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Eredivisie · Matchweek 25

Momentum

HEESPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Capacity
27,224
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Robin Veldman · Maurice Steijn
Position
10 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Martijn Vos

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.8° (feels 1.7°)
Wind
11.5
Humidity
44%

Where to watch · 72

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

SC Heerenveen

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 7.52–11.34 · xPts 5.86

  • L A PSV 1–3 xG 1.13–3.66 NLD E
  • W H PEC Zwolle 4–2 xG 1.52–1.53 NLD E
  • W A Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 xG 2.2–1.38 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 0–5 xG 0.68–3.94 NLD E
  • D H FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 1.99–0.84 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

WWDDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.05–5.46 · xPts 7.17

  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–3 xG 1.04–1.09 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 1–1 xG 1.61–1.03 NLD E
  • D A Fortuna Sittard 2–2 xG 2.09–1.2 NLD E
  • W H FC Groningen 2–0 xG 0.9–0.57 NLD E
  • W A FC Utrecht 1–0 xG 0.41–1.58 NLD E

All meetings · 27 matches since 2005

SC Heerenveen 127 draws8 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 47–38 · 3.15 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 70%

Last 10 · 10 matches

SC Heerenveen 33 draws4 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

SC Heerenveen 30 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W SC Heerenveen 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
MetricSC Heerenveen all · 35SC Heerenveen at home · 17Sparta Rotterdam all · 34Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches35173417
Points per game1.461.761.261.18
W / D / L14 / 9 / 128 / 6 / 312 / 7 / 156 / 2 / 9
Goals for / match1.691.941.181.12
Goals against / match1.601.411.822.06
Clean sheets14%12%32%35%
Failed to score23%18%26%29%
Both teams scored66%76%44%41%
Over 2.571%71%53%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.802.081.351.22
xG against / match1.531.141.751.90
xG difference0.270.94-0.41-0.68
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.14-0.17-0.10
xPts / match1.581.921.201.03
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.160.070.14
Game state
Scored first40%41%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.142.142.352.57
PPG when conceding first1.001.560.130.11
Came back from behind48%70%12%10%
Leads held64%67%67%86%
Minutes leading28%31%24%18%
Minutes level43%41%50%50%
Minutes trailing29%28%26%32%
First goal (min)38394755
First goal conceded (min)38394238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%58%62%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%54%71%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.470.380.47
Late goals against0.310.350.500.65
Style
Possession51%53%47%48%
Shots14.916.313.012.2
On target5.45.94.43.9
Shot conversion11%12%9%9%
Shots inside box67%67%65%62%
Big chances created2.62.92.11.8
Corners5.65.94.64.4
xG from set plays21%24%25%22%
Goals from headers5%6%15%16%
Pressure index12.414.010.08.5
Dominant minutes49.453.140.238.3
Pass accuracy80%82%79%80%
Fouls10.910.09.910.5
Cards1.691.762.002.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

SC Heerenveen

0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44
16–30'43
31–45'711
46–60'611
61–75'616
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

SC Heerenveen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256

Ahead vs level -0.50 · Behind vs level -0.32

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.16

SC Heerenveen

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 97%1.51.741.621.811.55
4-4-21 3%0.00.01.01.460.97

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.381.081.331.361.58
4-3-37 21%1.431.712.571.442.29
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.02.01.172.17
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.06.00.742.12
3-4-1-21 3%0.01.04.01.151.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 49%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Heerenveen or Draw 22% P 37%1.25Heerenveen or Sparta Rotterdam 23% P 37%1.3Heerenveen or Tie 22% P 37%1.8Tie or Sparta Rotterdam 16% P 37%1.8Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 16% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 61%2.4Under 39% P 39%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away27%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Martijn Vos

Career
20 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.4 (4.0 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.5 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.73.32+2.76100
Fouls / match23.520.3+1.50
Fouls per card5.06.2-2.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.24+0.8981
Time added6.46.4+0.0357
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 101 230 13'6
2025-12-05 52 191 21'7
2025-11-07 62 170 33'10
2025-10-05 61 310 29'9
2025-09-14 10 310 44'7
2025-08-17 40 200 13'5
2025-05-18 20 290 73'4
2025-03-02 30 341 8'10