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Eredivisie · Matchweek 25

Momentum

TelstarNAC Breda
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Carl Hoefkens
Position
17 · 16
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions
light intensity drizzle
Temperature
11.2° (feels 10.3°)
Wind
5.8
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 253

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
  • Aruba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY
  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Belarus Setanta Sports 1
  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
  • Bolivia Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Botswana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Burundi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cameroon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Central African Republic ESPN Africa
  • Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Chile Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
  • Colombia Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Croatia Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
  • Cuba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Denmark Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Dominica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Egypt STARZPLAY
  • El Salvador Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Eritrea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Estonia Setanta Sports 1
  • Eswatini DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
  • Gabon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Gambia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
  • Germany DAZN
  • Ghana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Grenada Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Haiti Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Jamaica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Jordan STARZPLAY
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
  • Kenya DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Kuwait STARZPLAY
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Liberia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
  • Madagascar DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malawi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
  • Mali DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Romania Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
  • Rwanda ESPN Africa
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Seychelles DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
  • Slovenia SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
  • Somalia STARZPLAY
  • South Africa ESPN Africa
  • South Sudan DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
  • Tanzania DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

LLDDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.5–11.6 · xPts 4.09

  • L A Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.22–2.39 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 1–1 xG 1.47–2.18 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.46–3.11 NLD E
  • L A PEC Zwolle 1–4 xG 1.55–2.6 NLD E
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–1 xG 0.79–1.33 NLD E

NAC Breda

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.73–6.98 · xPts 6.85

  • W H FC Volendam 1–0 xG 1.27–0.55 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 1–0 xG 1.32–1.55 NLD E
  • L H Excelsior 0–2 xG 1.58–1.12 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.39–2.12 NLD E
  • D A PSV 2–2 xG 1.17–1.64 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Telstar 20 draws0 NAC Breda

Goals 4–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Telstar 20 draws0 NAC Breda

Goals 4–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Telstar 20 draws0 NAC Breda

Goals 4–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Telstar 3–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 0–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17NAC Breda all · 34NAC Breda away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.180.850.53
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 76 / 11 / 171 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.441.821.030.88
Goals against / match1.621.651.712.06
Clean sheets15%12%18%12%
Failed to score24%18%41%47%
Both teams scored65%71%47%47%
Over 2.559%71%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.311.14
xG against / match1.901.631.481.78
xG difference-0.47-0.01-0.17-0.64
Finishing vs xG0.010.21-0.28-0.26
xPts / match1.151.391.311.05
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.22-0.45-0.52
Game state
Scored first47%53%26%18%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.001.33
PPG when conceding first0.410.380.390.31
Came back from behind17%12%32%33%
Leads held50%50%43%17%
Minutes leading24%30%12%10%
Minutes level44%43%51%44%
Minutes trailing32%27%37%46%
First goal (min)45424850
First goal conceded (min)40413532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%50%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.290.29
Late goals against0.500.530.470.71
Style
Possession45%47%49%47%
Shots12.813.514.113.4
On target4.95.44.24.0
Shot conversion11%14%7%7%
Shots inside box66%67%61%59%
Big chances created3.13.51.91.8
Corners4.75.45.85.5
xG from set plays31%31%39%34%
Goals from headers20%23%23%27%
Pressure index8.09.011.99.2
Dominant minutes37.041.844.337.8
Pass accuracy76%77%77%76%
Fouls11.310.410.811.5
Cards1.351.291.882.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

NAC Breda

0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%0.781.01.611.291.47
5-3-25 15%0.40.81.41.511.46
4-4-24 12%1.251.752.01.281.51
4-1-3-22 6%1.51.03.01.71.6
3-4-1-22 6%0.50.01.01.281.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 36%3.8Draw 25% P 26%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Telstar or Draw 19% P 31%1.25Telstar or NAC 23% P 37%1.4Telstar or Tie 20% P 37%1.53Tie or NAC 19% P 37%1.5Draw or NAC 19% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59% P 62%2.25No 41% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.15Under 44% P 43%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw26%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career
18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.413.32+0.1050
Fouls / match21.420.3+0.40
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.20 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.24-2.200
Time added6.36.4-0.2850
First card
33' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-22 40 200 19'3
2026-02-14 10 180 9'6
2025-05-25 50 191 5'9