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Eredivisie · Matchweek 29

Momentum

GAEPEC Zwolle
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,537

Teams

Coaches
Melvin Boel · Henry van der Vegt
Position
13 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
13.0° (feels 11.8°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 251

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 7.53–7.87 · xPts 6.65

  • L A FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.71–1.75 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 6–0 xG 1.95–1.23 NLD E
  • L H FC Twente 1–4 xG 2.08–2.18 NLD E
  • W A Excelsior 1–0 xG 0.68–1.86 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 4–0 xG 2.11–0.86 NLD E

PEC Zwolle

DDDDW 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.88–10.05 · xPts 5.32

  • W H NAC Breda 2–1 xG 0.84–1.35 NLD E
  • D H FC Groningen 1–1 xG 2.14–3.01 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 xG 1.54–2.28 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 0–0 xG 1.38–0.65 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 1–1 xG 0.97–2.75 NLD E

All meetings · 14 matches since 2013

Go Ahead Eagles 74 draws3 PEC Zwolle

Goals 24–16 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 44 draws2 PEC Zwolle

Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 23 draws0 PEC Zwolle

Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 3–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 34Go Ahead Eagles at home · 17PEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.471.090.53
W / D / L8 / 14 / 126 / 7 / 49 / 10 / 151 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.592.001.291.35
Goals against / match1.561.412.092.94
Clean sheets26%35%18%6%
Failed to score21%12%18%6%
Both teams scored59%59%68%88%
Over 2.562%71%62%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.651.081.02
xG against / match2.151.681.942.24
xG difference-0.84-0.03-0.86-1.22
Finishing vs xG0.270.350.220.34
xPts / match1.021.390.910.74
Points vs xPts0.090.080.18-0.22
Game state
Scored first44%53%50%35%
PPG when scoring first2.002.221.820.83
PPG when conceding first0.350.570.310.36
Came back from behind43%50%25%29%
Leads held44%54%53%17%
Minutes leading21%30%27%15%
Minutes level46%47%44%40%
Minutes trailing32%23%28%45%
First goal (min)41413847
First goal conceded (min)37413930
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%53%48%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%58%54%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.410.210.24
Late goals against0.290.350.560.65
Style
Possession50%51%45%47%
Shots11.613.89.69.4
On target5.16.43.53.5
Shot conversion14%14%13%14%
Shots inside box71%69%64%65%
Big chances created2.53.02.21.9
Corners5.46.53.63.1
xG from set plays26%31%24%16%
Goals from headers17%24%20%17%
Pressure index10.912.87.36.6
Dominant minutes43.450.931.129.5
Pass accuracy80%81%78%79%
Fouls9.28.611.410.4
Cards1.790.941.822.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'106
16–30'48
31–45'913
46–60'99
61–75'97
76–90'1310

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.00

PEC Zwolle · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.257
When behind-0.146
10 min after conceding-0.416
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.164
4+ days rest-0.187

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.062
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.187

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.427
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.11

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%0.921.41.761.292.29
4-3-37 21%1.572.01.291.251.84
4-4-21 3%3.05.00.02.121.51
4-1-4-11 3%1.00.00.01.551.49

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 48%4.1Draw 23% P 25%3.9Away 24% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 37%1.25Go Ahead Eagles or PEC Zwolle 37%1.8Draw or PEC Zwolle 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.35Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw25%26%27%+1.9
Away27%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.6

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.323.32-0.0838
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.22
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1157
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
36' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 40 281 60'8
2026-03-17 10 120 46'8
2026-03-14 30 240 21'8
2026-03-07 20 111 78'7
2026-02-22 20 140 25'4
2026-02-17 41 260 18'8
2026-02-14 10 241 56'10
2026-02-11 50 220 25'9
2026-02-08 30 230 55'5
2026-01-21 30 240 22'5