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Eredivisie · Matchweek 24

Momentum

NAC BredaFC Volendam
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Capacity
19,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Carl Hoefkens · Rick Kruys
Position
16 · 14
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions
mist
Temperature
10.9° (feels 10.6°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
95%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

NAC Breda

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 6.43–7.53 · xPts 6.17

  • W A Heracles Almelo 1–0 xG 1.32–1.55 NLD E
  • L H Excelsior 0–2 xG 1.58–1.12 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.39–2.12 NLD E
  • D A PSV 2–2 xG 1.17–1.64 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 3–4 xG 0.97–1.11 NLD E

FC Volendam

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.3–8.88 · xPts 5.1

  • W H PSV 2–1 xG 1.18–2.66 NLD E
  • W A PEC Zwolle 2–1 xG 1.55–0.99 NLD E
  • D H Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.71–1.11 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 0–2 xG 0.34–2.91 NLD E
  • W H FC Utrecht 2–1 xG 0.53–1.21 NLD E

All meetings · 4 matches since 2008

NAC Breda 21 draws1 FC Volendam

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

NAC Breda 21 draws1 FC Volendam

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

NAC Breda 21 draws1 FC Volendam

Goals 7–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W NAC Breda 1–0 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Volendam 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NAC Breda 1–1 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Volendam 2–4 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
MetricNAC Breda all · 34NAC Breda at home · 17FC Volendam all · 34FC Volendam away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.851.180.940.53
W / D / L6 / 11 / 175 / 5 / 78 / 8 / 182 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.031.181.030.65
Goals against / match1.711.351.621.88
Clean sheets18%24%9%6%
Failed to score41%35%35%53%
Both teams scored47%47%59%41%
Over 2.550%41%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.481.120.73
xG against / match1.481.191.872.02
xG difference-0.170.30-0.75-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.31-0.09-0.08
xPts / match1.311.560.980.69
Points vs xPts-0.45-0.39-0.04-0.16
Game state
Scored first26%35%32%18%
PPG when scoring first2.002.331.641.33
PPG when conceding first0.390.500.590.36
Came back from behind32%30%31%20%
Leads held43%62%57%50%
Minutes leading12%14%14%5%
Minutes level51%58%44%36%
Minutes trailing37%28%42%58%
First goal (min)48474549
First goal conceded (min)35383124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%55%63%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%39%42%31%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.290.240.12
Late goals against0.470.240.320.24
Style
Possession49%51%45%44%
Shots14.114.911.08.9
On target4.24.43.82.9
Shot conversion7%8%9%7%
Shots inside box61%63%61%57%
Big chances created1.92.01.81.4
Corners5.86.13.73.0
xG from set plays39%43%25%16%
Goals from headers23%20%9%0%
Pressure index11.914.66.74.3
Dominant minutes44.350.931.425.2
Pass accuracy77%79%78%77%
Fouls10.810.19.89.6
Cards1.881.761.561.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016

FC Volendam

0–15'413
16–30'26
31–45'713
46–60'67
61–75'85
76–90'811

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%0.781.01.611.291.47
5-3-25 15%0.40.81.41.511.46
4-4-24 12%1.251.752.01.281.51
3-4-1-22 6%0.50.01.01.281.35
4-1-3-22 6%1.51.03.01.71.6

FC Volendam

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.041.041.481.021.78
4-3-36 18%0.51.171.831.652.05
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.02.00.872.3
4-4-21 3%0.00.03.00.732.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.61Home 48% P 59%4.0Draw 19% P 23%5.5Away 14% P 18%4.0Match nul 19%

Double Chance

1.16NAC or Draw 15% P 41%1.22NAC or FC Volendam 15% P 38%1.16NAC or Tie 15% P 38%2.2Tie or FC Volendam 8% P 38%2.2Draw or FC Volendam 8% P 21%2.3Match nul ou FC Volendam 8%1.22NAC ou FC Volendam 15%1.12NAC ou match nul 16%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 28% P 55%2.1No 22% P 45%2.0Non 23%1.75Oui 27%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 29% P 56%2.25Under 21% P 44%2.1Moins de 22%1.7Plus de 28%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%60%+1.3
Draw23%23%24%+1.3
Away18%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Dennis Higler

Career
328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.523.32+0.3368
Fouls / match22.220.3+0.83
Fouls per card6.66.2+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.6973
Time added6.76.4+0.4473
First card
42' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-08 10 200 70'7
2026-01-24 · NAC Breda 70 260 41'8
2026-01-17 30 260 23'7
2025-12-21 21 260 65'6
2025-11-08 61 240 27'7
2025-11-01 · NAC Breda 60 180 36'8
2025-10-19 30 211 4'6
2025-09-27 13 4
2025-09-20 · NAC Breda 30 250 45'9
2025-08-24 71 290 9'6