NAC Breda v Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie · Matchweek 29

NAC BredaNAC Breda

0–0

Sparta RotterdamSPR

Momentum

– NAC BredaSPR –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

NAC Breda	at home	Stat	league	away	Sparta Rotterdam
49.0 #10	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	47.1 #12
14.1 #10	–	Shots total	14.1	–	13.0 #11
4.2 #15	–	Shots on target	5.2	–	4.4 #13
5.8 #5	–	Corners	5.2	–	4.6 #13
10.8 #10	–	Fouls	10.9	–	9.8 #15
1.4 #9	–	Offsides	1.4	–	1.1 #16
16.2 #12	–	Tackles	16.2	–	17.0 #4
97.7 #10	–	Attacks	97.3	–	95.2 #11
45.6 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	46.1	–	45.0 #9
395.1 #13	–	Passes	419.2	–	396.7 #12
1.6 #9	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	1.9 #3
0.2 #1	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #11
0.7 #18	–	Assists	1.2	–	0.9 #14
– #17	–	Btts	62.8	–	– #18
– #10	–	Cleansheet	20.2	–	– #1
– #4	–	Draw	26.2	–	– #14
1.3 #14	–	Expected goals	1.6	–	1.3 #13
-0.3 #16	–	Expected goals difference	-0.0	–	-0.2 #14
– #2	–	Failed to score	20.3	–	– #4
1.0 #16	1.2	Goals	1.6	1.1	1.2 #15
1.7 #5	1.4	Goals conceded	1.6	2.1	1.8 #4
0.3 #10	–	Injury time goals	0.3	–	0.3 #5
8.1 #14	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	9.1 #6
– #3	–	Lost	37.0	–	– #6
0.1 #3	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.1 #9
6.8 #14	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #7
3.7 #10	–	Shots blocked	3.8	–	3.5 #11
8.6 #10	–	Shots insidebox	9.2	–	8.5 #11
6.2 #1	–	Shots off target	5.1	–	5.1 #10
5.5 #4	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	4.6 #12
– #17	–	Win	36.8	–	– #10

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 309 of 309
Goals / match: 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
Home / draw / away: 45% · 26% · 29%
BTTS · over 2.5: 63% · 61%
Cards / match: 3.47 (reds 0.1)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 29

Venue

Stadium: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Capacity: 19,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 20,122

Teams

Coaches: Carl Hoefkens · Maurice Steijn
Position: 17 · 10
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robin Hensgens

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 13.1° (feels 12.0°)
Wind: 7.7
Humidity: 59%

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2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101	45	56	84	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	26	65	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	24	59	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	19	58	WDDWL
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	21	56	WWDLD
6	FC Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	13	53	WLWWW
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	7	52	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	4	51	LWWLD
9	FC Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	4	48	DLLWW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43	LLDLL
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39	DLLWL
12	Go Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	1	38	DDDLL
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38	DWWDW
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37	LWDWW
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37	DLWLL
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32	LWLDL
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29	DLLWD
18	Heracles Almelo	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	13	2	2	58	26	32	41	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	11	3	3	39	23	16	36	DWWDW
3	FC Utrecht	17	10	3	4	31	13	18	33	WLWWW
4	NEC Nijmegen	17	9	5	3	41	25	16	32	DDDLW
5	FC Twente	17	9	5	3	29	16	13	32	WDDWL
6	Ajax	17	9	4	4	32	17	15	31	WWDLD
7	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	7	2	39	26	13	31	WDDDD
8	SC Heerenveen	17	8	6	3	33	24	9	30	LWWLD
9	PEC Zwolle	17	8	4	5	21	21	0	28	DLWLL
10	Go Ahead Eagles	17	6	7	4	34	24	10	25	DDDLL
11	FC Groningen	17	7	4	6	27	18	9	25	DLLWW
12	Fortuna Sittard	17	7	4	6	28	29	-1	25	DLLWL
13	FC Volendam	17	6	5	6	24	23	1	23	LWLDL
14	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	5	6	21	27	-6	23	LLDLL
15	Telstar	17	5	5	7	31	28	3	20	LWDWW
16	NAC Breda	17	5	5	7	20	23	-3	20	DLLWD
17	Excelsior	17	5	3	9	20	22	-2	18	DWWDW
18	Heracles Almelo	17	4	3	10	23	36	-13	15	LLLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	17	14	1	2	43	19	24	43	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	17	8	5	4	31	21	10	29	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	17	7	6	4	36	28	8	27	DDDLW
4	FC Twente	17	6	8	3	30	24	6	26	WDDWL
5	Ajax	17	5	10	2	30	24	6	25	WWDLD
6	FC Groningen	17	7	2	8	22	27	-5	23	DLLWW
7	SC Heerenveen	17	6	3	8	24	29	-5	21	LWWLD
8	AZ Alkmaar	17	6	3	8	19	25	-6	21	WDDDD
9	FC Utrecht	17	5	5	7	24	29	-5	20	WLWWW
10	Excelsior	17	5	5	7	23	34	-11	20	DWWDW
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	2	9	19	35	-16	20	LLDLL
12	Telstar	17	4	5	8	18	27	-9	17	LWDWW
13	Fortuna Sittard	17	4	2	11	21	34	-13	14	DLLWL
14	Go Ahead Eagles	17	2	7	8	20	29	-9	13	DDDLL
15	NAC Breda	17	1	6	10	15	35	-20	9	DLLWD
16	FC Volendam	17	2	3	12	11	32	-21	9	LWLDL
17	PEC Zwolle	17	1	6	10	23	50	-27	9	DLWLL
18	Heracles Almelo	17	1	1	15	12	49	-37	4	LLLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

NAC Breda

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 14 · xG 5.4–6.57 · xPts 6.14

L A PEC Zwolle 1–2 xG 1.35–0.84 NLD E
L A Go Ahead Eagles 0–6 xG 1.23–1.95 NLD E
D H Feyenoord 3–3 xG 1.1–1.78 NLD E
L A Telstar 0–3 xG 0.44–1.45 NLD E
W H FC Volendam 1–0 xG 1.27–0.55 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.19–8.21 · xPts 6.04

W H FC Volendam 2–0 xG 1.63–0.57 NLD E
L A Ajax 0–4 xG 0.45–2.82 NLD E
D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.28–1.54 NLD E
L A SC Heerenveen 1–2 xG 0.78–2.19 NLD E
L A AZ Alkmaar 1–3 xG 1.04–1.09 NLD E

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

NAC Breda 66 draws4 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 23–17 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

NAC Breda 25 draws3 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

NAC Breda 12 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

D NAC Breda 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
L Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
D NAC Breda 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
W Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
L Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
D NAC Breda 2–2 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
D Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
D NAC Breda 2–2 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
W NAC Breda 3–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
L Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season

Metric	NAC Breda all · 34	NAC Breda at home · 17	Sparta Rotterdam all · 34	Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	0.85	1.18	1.26	1.18
W / D / L	6 / 11 / 17	5 / 5 / 7	12 / 7 / 15	6 / 2 / 9
Goals for / match	1.03	1.18	1.18	1.12
Goals against / match	1.71	1.35	1.82	2.06
Clean sheets	18%	24%	32%	35%
Failed to score	41%	35%	26%	29%
Both teams scored	47%	47%	44%	41%
Over 2.5	50%	41%	53%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.31	1.48	1.35	1.22
xG against / match	1.48	1.19	1.75	1.90
xG difference	-0.17	0.30	-0.41	-0.68
Finishing vs xG	-0.28	-0.31	-0.17	-0.10
xPts / match	1.31	1.56	1.20	1.03
Points vs xPts	-0.45	-0.39	0.07	0.14
Game state
Scored first	26%	35%	50%	41%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.33	2.35	2.57
PPG when conceding first	0.39	0.50	0.13	0.11
Came back from behind	32%	30%	12%	10%
Leads held	43%	62%	67%	86%
Minutes leading	12%	14%	24%	18%
Minutes level	51%	58%	50%	50%
Minutes trailing	37%	28%	26%	32%
First goal (min)	48	47	47	55
First goal conceded (min)	35	38	42	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	55%	62%	74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	39%	71%	66%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.29	0.29	0.38	0.47
Late goals against	0.47	0.24	0.50	0.65
Style
Possession	49%	51%	47%	48%
Shots	14.1	14.9	13.0	12.2
On target	4.2	4.4	4.4	3.9
Shot conversion	7%	8%	9%	9%
Shots inside box	61%	63%	65%	62%
Big chances created	1.9	2.0	2.1	1.8
Corners	5.8	6.1	4.6	4.4
xG from set plays	39%	43%	25%	22%
Goals from headers	23%	20%	15%	16%
Pressure index	11.9	14.6	10.0	8.5
Dominant minutes	44.3	50.9	40.2	38.3
Pass accuracy	77%	79%	79%	80%
Fouls	10.8	10.1	9.9	10.5
Cards	1.88	1.76	2.00	2.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'18

16–30'410

31–45'911

46–60'68

61–75'55

76–90'1016

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44

16–30'43

31–45'711

46–60'611

61–75'616

76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146

Early press (0-15, level)-0.496

Late push (76+, level)-0.483

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043

When level-0.086

When behind-0.245

10 min after conceding-0.315

10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063

Away-0.253

4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292

v mid-tier opponents-0.202

v bottom-tier opponents+0.152

Evenly matched-0.243

As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336

Conceded when ahead-0.293

Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.16

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	18 53%	0.78	1.0	1.61	1.29	1.47
5-3-2	5 15%	0.4	0.8	1.4	1.51	1.46
4-4-2	4 12%	1.25	1.75	2.0	1.28	1.51
4-1-3-2	2 6%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6
3-4-1-2	2 6%	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.28	1.35

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	24 71%	1.38	1.08	1.33	1.36	1.58
4-3-3	7 21%	1.43	1.71	2.57	1.44	2.29
4-2-2-2	1 3%	0.0	1.0	6.0	0.74	2.12
3-4-1-2	1 3%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.15	1.36
4-4-1-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.17	2.17

Metric	NAC Breda all · 10	NAC Breda at home · 10	Sparta Rotterdam all · 10	Sparta Rotterdam away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.70	1.00	0.60	0.50
W / D / L	1 / 4 / 5	2 / 4 / 4	1 / 3 / 6	1 / 2 / 7
Goals for / match	1.00	1.20	1.50	1.00
Goals against / match	2.20	1.50	2.60	2.60
Clean sheets	20%	30%	0%	10%
Failed to score	50%	40%	20%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	80%	70%
Over 2.5	50%	30%	90%	90%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.24	1.32	1.61	1.13
xG against / match	1.51	1.24	2.40	2.07
xG difference	-0.27	0.07	-0.79	-0.94
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	-0.12	-0.11	-0.13
xPts / match	1.23	1.43	1.08	0.95
Points vs xPts	-0.53	-0.43	-0.48	-0.45
Game state
Scored first	10%	30%	40%	30%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.33	1.00	1.00
PPG when conceding first	0.38	0.33	0.33	0.17
Came back from behind	38%	33%	25%	12%
Leads held	33%	50%	20%	33%
Minutes leading	7%	8%	15%	10%
Minutes level	51%	62%	50%	57%
Minutes trailing	42%	30%	36%	32%
First goal (min)	55	44	33	48
First goal conceded (min)	33	30	36	44
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	50%	60%	70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	33%	69%	69%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.30	0.30	0.40
Late goals against	0.70	0.20	0.90	1.10
Style
Possession	49%	53%	48%	49%
Shots	15.4	15.7	14.2	11.0
On target	4.3	4.4	4.1	3.6
Shot conversion	6%	8%	11%	9%
Shots inside box	55%	58%	74%	68%
Big chances created	1.8	1.7	2.5	1.9
Corners	6.9	7.0	5.7	5.3
xG from set plays	37%	35%	23%	24%
Goals from headers	40%	25%	33%	20%
Pressure index	13.7	17.3	9.8	8.1
Dominant minutes	47.6	55.5	36.7	38.1
Pass accuracy	77%	78%	82%	82%
Fouls	10.1	10.0	9.6	10.7
Cards	1.40	1.60	1.30	1.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'03

16–30'14

31–45'35

46–60'02

61–75'41

76–90'27

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'21

16–30'14

31–45'33

46–60'45

61–75'24

76–90'39

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	0.5	0.5	1.25	1.21	1.03
4-4-2	2 20%	0.5	1.5	2.5	1.28	2.26
4-1-3-2	2 20%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6
3-5-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	3.0	0.44	1.45
4-3-1-2	1 10%	1.0	3.0	3.0	1.1	1.78

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	0.67	1.33	2.17	1.56	2.44
3-4-3	1 10%	1.0	3.0	3.0	1.41	2.13
3-4-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.15	1.36
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	2.31	2.02
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.91	3.8

Metric	NAC Breda all · 29	NAC Breda at home · 15	Sparta Rotterdam all · 35	Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches	29	15	35	17
Points per game	0.86	1.13	1.11	1.00
W / D / L	5 / 10 / 14	4 / 5 / 6	10 / 9 / 16	5 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match	1.07	1.20	1.23	1.12
Goals against / match	1.69	1.40	1.83	2.12
Clean sheets	21%	27%	26%	24%
Failed to score	38%	33%	26%	29%
Both teams scored	48%	47%	51%	53%
Over 2.5	48%	40%	54%	71%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.33	1.40	1.41	1.22
xG against / match	1.35	1.14	1.80	1.95
xG difference	-0.02	0.26	-0.38	-0.72
Finishing vs xG	-0.26	-0.20	-0.18	-0.11
xPts / match	1.37	1.54	1.22	1.02
Points vs xPts	-0.51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.02
Game state
Scored first	24%	33%	46%	41%
PPG when scoring first	2.00	2.20	2.13	2.14
PPG when conceding first	0.45	0.56	0.22	0.11
Came back from behind	33%	33%	20%	9%
Leads held	42%	57%	56%	71%
Minutes leading	9%	11%	23%	20%
Minutes level	54%	57%	50%	49%
Minutes trailing	37%	32%	27%	31%
First goal (min)	52	49	42	45
First goal conceded (min)	32	30	42	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	61%	56%	60%	68%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	45%	33%	69%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.31	0.33	0.34	0.41
Late goals against	0.41	0.13	0.57	0.76
Style
Possession	50%	53%	48%	49%
Shots	14.9	15.2	13.2	12.0
On target	4.3	4.2	4.5	3.9
Shot conversion	7%	8%	9%	9%
Shots inside box	61%	62%	67%	64%
Big chances created	2.0	1.8	2.4	1.8
Corners	6.3	6.5	5.1	4.8
xG from set plays	36%	39%	24%	24%
Goals from headers	26%	22%	21%	16%
Pressure index	13.5	16.0	10.9	9.0
Dominant minutes	48.3	54.1	41.5	38.6
Pass accuracy	78%	79%	80%	81%
Fouls	10.4	10.3	10.3	11.0
Cards	1.90	1.80	1.91	2.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

0–15'06

16–30'310

31–45'911

46–60'56

61–75'54

76–90'912

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'63

16–30'46

31–45'711

46–60'810

61–75'614

76–90'1220

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda · 29 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1729

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229

Late push (76+, level)+0.0617

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816

Game state

When ahead-0.0811

When level+0.1529

When behind+0.2821

10 min after conceding-0.2223

10 min after scoring+0.5917

Situations

With ten men+0.265

At home+0.2115

Away+0.1314

4+ days rest+0.1729

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.117

v mid-tier opponents+0.179

v bottom-tier opponents+0.159

As favourite+0.425

Evenly matched+0.1613

As underdog+0.0711

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0229

Conceded when ahead+0.2311

Conceded late (76+)-0.1128

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14

Sparta Rotterdam · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0035

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0235

Late push (76+, level)-0.2511

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0713

Game state

When ahead+0.0118

When level+0.0635

When behind-0.1220

10 min after conceding-0.2025

10 min after scoring+0.2226

Situations

At home-0.0218

Away+0.0317

4+ days rest+0.0035

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3110

v mid-tier opponents-0.159

v bottom-tier opponents+0.1810

As favourite+0.218

Evenly matched+0.1613

As underdog-0.2614

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1535

Conceded when ahead+0.1718

Conceded late (76+)+0.1829

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.17

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	13 45%	0.77	1.08	1.54	1.32	1.17
5-3-2	5 17%	0.4	0.8	1.4	1.51	1.46
4-4-2	4 14%	1.25	1.75	2.0	1.28	1.51
3-4-1-2	2 7%	0.5	0.0	1.0	1.28	1.35
4-1-3-2	2 7%	1.5	1.0	3.0	1.7	1.6

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	27 77%	1.26	1.15	1.41	1.4	1.65
4-3-3	4 11%	1.0	1.75	3.25	1.5	2.22
4-4-1-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.17	2.17
3-4-1-2	1 3%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.15	1.36
3-4-2-1	1 3%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.91	3.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 38%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.2Away 30% P 34%

Double Chance

1.36NAC or Draw 34%1.3NAC or Sparta Rotterdam 36%1.53Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 53%1.95Under 49% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	38%	39%	39%	+0.4
Draw	28%	28%	28%	+0.1
Away	34%	34%	33%	-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	53%	54%	55%	+0.8

Robin Hensgens

Career: 40 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match: 22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.1
Cards to home side: 40%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.62	3.32	+0.54	86
Fouls / match	22.4	20.3	+0.91
Fouls per card	6.2	6.2	-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.1	0.24	-1.85	5
Time added	6.5	6.4	+0.25	62

First card: 39' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match: 1.22

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	1st card	+min
2026-03-15	4	0	29	43'	8
2026-02-22	1	1	28	65'	7
2026-02-11	1	0	22	42'	8
2026-01-25	3	0	29	26'	5
2026-01-10	4	0	17	53'	6
2025-12-14 · Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	25	24'	4
2025-11-29	8	0	41	20'	5
2025-11-23	4	0	20	2'	6
2025-10-19 · Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	21	38'	8
2025-09-27	5	0	23	31'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie

Absences

NAC Breda

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 131

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NAC Breda · 29 matches

Sparta Rotterdam · 35 matches

NAC Breda

Sparta Rotterdam

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

Robin Hensgens

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

Recent matches