Rating 7.22 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 0.73 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 24
Momentum
– FORExcelsior –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Fortuna Sittard | at home | Stat | league | away | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.6 #11 |
| 12.7 #13 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 12.4 #14 |
| 4.4 #12 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 4.3 #15 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.1 #16 |
| 12.3 #2 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 1.5 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #17 |
| 17.7 #2 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 14.1 #17 |
| 91.1 #13 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 98.8 #8 |
| 36.6 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 41.1 #13 |
| 363.2 #15 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 404.5 #10 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #18 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 1.1 #10 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #16 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #7 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #11 |
| 1.4 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #11 |
| 0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #12 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #8 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #14 |
| 1.9 #3 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 10.7 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.1 #6 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 3.4 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.4 #13 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.2 #13 |
| 4.8 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.9 #12 |
| 4.8 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Fortuna Sittard · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.79 (44th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.11 ppg with (28) · 1.33 without (6)
Rating 6.77 (36th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
Excelsior · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.99 (74th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (16% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.9 (72th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (5% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.12 (93th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (2% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Absences
Fortuna Sittard
- injury Daley Sinkgraven defender · Knee Injury · 56 missed
- injury Justin Lonwijk midfielder · Unknown Injury · 17 missed · until 2026-06-19
- injury Luka Tunjic midfielder · Ill · 9 missed · until 2026-02-27
- injury Mattijs Branderhorst #4 key player goalkeeper · Unknown Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-04-26
- injury Ramazan Bayram goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 56 missed
Excelsior
- injury H. Akujobi defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 23 missed · until 2025-06-30
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 24
Venue
- Stadium
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
- Capacity
- 12,500
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Danny Buijs · Ruben den Uil
- Position
- 11 · 12
- Formation
- 5-3-2 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Martin van den Kerkhof
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 7.5° (feels 3.3°)
- Wind
- 8.2
- Humidity
- 88%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Fortuna Sittard
LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 4.32–10.09 · xPts 3.44
- L
A
Ajax
1–4
xG 1.23–1.42
NLD E
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–2
xG 1.2–2.09
NLD E
- L
A
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 0.65–2.19
NLD E
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 0.79–2.28
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.46–2.11
NLD E
DLLWDLWLDL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 21 · xG 13.12–18.44 · xPts 10.86
- L
A
Ajax
1–4
xG 1.23–1.42
NLD E
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–2
xG 1.2–2.09
NLD E
- L
A
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 0.65–2.19
NLD E
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 0.79–2.28
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.46–2.11
NLD E
- D
A
Go Ahead Eagles
2–2
xG 1.41–1.71
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
4–3
xG 2.03–3.27
NLD E
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
0–1
xG 1.35–1.16
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
1–3
xG 2.35–1.31
NLD E
- D
H
Heracles Almelo
1–1
xG 1.66–0.9
NLD E
Excelsior
DDDWL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.46–7.55 · xPts 4.69
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
1–2
xG 0.9–2.03
NLD E
- W
A
NAC Breda
2–0
xG 1.12–1.58
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
2–2
xG 0.55–0.8
NLD E
- D
A
FC Twente
0–0
xG 0.84–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
xG 1.06–1.52
NLD E
WLWLDDDDWL 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 12 GA 15 · xG 11.16–17.15 · xPts 10.01
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
1–2
xG 0.9–2.03
NLD E
- W
A
NAC Breda
2–0
xG 1.12–1.58
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
2–2
xG 0.55–0.8
NLD E
- D
A
FC Twente
0–0
xG 0.84–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
xG 1.06–1.52
NLD E
- D
H
Telstar
2–2
xG 1.71–1.59
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 0.6–2.22
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
2–1
xG 1.62–1.11
NLD E
- L
H
FC Groningen
0–2
xG 1.74–3.04
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
1–0
xG 1.03–1.64
NLD E
All meetings · 8 matches since 2018
Goals 15–11 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 8 matches
Goals 15–11 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 3–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 4–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 1–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 34 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 17 | Excelsior all · 34 | Excelsior away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.47 | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 4 / 6 | 10 / 8 / 16 | 5 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.44 | 1.65 | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.85 | 1.71 | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 18% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 0% | 21% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 82% | 65% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% | 62% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.76 | 1.57 | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| xG difference | -0.35 | 0.16 | -0.29 | -0.39 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.08 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | 1.47 | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 76% | 44% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Leads held | 55% | 50% | 62% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 39% | 24% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 41% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 19% | 30% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 39 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 46 | 41 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 51% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 69% | 61% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.5 | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 67% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 29% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 18% | 22% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 10.6 | 7.9 | 6.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.0 | 40.2 | 38.7 | 35.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 75% | 77% | 77% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.2 | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.29 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1011
16–30'511
31–45'109
46–60'88
61–75'69
76–90'1015
Excelsior
0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065
Situations
At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 2.31 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 1.35 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 1.97 | 1.47 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 10 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 10 | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.86 | 1.44 | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| xG against / match | 2.34 | 2.15 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -1.48 | -0.71 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.84 | 0.06 | 0.81 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 0.70 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.60 | -0.03 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.86 | 1.57 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 0% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 57% | 43% | 86% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 37% | 39% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 42% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 21% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 34 | 33 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 56 | 22 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 77% | 82% | 58% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | 42% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 10.2 | 11.7 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 13% | 18% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 69% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 2.4 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 22% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 7.3 | 9.0 | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 31.4 | 35.9 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 9.2 | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'40
16–30'33
31–45'22
46–60'33
61–75'36
76–90'28
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 3.59 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.35 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 35 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 18 | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 3 / 8 | 12 / 9 / 14 | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Goals against / match | 1.94 | 1.83 | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 17% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 6% | 14% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 78% | 69% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -0.62 | -0.37 | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.12 | 0.07 | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 72% | 46% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.84 | 1.85 | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 11% | 39% | 54% |
| Leads held | 57% | 54% | 67% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 39% | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 22% | 28% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 47 | 39 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 48% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 73% | 61% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 42% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 66% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 26% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 22% | 28% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 9.2 | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.1 | 37.4 | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.4 | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 2.06 | 1.94 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1111
16–30'710
31–45'108
46–60'910
61–75'810
76–90'719
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1835
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635
Late push (76+, level)-0.459
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218
Game state
When ahead-0.2121
When level-0.2035
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.3632
10 min after scoring-0.1030
Situations
With ten men-0.114
At home-0.1918
Away-0.1617
4+ days rest-0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents-0.299
v bottom-tier opponents-0.019
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched-0.1011
As underdog-0.2621
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3635
Conceded when ahead+0.3121
Conceded late (76+)+0.2034
Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 54% | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.03 | 2.25 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.34 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 11% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 1.47 | 2.2 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 27.9h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.2Home 34% P 43%3.5Draw 21% P 27%3.2Away 23% P 30%3.5Tie 21%
Double Chance
1.33Fortuna Sittard or Draw 22% P 35%1.28Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior 22% P 36%1.36Fortuna Sittard or Tie 21% P 36%1.61Tie or Excelsior 18% P 36%1.66Draw or Excelsior 17% P 29%
Draw No Bet
1.571 59%2.252 41%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 27% P 57%2.05No 23% P 43%2.1Não 22%1.66Sim 28%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 25% P 52%1.9Under 25% P 48%1.85Mais de 26%1.95Menos de 24%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 6%3.56 - 8 21%2.69 - 11 28%3.7512 - 14 20%8.0Over 14 9%7.0Mais de 14 11%13.0Menos de 6 6%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 43% | 44% | 43% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 30% | +2.4 |
| Away | 30% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%
Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57% | 56% | 57% | +1.1 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Martin van den Kerkhof
- Career
- 156 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.06 (2.87 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.3 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 74 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.78 | 3.32 | -1.23 | 14 |
| Fouls / match | 18.7 | 20.3 | -1.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 6.2 | +0.88 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.26 | 0.24 | +0.32 | 64 |
| Time added | 6.1 | 6.4 | -0.64 | 27 |
- First card
- 46' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | 7 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 24' | 8 |
| 2025-11-30 | – | – | 16 | – | – | 3 |
| 2025-11-01 · Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 32' | 10 |
| 2025-10-24 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 79' | 8 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 57' | 4 |
| 2025-09-19 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 25' | 3 |
| 2025-08-17 · Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 78' | 5 |