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Eredivisie · Matchweek 28

Momentum

FeyenoordAjax
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
Capacity
3,531
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Robin van Persie · Óscar García Junyent
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.0° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
61%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Feyenoord

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 10.94–5.17 · xPts 9.88

  • W H Excelsior 2–1 xG 2.45–1.25 NLD E
  • D A NAC Breda 3–3 xG 1.78–1.1 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 0–2 xG 0.92–1.46 NLD E
  • W H Telstar 2–1 xG 2.39–1.22 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 xG 3.39–0.12 NLD E

Ajax

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 8.71–6.24 · xPts 8.16

  • W H Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 xG 2.82–0.45 NLD E
  • L A FC Groningen 1–3 xG 2.11–1.96 NLD E
  • D A PEC Zwolle 0–0 xG 0.65–1.38 NLD E
  • D H NEC Nijmegen 1–1 xG 1.71–1.22 NLD E
  • W H Fortuna Sittard 4–1 xG 1.42–1.23 NLD E

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Feyenoord 710 draws26 Ajax

Goals 53–90 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Feyenoord 32 draws5 Ajax

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Feyenoord 11 draws3 Ajax

Goals 8–7 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 2–0 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Feyenoord 6–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 0–4 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 2–3 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–2 Feyenoord neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFeyenoord all · 34Feyenoord at home · 17Ajax all · 36Ajax away · 17
Results
Matches34173617
Points per game1.912.121.671.47
W / D / L19 / 8 / 711 / 3 / 315 / 15 / 65 / 10 / 2
Goals for / match2.062.291.811.76
Goals against / match1.291.351.171.41
Clean sheets29%24%31%24%
Failed to score12%0%8%12%
Both teams scored62%76%67%76%
Over 2.559%59%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.972.201.721.39
xG against / match1.141.121.481.61
xG difference0.831.080.24-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.090.090.080.37
xPts / match1.851.991.521.27
Points vs xPts0.070.130.150.20
Game state
Scored first53%53%58%41%
PPG when scoring first2.673.002.241.86
PPG when conceding first1.071.130.851.25
Came back from behind56%62%60%80%
Leads held79%92%62%50%
Minutes leading38%41%37%27%
Minutes level40%38%46%49%
Minutes trailing22%20%16%24%
First goal (min)41423438
First goal conceded (min)39414134
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%56%42%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%65%58%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.530.330.18
Late goals against0.380.410.280.29
Style
Possession53%54%56%56%
Shots16.818.414.913.4
On target6.37.15.95.2
Shot conversion12%12%12%13%
Shots inside box70%70%68%66%
Big chances created3.13.62.82.4
Corners7.27.94.94.4
xG from set plays24%23%20%16%
Goals from headers19%15%16%21%
Pressure index17.320.216.013.5
Dominant minutes60.463.656.748.6
Pass accuracy82%83%85%84%
Fouls9.89.910.39.8
Cards1.761.241.812.24

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Feyenoord

0–15'57
16–30'147
31–45'136
46–60'148
61–75'73
76–90'1713

Ajax

0–15'106
16–30'125
31–45'156
46–60'128
61–75'47
76–90'119

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Feyenoord · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.60) · stands out: as favourite +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.607
Early press (0-15, level)+0.487
Late push (76+, level)+0.232

Game state

When ahead+0.645
When level+0.697
When behind+0.362
10 min after conceding-0.025
10 min after scoring+0.816

Situations

At home+0.802
Away+0.495
4+ days rest+0.607

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.512
v bottom-tier opponents+0.844
As favourite+0.845

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.317
Conceded when ahead-0.295
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.32

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

Feyenoord

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 65%1.821.861.322.091.17
4-3-39 26%2.02.671.331.761.08
4-4-22 6%2.01.51.01.990.74
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.271.85

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-325 69%1.61.881.161.811.52
4-2-3-18 22%1.381.381.381.541.38
5-4-12 6%3.02.00.01.261.64
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.02.01.841.02

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%4.1Draw 23% P 24%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Feyenoord or Draw 36% P 37%1.22Feyenoord or Ajax 38% P 38%1.83Draw or Ajax 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 64%2.37No 39% P 36%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 63%2.4Under 39% P 37%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–60% · away 20–30% · 2,464 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%53%56%+3.0
Draw24%25%24%-1.1
Away26%22%20%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes64%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.323.32-0.0838
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.22
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1157
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
36' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-17 10 120 46'8
2026-03-14 30 240 21'8
2026-03-07 20 111 78'7
2026-02-22 20 140 25'4
2026-02-17 41 260 18'8
2026-02-14 10 241 56'10
2026-02-11 50 220 25'9
2026-02-08 · Ajax 30 230 55'5
2026-01-21 30 240 22'5
2026-01-18 · Feyenoord 40 170 17'4