 23% | 32% | 33% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 43% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 12% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 51% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 46% | 34% | 37% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 34 | 48 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | 34 | 35 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 48% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 46% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.5 | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 61% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 41% | 39% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 13% | 23% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 8.2 | 10.9 | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.6 | 44.3 | 44.3 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 13.5 | 12.6 | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.24 | 1.47 | 1.88 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'310
16–30'911
31–45'617
46–60'715
61–75'413
76–90'619
NAC Breda
0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 0.12 | 0.53 | 2.94 | 1.03 | 2.29 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 26% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.15 | 2.51 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 53% | 0.78 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 10 | Heracles Almelo at home · 10 | NAC Breda all · 10 | NAC Breda away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 8 | 1 / 2 / 7 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.40 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.03 | 1.17 | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 2.10 | 1.77 | 1.51 | 1.66 |
| xG difference | -1.07 | -0.59 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.63 | -0.67 | -0.24 | -0.41 |
| xPts / match | 0.85 | 1.05 | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.65 | -0.55 | -0.53 | -0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 38% | 38% |
| Leads held | 0% | 50% | 33% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 5% | 10% | 7% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 52% | 51% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 51% | 38% | 42% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 36 | 55 | 69 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 38 | 33 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 25% | 20% | 60% | 75% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 56% | 46% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 47% | 49% | 46% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.1 | 15.4 | 14.1 |
| On target | 2.9 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 65% | 55% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 5.0 | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 40% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 40% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | 10.3 | 13.7 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.5 | 44.0 | 47.6 | 40.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 77% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.3 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'04
16–30'33
31–45'04
46–60'06
61–75'04
76–90'12
NAC Breda
0–15'03
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'02
61–75'41
76–90'27
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.11 | 0.33 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.21 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.28 | 2.26 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.44 | 1.45 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.78 |
| Metric | Heracles Almelo all · 29 | Heracles Almelo at home · 15 | NAC Breda all · 29 | NAC Breda away · 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 29 | 15 | 29 | 14 |
| Points per game | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 20 | 4 / 3 / 8 | 5 / 10 / 14 | 1 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.40 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals against / match | 2.38 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 13% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 45% | 47% | 38% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 47% | 48% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 60% | 48% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.87 | 1.57 | 1.35 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -0.53 | -0.07 | -0.02 | -0.32 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.10 | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.42 | -0.31 | -0.51 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 24% | 27% | 24% | 14% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.43 | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 27% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 56% | 80% | 42% | 20% |
| Minutes leading | 13% | 19% | 9% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 46% | 54% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 35% | 37% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 39 | 52 | 56 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 35 | 32 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 61% | 69% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 45% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 50% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 14.5 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 69% | 61% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 44% | 36% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 10% | 26% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 9.0 | 11.8 | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.4 | 46.1 | 48.3 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 12.9 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.31 | 1.40 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Heracles Almelo
0–15'28
16–30'810
31–45'613
46–60'715
61–75'410
76–90'613
NAC Breda
0–15'06
16–30'310
31–45'911
46–60'56
61–75'54
76–90'912
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Heracles Almelo · 29 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1429
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229
Late push (76+, level)-0.429
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615
Game state
When ahead+0.209
When level-0.1729
When behind-0.2025
10 min after conceding-0.2727
10 min after scoring+0.1516
Situations
With ten men+0.822
Against ten men+0.074
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1614
4+ days rest-0.1429
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.448
v mid-tier opponents+0.147
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910
Evenly matched-0.039
As underdog-0.2020
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3429
Conceded when ahead-0.069
Conceded late (76+)+0.3421
Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03
NAC Breda · 29 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1729
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229
Late push (76+, level)+0.0617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816
Game state
When ahead-0.0811
When level+0.1529
When behind+0.2821
10 min after conceding-0.2223
10 min after scoring+0.5917
Situations
With ten men+0.275
At home+0.2115
Away+0.1314
4+ days rest+0.1729
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.117
v mid-tier opponents+0.179
v bottom-tier opponents+0.169
As favourite+0.425
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog+0.0811
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0229
Conceded when ahead+0.2311
Conceded late (76+)-0.1128
Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.15 | 0.62 | 2.77 | 1.09 | 2.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 31% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.09 | 2.13 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 17% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 14% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 33%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.45Away 39% P 38%
Double Chance
1.53Heracles or Draw 31% P 31%1.3Heracles or NAC 36% P 36%1.4Draw or NAC 33% P 33%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 55%2.0No 47% P 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 38% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Danny Desmond Makkelie
- Career
- 495 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.32 | 3.32 | -0.09 | 36 |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 20.3 | +0.23 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 6.2 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.24 | 0.24 | +0.15 | 59 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.82 | 9 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.09
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 9 |
| 2026-02-08 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 55' | 5 |
| 2026-01-21 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 22' | 5 |
| 2026-01-18 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17' | 4 |
| 2025-12-13 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 28' | 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 50' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 · Heracles Almelo | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2025-11-25 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 39' | 7 |
| 2025-11-09 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 85' | 5 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 79' | 4 |