Go Ahead Eagles v Heracles Almelo

Eredivisie · Matchweek 24

Go Ahead EaglesGAE

4–0

Heracles AlmeloHEA

Momentum

– GAEHEA –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

Go Ahead Eagles	at home	Stat	league	away	Heracles Almelo
49.5 #9	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	44.7 #18
11.6 #15	–	Shots total	14.1	–	11.1 #16
5.1 #10	–	Shots on target	5.2	–	3.6 #17
5.4 #8	–	Corners	5.2	–	4.5 #14
9.2 #18	–	Fouls	10.9	–	13.5 #1
1.5 #6	–	Offsides	1.4	–	1.2 #12
11.9 #18	–	Tackles	16.2	–	15.8 #14
90.8 #14	–	Attacks	97.3	–	85.3 #16
44.4 #11	–	Dangerous attacks	46.1	–	36.8 #16
409.6 #9	–	Passes	419.2	–	346.1 #18
1.4 #13	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	2.0 #1
0.1 #4	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #4
1.1 #8	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.8 #17
– #13	–	Btts	62.8	–	– #16
– #5	–	Cleansheet	20.2	–	– #18
– #2	–	Draw	26.2	–	– #17
1.3 #15	–	Expected goals	1.6	–	1.3 #16
0.3 #3	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	-0.2 #15
– #8	–	Failed to score	20.3	–	– #1
1.6 #9	2.0	Goals	1.6	0.7	1.0 #16
1.6 #10	1.4	Goals conceded	1.6	2.9	2.5 #1
0.4 #1	–	Injury time goals	0.3	–	0.2 #16
7.7 #18	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	8.2 #13
– #10	–	Lost	37.0	–	– #1
0.1 #13	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.1 #9
6.8 #11	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #18
2.9 #16	–	Shots blocked	3.8	–	2.2 #18
8.2 #13	–	Shots insidebox	9.2	–	7.3 #16
3.6 #17	–	Shots off target	5.1	–	5.2 #9
3.4 #18	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	3.7 #16
– #15	–	Win	36.8	–	– #18

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 309 of 309
Goals / match: 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
Home / draw / away: 45% · 26% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 63% · 61%
Cards / match: 3.47 (reds 0.1)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 24

Venue

Stadium: De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity: 10,400
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Melvin Boel · Ernest Faber
Position: 15 · 18
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 12.1° (feels 11.6°)
Wind: 5.4
Humidity: 87%

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2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101	45	56	84	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	26	65	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	24	59	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	19	58	WDDWL
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	21	56	WWDLD
6	FC Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	13	53	WLWWW
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	7	52	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	4	51	LWWLD
9	FC Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	4	48	DLLWW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43	LLDLL
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39	DLLWL
12	Go Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	1	38	DDDLL
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38	DWWDW
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37	LWDWW
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37	DLWLL
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32	LWLDL
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29	DLLWD
18	Heracles Almelo	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	13	2	2	58	26	32	41	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	39	23	16	36	DWWDW
3	FC Utrecht	17	10	3	4	31	13	18	33	WLWWW
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	9	5	3	41	25	16	32	DDDLW
5	FC Twente	17	9	5	3	29	16	13	32	WDDWL
6	Ajax	17	9	4	4	32	17	15	31	WWDLD
7	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	7	2	39	26	13	31	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	17	8	6	3	33	24	9	30	LWWLD
9	PEC Zwolle	17	8	4	5	21	21	0	28	DLWLL
10	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	7	4	34	24	10	25	DDDLL
11	FC Groningen	17	7	4	6	27	18	9	25	DLLWW
12	Fortuna Sittard	17	7	4	6	28	29	-1	25	DLLWL
13	FC Volendam	17	6	5	6	24	23	1	23	LWLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	5	6	21	27	-6	23	LLDLL
15	Telstar	17	5	5	7	31	28	3	20	LWDWW
16	NAC Breda	17	5	5	7	20	23	-3	20	DLLWD
17	Excelsior	17	5	3	9	20	22	-2	18	DWWDW
18	Heracles Almelo	17	4	3	10	23	36	-13	15	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	14	1	2	43	19	24	43	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	8	5	4	31	21	10	29	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	17	7	6	4	36	28	8	27	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	17	6	8	3	30	24	6	26	WDDWL
5	Ajax	17	5	10	2	30	24	6	25	WWDLD
6	FC Groningen	17	7	2	8	22	27	-5	23	DLLWW
7	SC Heerenveen	17	6	3	8	24	29	-5	21	LWWLD
8	AZ Alkmaar	17	6	3	8	19	25	-6	21	WDDDD
9	FC Utrecht	17	5	5	7	24	29	-5	20	WLWWW
10	Excelsior	17	5	5	7	23	34	-11	20	DWWDW
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	19	35	-16	20	LLDLL
12	Telstar	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17	LWDWW
13	Fortuna Sittard	17	4	2	11	21	34	-13	14	DLLWL
14	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	7	8	20	29	-9	13	DDDLL
15	NAC Breda	17	1	6	10	15	35	-20	9	DLLWD
16	FC Volendam	17	2	3	12	11	32	-21	9	LWLDL
17	PEC Zwolle	17	1	6	10	23	50	-27	9	DLWLL
18	Heracles Almelo	17	1	1	15	12	49	-37	4	LLLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 6.05–9.3 · xPts 5.25

L A Feyenoord 0–1 xG 0.12–3.39 NLD E
L H SC Heerenveen 1–3 xG 1.38–2.2 NLD E
D H Telstar 1–1 xG 3.11–1.46 NLD E
D A FC Volendam 1–1 xG 1.11–1.71 NLD E
D H Sporting Braga 0–0 xG 0.34–0.53 UEFA EL

Heracles Almelo

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 12 · xG 8.0–8.17 · xPts 6.98

L H NAC Breda 0–1 xG 1.55–1.32 NLD E
L A NEC Nijmegen 1–4 xG 1.15–2.27 NLD E
W H Fortuna Sittard 2–1 xG 2.19–0.65 NLD E
L A Feyenoord 2–4 xG 1.85–1.48 NLD E
L H FC Twente 0–2 xG 1.26–2.45 NLD E

All meetings · 14 matches since 2013

Go Ahead Eagles 52 draws7 Heracles Almelo

Goals 27–26 · 3.79 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 41 draws5 Heracles Almelo

Goals 23–20 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 20 draws3 Heracles Almelo

Goals 12–11 · 4.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

W Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
L Heracles Almelo 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
L Heracles Almelo 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
W Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
L Heracles Almelo 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
W Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
D Heracles Almelo 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
W Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
L Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
L Heracles Almelo 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles neutral NLD E · Regular Season

Metric	Go Ahead Eagles all · 34	Go Ahead Eagles at home · 17	Heracles Almelo all · 34	Heracles Almelo away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.12	1.47	0.56	0.24
W / D / L	8 / 14 / 12	6 / 7 / 4	5 / 4 / 25	1 / 1 / 15
Goals for / match	1.59	2.00	1.03	0.71
Goals against / match	1.56	1.41	2.50	2.88
Clean sheets	26%	35%	6%	0%
Failed to score	21%	12%	47%	53%
Both teams scored	59%	59%	50%	47%
Over 2.5	62%	71%	71%	76%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.31	1.65	1.27	1.05
xG against / match	2.15	1.68	1.98	2.20
xG difference	-0.84	-0.03	-0.71	-1.15
Finishing vs xG	0.27	0.35	-0.24	-0.34
xPts / match	1.02	1.39	0.99	0.76
Points vs xPts	0.09	0.08	-0.43	-0.53
Game state
Scored first	44%	53%	24%	18%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.22	1.25	0.00
PPG when conceding first	0.35	0.57	0.32	0.29
Came back from behind	43%	50%	17%	12%
Leads held	44%	54%	50%	25%
Minutes leading	21%	30%	12%	5%
Minutes level	46%	47%	42%	38%
Minutes trailing	32%	23%	46%	57%
First goal (min)	41	41	35	36
First goal conceded (min)	37	41	31	28
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	57%	53%	49%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	49%	58%	55%	57%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.38	0.41	0.18	0.12
Late goals against	0.29	0.35	0.56	0.71
Style
Possession	50%	51%	45%	44%
Shots	11.6	13.8	11.1	8.6
On target	5.1	6.4	3.6	2.6
Shot conversion	14%	14%	9%	8%
Shots inside box	71%	69%	66%	67%
Big chances created	2.5	3.0	2.0	1.6
Corners	5.4	6.5	4.5	4.2
xG from set plays	26%	31%	35%	27%
Goals from headers	17%	24%	14%	17%
Pressure index	10.9	12.8	8.2	5.4
Dominant minutes	43.4	50.9	35.6	26.9
Pass accuracy	80%	81%	77%	77%
Fouls	9.2	8.6	13.5	14.4
Cards	1.79	0.94	2.24	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106

16–30'48

31–45'913

46–60'99

61–75'97

76–90'1310

Heracles Almelo

0–15'310

16–30'911

31–45'617

46–60'715

61–75'413

76–90'619

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166

Early press (0-15, level)+0.096

Late push (76+, level)+0.293

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033

When level+0.236

When behind+0.234

10 min after conceding-0.366

10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533

Away-0.213

4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362

v mid-tier opponents+0.462

v bottom-tier opponents+0.342

As favourite+0.342

As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206

Conceded when ahead+0.323

Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

Heracles Almelo

No pressure profile yet.

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	25 74%	0.92	1.4	1.76	1.29	2.29
4-3-3	7 21%	1.57	2.0	1.29	1.25	1.84
4-1-4-1	1 3%	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.55	1.49
4-4-2	1 3%	3.0	5.0	0.0	2.12	1.51

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	17 50%	0.12	0.53	2.94	1.03	2.29
4-4-2	9 26%	1.44	2.22	1.89	1.68	1.58
3-4-2-1	3 9%	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.63	1.41
5-3-2	2 6%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.96	1.91
4-3-3	2 6%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.15	2.51

Metric	Go Ahead Eagles all · 10	Go Ahead Eagles at home · 10	Heracles Almelo all · 10	Heracles Almelo away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.10	1.70	0.20	0.10
W / D / L	2 / 5 / 3	5 / 2 / 3	0 / 2 / 8	0 / 1 / 9
Goals for / match	1.90	2.60	0.40	0.80
Goals against / match	2.10	1.40	2.30	3.10
Clean sheets	10%	40%	10%	0%
Failed to score	10%	10%	60%	50%
Both teams scored	90%	60%	40%	50%
Over 2.5	80%	80%	60%	70%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.61	1.81	1.03	1.20
xG against / match	2.26	1.49	2.10	2.32
xG difference	-0.65	0.32	-1.07	-1.12
Finishing vs xG	0.29	0.79	-0.63	-0.40
xPts / match	1.18	1.60	0.85	0.82
Points vs xPts	-0.08	0.10	-0.65	-0.72
Game state
Scored first	20%	50%	20%	10%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.40	0.50	0.00
PPG when conceding first	0.86	1.00	0.00	0.11
Came back from behind	57%	40%	0%	10%
Leads held	67%	83%	0%	0%
Minutes leading	17%	34%	5%	2%
Minutes level	45%	42%	44%	36%
Minutes trailing	38%	24%	51%	62%
First goal (min)	43	37	35	35
First goal conceded (min)	33	36	30	25
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	74%	62%	25%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	48%	57%	52%	55%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.40	0.10	0.10
Late goals against	0.50	0.30	0.20	0.70
Style
Possession	51%	51%	47%	43%
Shots	13.7	14.7	11.1	8.3
On target	5.2	6.6	2.9	2.8
Shot conversion	14%	18%	4%	10%
Shots inside box	68%	71%	62%	70%
Big chances created	2.7	2.8	1.6	2.3
Corners	5.7	5.9	4.8	3.8
xG from set plays	29%	26%	24%	25%
Goals from headers	10%	15%	0%	0%
Pressure index	12.3	15.4	9.6	6.0
Dominant minutes	42.6	52.7	41.5	27.1
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	78%	78%
Fouls	8.1	8.2	13.9	15.2
Cards	1.60	0.90	2.50	3.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'03

16–30'42

31–45'16

46–60'42

61–75'53

76–90'55

Heracles Almelo

0–15'04

16–30'33

31–45'04

46–60'06

61–75'04

76–90'12

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	1.11	2.11	2.33	1.62	2.34
4-1-4-1	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.55	1.49

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	0.11	0.33	2.44	0.99	2.21
4-2-2-2	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.43	1.15

Metric	Go Ahead Eagles all · 43	Go Ahead Eagles at home · 21	Heracles Almelo all · 29	Heracles Almelo away · 14
Results
Matches	43	21	29	14
Points per game	1.12	1.52	0.66	0.29
W / D / L	11 / 15 / 17	8 / 8 / 5	5 / 4 / 20	1 / 1 / 12
Goals for / match	1.53	1.86	1.14	0.86
Goals against / match	1.65	1.33	2.38	2.79
Clean sheets	21%	29%	7%	0%
Failed to score	23%	19%	45%	43%
Both teams scored	63%	62%	52%	57%
Over 2.5	60%	62%	69%	79%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.29	1.51	1.33	1.15
xG against / match	2.07	1.53	1.87	2.18
xG difference	-0.78	-0.02	-0.53	-1.03
Finishing vs xG	0.24	0.35	-0.20	-0.29
xPts / match	1.04	1.40	1.08	0.83
Points vs xPts	0.08	0.13	-0.42	-0.55
Game state
Scored first	33%	43%	24%	21%
PPG when scoring first	2.07	2.22	1.43	0.00
PPG when conceding first	0.62	1.00	0.38	0.36
Came back from behind	39%	54%	20%	14%
Leads held	58%	67%	56%	25%
Minutes leading	18%	25%	13%	6%
Minutes level	44%	47%	43%	41%
Minutes trailing	38%	28%	44%	53%
First goal (min)	45	46	37	36
First goal conceded (min)	35	38	32	29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	67%	64%	52%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	49%	54%	55%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.37	0.43	0.21	0.14
Late goals against	0.33	0.33	0.45	0.64
Style
Possession	50%	51%	45%	43%
Shots	11.5	13.0	11.1	8.9
On target	4.8	5.6	3.8	3.0
Shot conversion	13%	14%	10%	10%
Shots inside box	69%	68%	68%	68%
Big chances created	2.5	2.8	2.2	1.9
Corners	4.9	5.5	4.7	4.5
xG from set plays	25%	26%	37%	28%
Goals from headers	14%	18%	12%	17%
Pressure index	11.5	13.8	9.0	5.9
Dominant minutes	41.6	48.1	37.4	28.1
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	77%	77%
Fouls	9.0	8.9	13.7	14.4
Cards	1.77	1.24	2.31	3.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'812

16–30'59

31–45'915

46–60'1113

61–75'178

76–90'1614

Heracles Almelo

0–15'28

16–30'810

31–45'613

46–60'715

61–75'410

76–90'613

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 43 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: as favourite +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0043

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0243

Late push (76+, level)+0.2217

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1619

Game state

When ahead-0.1019

When level+0.0043

When behind+0.0428

10 min after conceding+0.0134

10 min after scoring+0.2032

Situations

With ten men-0.194

Against ten men+0.132

At home+0.0521

Away-0.0422

3 days rest or fewer-0.148

4+ days rest+0.0435

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2415

v mid-tier opponents-0.0710

v bottom-tier opponents+0.4310

As favourite+0.499

Evenly matched-0.0511

As underdog-0.1323

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2643

Conceded when ahead+0.4019

Conceded late (76+)+0.0435

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.04

Heracles Almelo · 29 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1429

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229

Late push (76+, level)-0.429

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615

Game state

When ahead+0.209

When level-0.1729

When behind-0.2025

10 min after conceding-0.2727

10 min after scoring+0.1516

Situations

With ten men+0.822

Against ten men+0.074

At home-0.1315

Away-0.1614

4+ days rest-0.1429

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.448

v mid-tier opponents+0.147

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910

Evenly matched-0.039

As underdog-0.2020

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3429

Conceded when ahead-0.069

Conceded late (76+)+0.3421

Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	35 81%	0.97	1.4	1.83	1.27	2.16
4-3-3	6 14%	1.67	2.0	1.17	1.23	1.76
4-4-2	1 2%	3.0	5.0	0.0	2.12	1.51
4-1-4-1	1 2%	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.55	1.49

Heracles Almelo

Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	13 45%	0.15	0.62	2.77	1.09	2.2
4-4-2	9 31%	1.44	2.22	1.89	1.68	1.58
3-4-2-1	3 10%	1.0	1.0	2.0	1.63	1.41
5-3-2	2 7%	0.0	0.0	3.5	0.96	1.91
4-2-2-2	1 3%	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.43	1.15

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 69.8h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 49%3.75Draw 26% P 26%3.8Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 23% P 37%1.25Go Ahead Eagles or Heracles 23% P 37%1.22Go Ahead Eagles or Tie 23% P 37%1.9Tie or Heracles 15% P 37%1.83Draw or Heracles 16% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 30% P 60%2.25No 21% P 40%2.2Não 21%1.61Sim 29%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 29% P 57%2.2Under 21% P 43%1.65Mais de 29%2.2Menos de 21%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	49%	48%	47%	-1.0
Draw	26%	26%	27%	+1.9
Away	25%	26%	25%	-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Yes	60%	59%	60%	+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	57%	56%	56%	-0.2

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career: 18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match: 3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match: 21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.11
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.41	3.32	+0.10	50
Fouls / match	21.4	20.3	+0.40
Fouls per card	6.3	6.2	-0.20 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.06	0.24	-2.20	0
Time added	6.3	6.4	-0.28	50

First card: 33' on average
Card timing: 22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match: 1.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-02-14	1	0	18	0	9'	6
2025-05-25	5	0	19	1	5'	9

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Go Ahead Eagles · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo

Absences

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 72

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

All meetings · 14 matches since 2013

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Heracles Almelo

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 43 matches

Heracles Almelo · 29 matches

Go Ahead Eagles

Heracles Almelo

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

Recent matches