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Eredivisie · Matchweek 25

Momentum

ExcelsiorGAE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Melvin Boel
Position
15 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jannick van der Laan

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.0° (feels 10.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 253

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
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  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Benin ESPN Africa
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  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Iraq STARZPLAY
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  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
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  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
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  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
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  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
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  • Somalia STARZPLAY
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  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.02–8.4 · xPts 4.61

  • L A Fortuna Sittard 1–2 xG 1.61–2.37 NLD E
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 1–2 xG 0.9–2.03 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 2–0 xG 1.12–1.58 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 2–2 xG 0.55–0.8 NLD E
  • D A FC Twente 0–0 xG 0.84–1.62 NLD E

Go Ahead Eagles

DDLLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.82–9.62 · xPts 6.38

  • W H Heracles Almelo 4–0 xG 2.11–0.86 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 0–1 xG 0.12–3.39 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 1–3 xG 1.38–2.2 NLD E
  • D H Telstar 1–1 xG 3.11–1.46 NLD E
  • D A FC Volendam 1–1 xG 1.11–1.71 NLD E

All meetings · 10 matches since 2014

Excelsior 23 draws5 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 8–17 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Excelsior 23 draws5 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 8–17 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Excelsior 11 draws3 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 3–8 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Excelsior 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 3–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 34Excelsior at home · 17Go Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.061.120.76
W / D / L10 / 8 / 165 / 3 / 98 / 14 / 122 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.261.181.591.18
Goals against / match1.651.291.561.71
Clean sheets18%24%26%18%
Failed to score21%24%21%29%
Both teams scored65%53%59%59%
Over 2.562%53%62%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.401.310.98
xG against / match1.721.582.152.62
xG difference-0.29-0.18-0.84-1.65
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.220.270.20
xPts / match1.201.281.020.66
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.220.090.10
Game state
Scored first44%53%44%35%
PPG when scoring first1.801.672.001.67
PPG when conceding first0.560.380.350.20
Came back from behind33%25%43%38%
Leads held62%56%44%29%
Minutes leading24%26%21%13%
Minutes level46%49%46%45%
Minutes trailing30%25%32%42%
First goal (min)39374140
First goal conceded (min)41453734
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%50%57%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%49%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.290.380.35
Late goals against0.260.290.290.24
Style
Possession48%49%50%48%
Shots12.412.811.69.4
On target4.24.35.13.8
Shot conversion10%9%14%12%
Shots inside box66%66%71%74%
Big chances created2.63.12.51.9
Corners4.14.25.44.4
xG from set plays29%30%26%17%
Goals from headers22%22%17%5%
Pressure index7.99.310.99.1
Dominant minutes38.742.243.435.8
Pass accuracy77%78%80%79%
Fouls12.311.49.29.8
Cards1.351.531.792.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.5Draw 27% P 27%2.9Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.4Excelsior or Draw 33% P 34%1.28Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles 36% P 37%1.53Draw or Go Ahead Eagles 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 61%2.25No 41% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%40%-0.7
Draw27%26%22%-4.0
Away33%33%38%+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Jannick van der Laan

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.22 (3.08 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 6.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.113.32-0.5423
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.26.2+1.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6718
Time added7.06.4+0.9886
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-17 70 300 28'
2026-02-01 30 210 47'7
2026-01-24 40 230 59'5
2026-01-11 40 220 17'6
2025-12-13 60 300 13'6
2025-11-30 · Go Ahead Eagles 40 210 44'7
2025-11-01 20 220 83'9
2025-10-26 · Excelsior · Go Ahead Eagles 30 190 13'6
2025-10-03 40 300 24'10
2025-09-21 31 240 41'7