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Eredivisie · Matchweek 26

Momentum

NEC NijmegenFC Volendam
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Dick Schreuder · Rick Kruys
Position
5 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.9° (feels 10.1°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 92

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

NEC Nijmegen

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.04–8.47 · xPts 6.65

  • L H Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 1.6–2.42 NLD E
  • D A Ajax 1–1 xG 1.22–1.71 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 xG 1.03–1.61 NLD E
  • L H FC Utrecht 1–3 xG 1.92–1.58 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 4–1 xG 2.27–1.15 NLD E

FC Volendam

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.34–9.45 · xPts 5.84

  • W H FC Groningen 3–2 xG 2.35–3.43 NLD E
  • L A NAC Breda 0–1 xG 0.55–1.27 NLD E
  • W H PSV 2–1 xG 1.18–2.66 NLD E
  • W A PEC Zwolle 2–1 xG 1.55–0.99 NLD E
  • D H Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 1.71–1.11 NLD E

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

NEC Nijmegen 62 draws0 FC Volendam

Goals 28–10 · 4.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 88%

Last 10 · 8 matches

NEC Nijmegen 62 draws0 FC Volendam

Goals 28–10 · 4.75 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 88%

Last 5 · 5 matches

NEC Nijmegen 41 draws0 FC Volendam

Goals 17–7 · 4.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W NEC Nijmegen 3–0 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Volendam 2–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Volendam 2–5 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 3–3 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NEC Nijmegen 3–0 FC Volendam neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Volendam 1–4 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Volendam 1–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NEC Nijmegen 6–1 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
MetricNEC Nijmegen all · 34NEC Nijmegen at home · 17FC Volendam all · 34FC Volendam away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.880.940.53
W / D / L16 / 11 / 79 / 5 / 38 / 8 / 182 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match2.262.411.030.65
Goals against / match1.561.471.621.88
Clean sheets15%24%9%6%
Failed to score3%0%35%53%
Both teams scored82%76%59%41%
Over 2.574%82%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.892.211.120.73
xG against / match1.421.351.872.02
xG difference0.460.86-0.75-1.29
Finishing vs xG0.380.20-0.09-0.08
xPts / match1.611.810.980.69
Points vs xPts0.120.07-0.04-0.16
Game state
Scored first53%65%32%18%
PPG when scoring first2.392.361.641.33
PPG when conceding first1.001.000.590.36
Came back from behind65%67%31%20%
Leads held73%69%57%50%
Minutes leading33%38%14%5%
Minutes level43%37%44%36%
Minutes trailing24%24%42%58%
First goal (min)35324549
First goal conceded (min)35323124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%61%63%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half43%40%42%31%
Late goals for (76'+)0.530.530.240.12
Late goals against0.180.060.320.24
Style
Possession56%57%45%44%
Shots17.018.411.08.9
On target6.76.73.82.9
Shot conversion13%13%9%7%
Shots inside box63%65%61%57%
Big chances created3.34.01.81.4
Corners6.16.83.73.0
xG from set plays23%24%25%16%
Goals from headers16%12%9%0%
Pressure index18.719.36.74.3
Dominant minutes64.368.831.425.2
Pass accuracy79%80%78%77%
Fouls11.910.59.89.6
Cards1.911.651.561.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'96
16–30'107
31–45'1117
46–60'1511
61–75'146
76–90'186

FC Volendam

0–15'413
16–30'26
31–45'713
46–60'67
61–75'85
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

FC Volendam

No pressure profile yet.

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.932.271.22.091.37
3-4-1-211 32%1.452.092.01.581.5
3-1-4-24 12%1.252.252.251.031.56
3-4-32 6%3.03.50.53.741.02
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.00.01.761.67

FC Volendam

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.041.041.481.021.78
4-3-36 18%0.51.171.831.652.05
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.02.00.872.3
4-4-21 3%0.00.03.00.732.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.28Home 74% P 74%6.25Draw 15% P 16%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.08NEC or Draw 44% P 45%1.12NEC or FC Volendam 42% P 42%3.5Draw or FC Volendam 14% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 55%2.05No 45% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 68%2.87Under 33% P 32%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 10–12.5% · 193 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%73%73%-0.8
Draw16%16%18%+1.6
Away10%11%10%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Marc Nagtegaal

Career
90 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.713.32-1.3310
Fouls / match19.120.3-0.80
Fouls per card7.56.2+1.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.7576
Time added6.26.4-0.4143
First card
42' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.38

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 41 261 15'10
2026-02-08 20 170 47'5
2026-02-01 10 170 70'6
2026-01-18 · FC Volendam 60 280 23'6
2025-12-21 30 291 37'8
2025-12-06 20 291 75'5
2025-11-22 30 260 66'5
2025-11-06 10 190 45'4
2025-11-01 · FC Volendam 12 7
2025-10-18 · NEC Nijmegen 50 362 22'6