Rating 6.98 (68th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (10% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (23) · 1.18 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 30
Momentum
– AZHEE –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| AZ | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.1 #6 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.2 #7 |
| 15.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.9 #8 |
| 5.9 #6 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 5.4 #9 |
| 5.8 #5 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.6 #7 |
| 10.2 #14 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.9 #7 |
| 1.1 #14 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #11 |
| 18.0 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 15.1 #16 |
| 99.2 #7 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 98.0 #9 |
| 46.9 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 48.1 #6 |
| 457.5 #4 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 444.0 #5 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| 1.2 #7 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #6 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #15 |
| – #6 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #9 |
| 1.9 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.8 #6 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.1 #11 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #6 |
| 1.7 #6 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.7 #7 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| 8.0 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.2 #12 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| 6.8 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 4.4 #5 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.8 #3 |
| 10.3 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 10.0 #8 |
| 5.5 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.7 #14 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AZ · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.84 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (16% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (29) · 2.2 without (5)
Rating 6.93 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (3% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
SC Heerenveen · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.2 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.89 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.63 ppg with (30) · 0.4 without (5)
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Levi Smans midfielder · Knee Injury · 41 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 30
Venue
- Stadium
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Capacity
- 19,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 18,554
Teams
- Coaches
- Leeroy Echteld · Robin Veldman
- Position
- 6 · 8
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 14.1° (feels 13.1°)
- Wind
- 4.0
- Humidity
- 62%
Where to watch · 251
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
AZ
WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.41–5.73 · xPts 8.58
- L
A
Shakhtar Donetsk
0–3
xG 0.65–1.05
UEFA ECL - W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 1.66–0.83
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
0–3
xG 1.86–2.49
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Praha
4–0
xG 1.77–0.8
UEFA ECL - W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–0
xG 2.46–0.56
NLD E
WWLLWWWLWL 6W 0D 4L · 18 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 20 GA 12 · xG 17.23–12.71 · xPts 16.59
- L
A
Shakhtar Donetsk
0–3
xG 0.65–1.05
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 1.66–0.83
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
0–3
xG 1.86–2.49
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Praha
4–0
xG 1.77–0.8
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–0
xG 2.46–0.56
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Praha
2–1
xG 3.37–1.07
UEFA ECL
- L
A
PSV
1–2
xG 1.42–3.06
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
0–2
xG 0.97–1.48
NLD E
- W
H
Noah
4–0
xG 1.97–0.33
UEFA ECL - W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
3–1
xG 1.09–1.04
NLD E
SC Heerenveen
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 11.9–8.92 · xPts 8.32
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–1
xG 4.4–1.39
NLD E
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.66–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
3–0
xG 1.82–1.89
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.83–2.74
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 2.19–0.78
NLD E
DLWWLWWWDW 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 22 GA 17 · xG 19.42–20.26 · xPts 14.18
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–1
xG 4.4–1.39
NLD E
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.66–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
3–0
xG 1.82–1.89
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.83–2.74
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 2.19–0.78
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–3
xG 1.13–3.66
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
4–2
xG 1.52–1.53
NLD E
- W
A
Go Ahead Eagles
3–1
xG 2.2–1.38
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
0–5
xG 0.68–3.94
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 1.99–0.84
NLD E
All meetings · 48 matches since 2005
Goals 110–78 · 3.92 per match · BTTS 69% · over 2.5 79%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 29–13 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–9 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W SC Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 4–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals
- L SC Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 9–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 2–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 0–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | AZ all · 34 | AZ at home · 17 | SC Heerenveen all · 35 | SC Heerenveen away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.82 | 1.46 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 10 / 10 | 8 / 7 / 2 | 14 / 9 / 12 | 6 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.71 | 2.29 | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.78 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 24% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 23% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 76% | 66% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 76% | 71% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.87 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.20 | 1.53 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 0.80 | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | 0.29 | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.81 | 1.58 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.14 | 0.02 | -0.13 | -0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 82% | 40% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.14 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.42 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 67% | 48% | 31% |
| Leads held | 56% | 53% | 64% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 52% | 28% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 32% | 43% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 15% | 29% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 25 | 38 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 48 | 38 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 45% | 38% | 58% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 62% | 55% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 15.8 | 16.2 | 14.9 | 13.7 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 70% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 25% | 21% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 14.8 | 16.0 | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 56.6 | 49.4 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 9.4 | 10.9 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.91 | 1.47 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313
SC Heerenveen
0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702
Game state
When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.38 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 9 26% | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.58 | 1.19 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 97% | 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.81 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.97 |
| Metric | AZ all · 10 | AZ at home · 10 | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 6 / 4 / 0 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.74 | 2.18 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 1.02 | -0.26 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.43 | -0.39 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 1.97 | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.23 | -0.23 | 0.13 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 90% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 33% | 50% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 56% | 18% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 38% | 56% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 6% | 26% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 25 | 41 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 51 | 34 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 64% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 82% | 71% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 56% | 54% | 49% |
| Shots | 17.7 | 17.5 | 14.2 | 12.5 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.4 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 8% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 68% | 62% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 21% | 15% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 18.8 | 17.3 | 11.2 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.1 | 59.2 | 47.6 | 42.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 83% | 83% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'60
16–30'03
31–45'31
46–60'42
61–75'44
76–90'63
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Metric | AZ all · 49 | AZ at home · 25 | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 36 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.59 | 1.96 | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 12 / 15 | 13 / 10 / 2 | 15 / 10 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.73 | 2.16 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.24 | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 36% | 19% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 4% | 25% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% | 61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% | 69% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.07 | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| xG difference | 0.64 | 1.07 | 0.06 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.72 | 1.95 | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 61% | 80% | 36% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.30 | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 71% | 52% | 46% |
| Leads held | 65% | 59% | 68% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 46% | 26% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 11% | 27% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 31 | 39 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 50 | 39 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 48% | 59% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 68% | 58% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 17.5 | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 21% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 8% | 3% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 17.0 | 19.2 | 12.6 | 11.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.9 | 61.0 | 47.6 | 47.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 1.73 | 1.52 | 1.42 | 1.33 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ
0–15'178
16–30'68
31–45'1511
46–60'1212
61–75'1610
76–90'1919
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1749
Late push (76+, level)+0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3717
Game state
When ahead+0.3933
When level+0.2549
When behind+0.1922
10 min after conceding-0.1233
10 min after scoring+0.3740
Situations
With ten men-0.042
Against ten men+0.064
At home+0.2925
Away+0.2724
3 days rest or fewer+0.2211
4+ days rest+0.3038
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.2413
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3915
As favourite+0.4829
Evenly matched+0.0413
As underdog-0.107
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0849
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.3442
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
AZ
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.76 | 1.72 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.65Home 58% P 55%4.33Draw 22% P 22%4.75Away 20% P 23%
Double Chance
1.22AZ or Draw 38%1.22AZ or Heerenveen 38%2.0Draw or Heerenveen 23%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 65% P 66%2.7Under 35% P 34%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–60% · away 20–25% · 365 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 55% | 56% | 59% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 21% | -1.6 |
| Away | 23% | 21% | 20% | -1.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 61%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Marc Nagtegaal
- Career
- 90 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.71 | 3.32 | -1.38 | 9 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.5 | 6.2 | +1.59 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.74 | 77 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.46 | 41 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 15' | 10 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 70' | 6 |
| 2026-01-18 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 23' | 6 |
| 2025-12-21 · AZ | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 75' | 5 |
| 2025-11-22 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 66' | 5 |