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Eredivisie · Matchweek 30

Momentum

FC UtrechtTelstar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Capacity
23,750
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,011

Teams

Coaches
Ron Jans · Anthony Correia
Position
9 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
11.4° (feels 10.9°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Utrecht

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 8.42–6.44 · xPts 8.37

  • L A PSV 3–4 xG 1.27–2.74 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 xG 1.75–0.71 NLD E
  • W A FC Twente 2–0 xG 1.54–1.66 NLD E
  • D A Heracles Almelo 0–0 xG 2.38–0.36 NLD E
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 2–0 xG 1.48–0.97 NLD E

Telstar

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.58–9.42 · xPts 6.22

  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.0–2.04 NLD E
  • W H PSV 3–1 xG 1.66–1.7 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 0–3 xG 1.89–1.82 NLD E
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 4–1 xG 1.58–3.42 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 3–0 xG 1.45–0.44 NLD E

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

FC Utrecht 11 draws0 Telstar

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

FC Utrecht 11 draws0 Telstar

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

FC Utrecht 11 draws0 Telstar

Goals 5–2 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Utrecht 4–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Telstar 1–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Utrecht all · 36FC Utrecht at home · 18Telstar all · 34Telstar away · 17
Results
Matches36183417
Points per game1.582.001.091.00
W / D / L16 / 9 / 1111 / 3 / 49 / 10 / 154 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.641.891.441.06
Goals against / match1.250.831.621.59
Clean sheets25%33%15%18%
Failed to score17%17%24%29%
Both teams scored61%50%65%59%
Over 2.550%44%59%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.681.821.431.24
xG against / match1.431.051.902.16
xG difference0.250.78-0.47-0.92
Finishing vs xG-0.050.060.01-0.18
xPts / match1.551.831.150.90
Points vs xPts0.040.17-0.060.10
Game state
Scored first56%78%47%41%
PPG when scoring first2.302.361.811.71
PPG when conceding first0.670.750.410.44
Came back from behind39%33%17%20%
Leads held73%73%50%50%
Minutes leading30%42%24%19%
Minutes level46%44%44%45%
Minutes trailing24%14%32%36%
First goal (min)43354548
First goal conceded (min)45534040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%73%56%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.330.380.18
Late goals against0.360.280.500.47
Style
Possession46%47%45%43%
Shots15.317.412.812.1
On target5.55.94.94.4
Shot conversion11%11%11%9%
Shots inside box68%70%66%65%
Big chances created2.62.93.12.6
Corners5.35.34.74.1
xG from set plays31%32%31%32%
Goals from headers24%23%20%17%
Pressure index11.812.58.07.1
Dominant minutes45.847.837.032.1
Pass accuracy79%79%76%76%
Fouls10.910.411.312.1
Cards1.531.171.351.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Utrecht

0–15'76
16–30'45
31–45'125
46–60'1212
61–75'104
76–90'1312

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Utrecht · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096

Situations

At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

FC Utrecht

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 67%1.791.711.211.781.48
4-3-38 22%1.751.50.751.521.2
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.02.01.511.5
4-4-21 3%0.01.02.01.71.59
3-4-31 3%0.03.04.01.272.74

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -3.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 59% P 60%3.8Draw 25% P 24%5.75Away 16% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12FC Utrecht or Draw 42%1.25FC Utrecht or Telstar 38%2.3Draw or Telstar 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%57%-1.5
Draw24%25%28%+3.8
Away16%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.323.32-0.0936
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.23
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1559
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
36' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 10 250 36'3
2026-03-22 40 281 60'8
2026-03-17 10 120 46'8
2026-03-14 30 240 21'8
2026-03-07 20 111 78'7
2026-02-22 20 140 25'4
2026-02-17 41 260 18'8
2026-02-14 10 241 56'10
2026-02-11 · FC Utrecht 50 220 25'9
2026-02-08 30 230 55'5