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Eredivisie · Matchweek 27

Momentum

FeyenoordExcelsior
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Capacity
3,531
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Robin van Persie · Ruben den Uil
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
11.5° (feels 10.1°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
54%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Feyenoord

WWWLD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 9.4–4.49 · xPts 9.39

  • D A NAC Breda 3–3 xG 1.78–1.1 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 0–2 xG 0.92–1.46 NLD E
  • W H Telstar 2–1 xG 2.39–1.22 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 xG 3.39–0.12 NLD E
  • W A FC Utrecht 1–0 xG 0.91–0.58 NLD E

Excelsior

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 8.24–8.5 · xPts 6.77

  • L H SC Heerenveen 1–2 xG 2.74–1.83 NLD E
  • L H Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 xG 1.86–0.68 NLD E
  • L A Fortuna Sittard 1–2 xG 1.61–2.37 NLD E
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 1–2 xG 0.9–2.03 NLD E
  • W A NAC Breda 2–0 xG 1.12–1.58 NLD E

All meetings · 24 matches since 2006

Feyenoord 200 draws4 Excelsior

Goals 62–23 · 3.54 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord 90 draws1 Excelsior

Goals 29–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Feyenoord 50 draws0 Excelsior

Goals 14–4 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 1–2 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 4–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–4 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 0–2 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 5–1 Excelsior neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 2–1 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 3–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 5–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 0–1 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFeyenoord all · 34Feyenoord at home · 17Excelsior all · 34Excelsior away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.912.121.121.18
W / D / L19 / 8 / 711 / 3 / 310 / 8 / 165 / 5 / 7
Goals for / match2.062.291.261.35
Goals against / match1.291.351.652.00
Clean sheets29%24%18%12%
Failed to score12%0%21%18%
Both teams scored62%76%65%76%
Over 2.559%59%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.972.201.431.47
xG against / match1.141.121.721.86
xG difference0.831.08-0.29-0.39
Finishing vs xG0.090.09-0.17-0.12
xPts / match1.851.991.201.13
Points vs xPts0.070.13-0.090.05
Game state
Scored first53%53%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.673.001.802.00
PPG when conceding first1.071.130.560.70
Came back from behind56%62%33%42%
Leads held79%92%62%71%
Minutes leading38%41%24%22%
Minutes level40%38%46%42%
Minutes trailing22%20%30%35%
First goal (min)41423940
First goal conceded (min)39414137
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%56%51%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%65%61%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.350.41
Late goals against0.380.410.260.24
Style
Possession53%54%48%46%
Shots16.818.412.412.1
On target6.37.14.24.2
Shot conversion12%12%10%11%
Shots inside box70%70%66%66%
Big chances created3.13.62.62.0
Corners7.27.94.14.0
xG from set plays24%23%29%28%
Goals from headers19%15%22%22%
Pressure index17.320.27.96.5
Dominant minutes60.463.638.735.1
Pass accuracy82%83%77%77%
Fouls9.89.912.313.2
Cards1.761.241.351.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Feyenoord

0–15'57
16–30'147
31–45'136
46–60'148
61–75'73
76–90'1713

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Feyenoord · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.60) · stands out: as favourite +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.607
Early press (0-15, level)+0.487
Late push (76+, level)+0.232

Game state

When ahead+0.645
When level+0.697
When behind+0.362
10 min after conceding-0.025
10 min after scoring+0.816

Situations

At home+0.802
Away+0.495
4+ days rest+0.607

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.512
v bottom-tier opponents+0.844
As favourite+0.845

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.317
Conceded when ahead-0.295
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.32

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

Feyenoord

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 65%1.821.861.322.091.17
4-3-39 26%2.02.671.331.761.08
4-4-22 6%2.01.51.01.990.74
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.271.85

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 71% P 73%6.5Draw 15% P 16%6.5Away 15% P 11%

Double Chance

1.1Feyenoord or Draw 43% P 44%1.12Feyenoord or Excelsior 42% P 42%3.25Draw or Excelsior 15% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 57%2.0No 47% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 70%2.87Under 33% P 30%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 10–12.5% · 193 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home73%73%73%-0.8
Draw16%16%18%+1.6
Away11%11%10%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 72%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career
18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.413.32+0.1050
Fouls / match21.420.3+0.40
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.20 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.24-2.200
Time added6.36.4-0.2850
First card
33' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 20 120 90'7
2026-02-27 50 240 26'5
2026-02-22 40 200 19'3
2026-02-14 10 180 9'6
2025-05-25 50 191 5'9