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Eredivisie · Matchweek 27

Momentum

GAENAC Breda
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Melvin Boel · Carl Hoefkens
Position
13 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-1-3-2

Referee

Allard Lindhout

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
8.8° (feels 7.3°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 251

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
  • Aruba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY
  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Belarus Setanta Sports 1
  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
  • Bolivia Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Botswana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Burundi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cameroon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Central African Republic ESPN Africa
  • Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Chile Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
  • Colombia Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Croatia Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
  • Cuba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Denmark Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Dominica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Egypt STARZPLAY
  • El Salvador Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Eritrea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Estonia Setanta Sports 1
  • Eswatini DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
  • Gabon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Gambia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
  • Germany DAZN
  • Ghana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Grenada Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Haiti Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Jamaica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Jordan STARZPLAY
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
  • Kenya DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Kuwait STARZPLAY
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Liberia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
  • Madagascar DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malawi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
  • Mali DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 Netherlands · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Romania Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
  • Rwanda ESPN Africa
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Seychelles DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
  • Slovenia SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
  • Somalia STARZPLAY
  • South Africa ESPN Africa
  • South Sudan DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
  • Tanzania DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.37–10.48 · xPts 5.1

  • L H FC Twente 1–4 xG 2.08–2.18 NLD E
  • W A Excelsior 1–0 xG 0.68–1.86 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 4–0 xG 2.11–0.86 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 0–1 xG 0.12–3.39 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 1–3 xG 1.38–2.2 NLD E

NAC Breda

LWWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.71–6.45 · xPts 6.37

  • D H Feyenoord 3–3 xG 1.1–1.78 NLD E
  • L A Telstar 0–3 xG 0.44–1.45 NLD E
  • W H FC Volendam 1–0 xG 1.27–0.55 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 1–0 xG 1.32–1.55 NLD E
  • L H Excelsior 0–2 xG 1.58–1.12 NLD E

All meetings · 8 matches since 2013

Go Ahead Eagles 41 draws3 NAC Breda

Goals 13–10 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 41 draws3 NAC Breda

Goals 13–10 · 2.88 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 21 draws2 NAC Breda

Goals 9–4 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Go Ahead Eagles 6–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NAC Breda 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NAC Breda 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NAC Breda 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NAC Breda 5–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles at home · 17NAC Breda all · 34NAC Breda away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.470.850.53
W / D / L8 / 14 / 126 / 7 / 46 / 11 / 171 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.592.001.030.88
Goals against / match1.561.411.712.06
Clean sheets26%35%18%12%
Failed to score21%12%41%47%
Both teams scored59%59%47%47%
Over 2.562%71%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.651.311.14
xG against / match2.151.681.481.78
xG difference-0.84-0.03-0.17-0.64
Finishing vs xG0.270.35-0.28-0.26
xPts / match1.021.391.311.05
Points vs xPts0.090.08-0.45-0.52
Game state
Scored first44%53%26%18%
PPG when scoring first2.002.222.001.33
PPG when conceding first0.350.570.390.31
Came back from behind43%50%32%33%
Leads held44%54%43%17%
Minutes leading21%30%12%10%
Minutes level46%47%51%44%
Minutes trailing32%23%37%46%
First goal (min)41414850
First goal conceded (min)37413532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%53%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%58%50%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.290.29
Late goals against0.290.350.470.71
Style
Possession50%51%49%47%
Shots11.613.814.113.4
On target5.16.44.24.0
Shot conversion14%14%7%7%
Shots inside box71%69%61%59%
Big chances created2.53.01.91.8
Corners5.46.55.85.5
xG from set plays26%31%39%34%
Goals from headers17%24%23%27%
Pressure index10.912.811.99.2
Dominant minutes43.450.944.337.8
Pass accuracy80%81%77%76%
Fouls9.28.610.811.5
Cards1.790.941.882.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

NAC Breda

0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.00

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%0.781.01.611.291.47
5-3-25 15%0.40.81.41.511.46
4-4-24 12%1.251.752.01.281.51
3-4-1-22 6%0.50.01.01.281.35
4-1-3-22 6%1.51.03.01.71.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 35% P 36%1.28Go Ahead Eagles or NAC 37% P 37%1.66Draw or NAC 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Allard Lindhout

Career
254 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (2.89 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.03.32-0.7419
Fouls / match18.720.3-1.02
Fouls per card6.76.2+0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.0752
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
46' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 30 230 21'8
2026-02-22 40 210 31'9
2026-02-07 30 280 15'5
2026-02-01 41 160 9'4
2026-01-24 20 180 55'7
2026-01-10 10 190 45'6
2025-12-20 61 160 11'7
2025-12-07 30 160 24'6
2025-11-27 72 381 41'8
2025-11-23 10 130 54'5