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Eredivisie · Matchweek 27

Momentum

AjaxSPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Capacity
55,885
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Óscar García Junyent · Maurice Steijn
Position
5 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Rob Dieperink

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
3.6° (feels 1.7°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 251

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
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  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
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  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
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  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
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  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
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  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 Netherlands · Watch ESPN
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  • Oman STARZPLAY
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  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
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  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Ajax

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.2–7.01 · xPts 6.92

  • L A FC Groningen 1–3 xG 2.11–1.96 NLD E
  • D A PEC Zwolle 0–0 xG 0.65–1.38 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 1–1 xG 1.71–1.22 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 4–1 xG 1.42–1.23 NLD E
  • D A AZ Alkmaar 1–1 xG 1.31–1.21 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.8–7.04 · xPts 7.41

  • D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.28–1.54 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 1–2 xG 0.78–2.19 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 1–3 xG 1.04–1.09 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 1–1 xG 1.61–1.03 NLD E
  • D A Fortuna Sittard 2–2 xG 2.09–1.2 NLD E

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Ajax 215 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 76–31 · 3.82 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ajax 73 draws0 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 22–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ajax 23 draws0 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAjax all · 36Ajax at home · 19Sparta Rotterdam all · 34Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches36193417
Points per game1.671.841.261.18
W / D / L15 / 15 / 610 / 5 / 412 / 7 / 156 / 2 / 9
Goals for / match1.811.841.181.12
Goals against / match1.170.951.822.06
Clean sheets31%37%32%35%
Failed to score8%5%26%29%
Both teams scored67%58%44%41%
Over 2.556%47%53%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.722.021.351.22
xG against / match1.481.371.751.90
xG difference0.240.65-0.41-0.68
Finishing vs xG0.08-0.17-0.17-0.10
xPts / match1.521.751.201.03
Points vs xPts0.150.100.070.14
Game state
Scored first58%74%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.242.432.352.57
PPG when conceding first0.850.200.130.11
Came back from behind60%20%12%10%
Leads held62%71%67%86%
Minutes leading37%46%24%18%
Minutes level46%44%50%50%
Minutes trailing16%10%26%32%
First goal (min)34314755
First goal conceded (min)41484238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%38%62%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%59%71%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.470.380.47
Late goals against0.280.260.500.65
Style
Possession56%57%47%48%
Shots14.916.313.012.2
On target5.96.54.43.9
Shot conversion12%11%9%9%
Shots inside box68%69%65%62%
Big chances created2.83.22.11.8
Corners4.95.44.64.4
xG from set plays20%22%25%22%
Goals from headers16%11%15%16%
Pressure index16.018.110.08.5
Dominant minutes56.763.940.238.3
Pass accuracy85%86%79%80%
Fouls10.310.79.910.5
Cards1.811.422.002.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44
16–30'43
31–45'711
46–60'611
61–75'616
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.381.081.331.361.58
4-3-37 21%1.431.712.571.442.29
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.06.00.742.12
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.02.01.172.17
3-4-1-21 3%0.01.04.01.151.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 56%4.33Draw 22% P 23%4.2Away 23% P 21%

Double Chance

1.22Ajax or Draw 38% P 40%1.2Ajax or Sparta Rotterdam 39% P 38%2.05Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 23% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 61%2.37No 39% P 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 61%2.5Under 38% P 39%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.1
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes61%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Rob Dieperink

Career
77 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.22 (3.04 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.5 · 6.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
39%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.593.32+0.4877
Fouls / match20.620.3+0.02
Fouls per card6.16.2-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.24-0.1341
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
38% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.12

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 40 261 25'7
2026-02-21 30 170 29'4
2026-02-14 · Ajax 21 5
2026-01-18 40 240 12'10
2025-12-20 50 270 49'6
2025-12-07 70 241 30'9
2025-11-08 30 271 40'6
2025-10-25 40 230 56'7
2025-10-19 30 250 4'3
2025-08-29 30 250 38'3