Rating 6.98 (68th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (23) · 1.18 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 27
Momentum
– AZHEA –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| AZ | at home | Stat | league | away | Heracles Almelo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.1 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.7 #18 |
| 15.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 11.1 #16 |
| 5.9 #6 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 3.6 #17 |
| 5.8 #5 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.5 #14 |
| 10.2 #14 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 13.5 #1 |
| 1.1 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #12 |
| 18.0 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 15.8 #14 |
| 99.2 #7 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 85.3 #16 |
| 46.9 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 36.8 #16 |
| 457.5 #4 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 346.1 #18 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 1.2 #7 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.8 #17 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #16 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #18 |
| – #6 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #17 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.2 #15 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #1 |
| 1.7 #6 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 #16 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.5 #1 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #16 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.2 #13 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #1 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #18 |
| 4.4 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.2 #18 |
| 10.3 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 7.3 #16 |
| 5.5 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.7 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #18 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AZ · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.84 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (29) · 2.2 without (5)
Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
Heracles Almelo
No ranked players yet.
Absences
Heracles Almelo
- injury Mario Engels attacker · Knee Injury · 6 missed · until 2026-03-18
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 27
Venue
- Stadium
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Capacity
- 19,500
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Leeroy Echteld · Ernest Faber
- Position
- 7 · 18
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Robin Hensgens
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 11.3° (feels 9.9°)
- Wind
- 8.5
- Humidity
- 56%
Where to watch · 257
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Yemen
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
AZ
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.82–6.98 · xPts 8.01
- W
H
Sparta Praha
2–1
xG 3.37–1.07
UEFA ECL - L
A
PSV
1–2
xG 1.42–3.06
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
0–2
xG 0.97–1.48
NLD E
- W
H
Noah
4–0
xG 1.97–0.33
UEFA ECL - W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3–1
xG 1.09–1.04
NLD E
WLDWLWWLLW 5W 1D 4L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 12 · xG 15.12–12.36 · xPts 15.38
- W
H
Sparta Praha
2–1
xG 3.37–1.07
UEFA ECL
- L
A
PSV
1–2
xG 1.42–3.06
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
0–2
xG 0.97–1.48
NLD E
- W
H
Noah
4–0
xG 1.97–0.33
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3–1
xG 1.09–1.04
NLD E
- L
A
Noah
0–1
xG 0.67–0.94
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.03–0.9
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
1–1
xG 1.21–1.31
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–3
xG 1.06–1.43
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
1–0
xG 1.33–0.79
NLD E
Heracles Almelo
LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 12 · xG 5.28–11.37 · xPts 3.65
- D
H
FC Utrecht
0–0
xG 0.36–2.38
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–3
xG 1.36–3.3
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–4
xG 0.86–2.11
NLD E
- L
H
NAC Breda
0–1
xG 1.55–1.32
NLD E
- L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.15–2.27
NLD E
LLLLWLLLLD 1W 1D 8L · 4 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 24 · xG 11.88–20.05 · xPts 9.39
- D
H
FC Utrecht
0–0
xG 0.36–2.38
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–3
xG 1.36–3.3
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–4
xG 0.86–2.11
NLD E
- L
H
NAC Breda
0–1
xG 1.55–1.32
NLD E
- L
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.15–2.27
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.19–0.65
NLD E
- L
A
Feyenoord
2–4
xG 1.85–1.48
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
0–2
xG 1.26–2.45
NLD E
- L
A
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
xG 0.57–2.1
NLD E
- L
H
SC Heerenveen
0–3
xG 0.72–2.0
NLD E
All meetings · 39 matches since 2005
Goals 90–39 · 3.31 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 69%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 19–13 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L Heracles Almelo 1–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L Heracles Almelo 5–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- L Heracles Almelo 3–2 AZ Alkmaar neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Heracles Almelo NLD E · Regular Season
- W Heracles Almelo 1–2 AZ Alkmaar neutral NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | AZ all · 34 | AZ at home · 17 | Heracles Almelo all · 34 | Heracles Almelo away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.82 | 0.56 | 0.24 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 10 / 10 | 8 / 7 / 2 | 5 / 4 / 25 | 1 / 1 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 1.71 | 2.29 | 1.03 | 0.71 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 2.88 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 24% | 6% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 76% | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 76% | 71% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.87 | 2.01 | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.20 | 1.98 | 2.20 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 0.80 | -0.71 | -1.15 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | 0.29 | -0.24 | -0.34 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.81 | 0.99 | 0.76 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | 0.02 | -0.43 | -0.53 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 82% | 24% | 18% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.14 | 1.25 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.42 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 67% | 17% | 12% |
| Leads held | 56% | 53% | 50% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 52% | 12% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 32% | 42% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 15% | 46% | 57% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 25 | 35 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 31 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 45% | 38% | 49% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 62% | 55% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 16.2 | 11.1 | 8.6 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 9% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 70% | 66% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 25% | 35% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 8% | 14% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 14.8 | 16.0 | 8.2 | 5.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 56.6 | 35.6 | 26.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 77% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 9.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.47 | 2.24 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313
Heracles Almelo
0–15'310
16–30'911
31–45'617
46–60'715
61–75'413
76–90'619
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702
Game state
When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
Heracles Almelo
No pressure profile yet.
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.38 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.58 | 1.19 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 17 50% | 0.12 | 0.53 | 2.94 | 1.03 | 2.29 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 26% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.15 | 2.51 |
| Metric | AZ all · 10 | AZ at home · 10 | Heracles Almelo all · 10 | Heracles Almelo away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 6 / 4 / 0 | 0 / 2 / 8 | 0 / 1 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 2.30 | 3.10 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.15 | 2.10 | 2.32 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 1.02 | -1.07 | -1.12 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.43 | -0.63 | -0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 1.97 | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.23 | -0.65 | -0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 90% | 20% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.33 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 0% | 10% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 56% | 5% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 38% | 44% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 6% | 51% | 62% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 25 | 35 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 51 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 82% | 52% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 56% | 47% | 43% |
| Shots | 17.7 | 17.5 | 11.1 | 8.3 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 4% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 68% | 62% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 24% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 18.8 | 17.3 | 9.6 | 6.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.1 | 59.2 | 41.5 | 27.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 83% | 78% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.1 | 13.9 | 15.2 |
| Cards | 0.80 | 0.70 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'60
16–30'03
31–45'31
46–60'42
61–75'44
76–90'63
Heracles Almelo
0–15'04
16–30'33
31–45'04
46–60'06
61–75'04
76–90'12
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.11 | 0.33 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.21 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
| Metric | AZ all · 49 | AZ at home · 25 | Heracles Almelo all · 29 | Heracles Almelo away · 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 29 | 14 |
| Points per game | 1.59 | 1.96 | 0.66 | 0.29 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 12 / 15 | 13 / 10 / 2 | 5 / 4 / 20 | 1 / 1 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.73 | 2.16 | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.24 | 2.38 | 2.79 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 36% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 4% | 45% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% | 52% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% | 69% | 79% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.07 | 1.87 | 2.18 |
| xG difference | 0.64 | 1.07 | -0.53 | -1.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | 0.02 | -0.20 | -0.29 |
| xPts / match | 1.72 | 1.95 | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.42 | -0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 61% | 80% | 24% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.30 | 1.43 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 71% | 20% | 14% |
| Leads held | 65% | 59% | 56% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 46% | 13% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 11% | 44% | 53% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 31 | 37 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 50 | 32 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 48% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 68% | 55% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 45% | 43% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 17.5 | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 37% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 8% | 12% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 17.0 | 19.2 | 9.0 | 5.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.9 | 61.0 | 37.4 | 28.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 77% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 13.7 | 14.4 |
| Cards | 1.73 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 3.29 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'178
16–30'68
31–45'1511
46–60'1212
61–75'1610
76–90'1919
Heracles Almelo
0–15'28
16–30'810
31–45'613
46–60'715
61–75'410
76–90'613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1749
Late push (76+, level)+0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3717
Game state
When ahead+0.3933
When level+0.2549
When behind+0.1922
10 min after conceding-0.1233
10 min after scoring+0.3740
Situations
With ten men-0.042
Against ten men+0.064
At home+0.2925
Away+0.2724
3 days rest or fewer+0.2211
4+ days rest+0.3038
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.2413
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3915
As favourite+0.4829
Evenly matched+0.0413
As underdog-0.107
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0849
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.3442
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
Heracles Almelo · 29 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1429
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229
Late push (76+, level)-0.429
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4615
Game state
When ahead+0.209
When level-0.1729
When behind-0.2025
10 min after conceding-0.2727
10 min after scoring+0.1516
Situations
With ten men+0.822
Against ten men+0.074
At home-0.1315
Away-0.1614
4+ days rest-0.1429
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.448
v mid-tier opponents+0.147
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0910
Evenly matched-0.039
As underdog-0.2020
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3429
Conceded when ahead-0.069
Conceded late (76+)+0.3421
Ahead vs level +0.37 · Behind vs level -0.03
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
Heracles Almelo
Current: winless 13 · scoring 1 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.15 | 0.62 | 2.77 | 1.09 | 2.2 |
| 4-4-2 | 9 31% | 1.44 | 2.22 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.63 | 1.41 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.96 | 1.91 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.43 | 1.15 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.36Home 69% P 71%5.5Draw 17% P 17%7.0Away 13% P 12%
Double Chance
1.1AZ or Draw 43% P 44%1.14AZ or Heracles 42% P 42%3.25Draw or Heracles 15% P 14%
Draw No Bet
1.111 85%6.52 15%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 65% P 68%2.7Under 35% P 32%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 10–12.5% · 534 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 71% | 71% | 75% | +4.2 |
| Draw | 17% | 18% | 15% | -2.5 |
| Away | 12% | 11% | 9% | -1.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 62%
Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58% | 59% | 60% | +1.5 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Robin Hensgens
- Career
- 40 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.1
- Cards to home side
- 40%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.62 | 3.32 | +0.54 | 86 |
| Fouls / match | 22.4 | 20.3 | +0.94 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 6.2 | -0.32 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.1 | 0.24 | -1.64 | 9 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.08 | 59 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-02-11 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 42' | 8 |
| 2026-01-25 · AZ | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 26' | 5 |
| 2026-01-10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 53' | 6 |
| 2025-12-14 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 24' | 4 |
| 2025-11-29 · Heracles Almelo | 8 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 20' | 5 |
| 2025-11-23 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 2' | 6 |
| 2025-10-19 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 38' | 8 |
| 2025-09-27 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 31' | 6 |
| 2025-09-13 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 27' | 15 |