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Eredivisie · Matchweek 25
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
0–0
FT
AjaxAjax

Momentum

– PEC ZwolleAjax –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Fred Grim
Position
12 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.3°)
Wind
7.1
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 104

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 6.76–8.49 · xPts 5.81

  • D A FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 0.97–2.75 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 2–4 xG 1.53–1.52 NLD E
  • L H FC Volendam 1–2 xG 0.99–1.55 NLD E
  • W H Telstar 4–1 xG 2.6–1.55 NLD E
  • L A NEC Nijmegen 1–2 xG 0.68–1.12 NLD E

Ajax

LDDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.26–4.96 · xPts 8.4

  • D H NEC Nijmegen 1–1 xG 1.71–1.22 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 4–1 xG 1.42–1.23 NLD E
  • D A AZ Alkmaar 1–1 xG 1.31–1.21 NLD E
  • D A Excelsior 2–2 xG 0.8–0.55 NLD E
  • L H Olympiacos F.C. 1–2 xG 2.02–0.75 UEFA CL

All meetings · 26 matches since 2012

PEC Zwolle 05 draws21 Ajax

Goals 15–62 · 2.96 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 02 draws8 Ajax

Goals 4–20 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 01 draws4 Ajax

Goals 1–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 2–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle at home · 17Ajax all · 36Ajax away · 17
Results
Matches34173617
Points per game1.091.651.671.47
W / D / L9 / 10 / 158 / 4 / 515 / 15 / 65 / 10 / 2
Goals for / match1.291.241.811.76
Goals against / match2.091.241.171.41
Clean sheets18%29%31%24%
Failed to score18%29%8%12%
Both teams scored68%47%67%76%
Over 2.562%47%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.141.721.39
xG against / match1.941.641.481.61
xG difference-0.86-0.500.24-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.220.100.080.37
xPts / match0.911.071.521.27
Points vs xPts0.180.580.150.20
Game state
Scored first50%65%58%41%
PPG when scoring first1.822.362.241.86
PPG when conceding first0.310.200.851.25
Came back from behind25%17%60%80%
Leads held53%73%62%50%
Minutes leading27%39%37%27%
Minutes level44%49%46%49%
Minutes trailing28%12%16%24%
First goal (min)38263438
First goal conceded (min)39504134
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%33%42%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%62%58%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.330.18
Late goals against0.560.470.280.29
Style
Possession45%43%56%56%
Shots9.69.914.913.4
On target3.53.55.95.2
Shot conversion13%12%12%13%
Shots inside box64%63%68%66%
Big chances created2.22.42.82.4
Corners3.64.14.94.4
xG from set plays24%30%20%16%
Goals from headers20%24%16%21%
Pressure index7.38.016.013.5
Dominant minutes31.132.656.748.6
Pass accuracy78%76%85%84%
Fouls11.412.410.39.8
Cards1.821.651.812.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.257
When behind-0.146
10 min after conceding-0.416
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.164
4+ days rest-0.187

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.062
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.187

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.427
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.11

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 26% P 25%4.1Draw 23% P 24%1.85Away 51% P 51%

Double Chance

2.05PEC Zwolle or Draw 23% P 24%1.2PEC Zwolle or Ajax 39% P 38%1.22Draw or Ajax 38% P 37%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 63%2.37No 39% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%26%20%-5.5
Draw24%23%24%+1.0
Away51%51%56%+4.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Sander van der Eijk

Career
117 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 81 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.833.32+0.9790
Fouls / match20.720.3+0.03
Fouls per card5.56.2-1.43 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.5329
Time added6.56.4+0.2562
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.52

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 20 220 9'6
2026-02-19 50 240 51'6
2026-02-13 20 210 61'5
2026-01-31 60 240 27'10
2026-01-22 40 280 24'6
2026-01-18 61 261 24'9
2026-01-11 10 170 57'4
2025-12-20 · PEC Zwolle 20 200 63'6
2025-12-11 32 131 32'6
2025-12-06 · Ajax 72 220 22'13