Rating 7.22 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 0.73 without (11)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 30
Momentum
– FORNAC Breda –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Fortuna Sittard | at home | Stat | league | away | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.0 #10 |
| 12.7 #13 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 14.1 #10 |
| 4.4 #12 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.2 #15 |
| 4.3 #15 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 5.8 #5 |
| 12.3 #2 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 10.8 #10 |
| 1.5 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.4 #9 |
| 17.7 #2 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 16.2 #12 |
| 91.1 #13 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 97.7 #10 |
| 36.6 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 45.6 #8 |
| 363.2 #15 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 395.1 #13 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.1 #10 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 0.7 #18 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #17 |
| – #16 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #15 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #4 |
| 1.4 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #14 |
| 0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.3 #16 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #2 |
| 1.4 #10 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 #16 |
| 1.9 #3 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.7 #5 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 10.7 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.1 #14 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #9 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #3 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #14 |
| 3.4 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 8.6 #10 |
| 4.8 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 6.2 #1 |
| 4.8 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.5 #4 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Fortuna Sittard · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.79 (44th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.11 ppg with (28) · 1.33 without (6)
Rating 6.77 (36th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
NAC Breda
No ranked players yet.
Absences
Fortuna Sittard
- injury Daley Sinkgraven defender · Knee Injury · 56 missed
- injury Justin Lonwijk midfielder · Unknown Injury · 17 missed · until 2026-06-19
- injury Ramazan Bayram goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 56 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 30
Venue
- Stadium
- Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
- Capacity
- 12,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 11,135
Teams
- Coaches
- Danny Buijs · Carl Hoefkens
- Position
- 12 · 17
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jeroen Manschot
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 12.8° (feels 11.5°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 54%
Where to watch · 257
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Fortuna Sittard
WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 9.88–9.38 · xPts 6.98
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 0.83–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
1–2
xG 1.09–1.94
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 2.12–2.6
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
1–4
xG 3.42–1.58
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.42–1.6
NLD E
WLDLWWLWLL 4W 1D 5L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 15 GA 21 · xG 16.12–18.97 · xPts 11.88
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 0.83–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
1–2
xG 1.09–1.94
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 2.12–2.6
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
1–4
xG 3.42–1.58
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.42–1.6
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.37–1.61
NLD E
- L
A
Ajax
1–4
xG 1.23–1.42
NLD E
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–2
xG 1.2–2.09
NLD E
- L
A
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 0.65–2.19
NLD E
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 0.79–2.28
NLD E
NAC Breda
LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 14 · xG 4.7–6.36 · xPts 5.71
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
xG 0.57–0.34
NLD E
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–2
xG 1.35–0.84
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–6
xG 1.23–1.95
NLD E
- D
H
Feyenoord
3–3
xG 1.1–1.78
NLD E
- L
A
Telstar
0–3
xG 0.44–1.45
NLD E
DDLWWLDLLD 2W 4D 4L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 20 · xG 11.43–13.34 · xPts 12.56
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
0–0
xG 0.57–0.34
NLD E
- L
A
PEC Zwolle
1–2
xG 1.35–0.84
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–6
xG 1.23–1.95
NLD E
- D
H
Feyenoord
3–3
xG 1.1–1.78
NLD E
- L
A
Telstar
0–3
xG 0.44–1.45
NLD E
- W
H
FC Volendam
1–0
xG 1.27–0.55
NLD E
- W
A
Heracles Almelo
1–0
xG 1.32–1.55
NLD E
- L
H
Excelsior
0–2
xG 1.58–1.12
NLD E
- D
H
FC Twente
2–2
xG 1.39–2.12
NLD E
- D
A
PSV
2–2
xG 1.17–1.64
NLD E
All meetings · 6 matches since 2018
Goals 8–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 8–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 2–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 1–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- L NAC Breda 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- W Fortuna Sittard 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
- W NAC Breda 2–3 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 34 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 17 | NAC Breda all · 34 | NAC Breda away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.15 | 1.47 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 4 / 6 | 6 / 11 / 17 | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.44 | 1.65 | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.85 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 18% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 0% | 41% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 82% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% | 50% | 59% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.76 | 1.57 | 1.48 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | -0.35 | 0.16 | -0.17 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | -0.08 | -0.28 | -0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | 1.47 | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.45 | -0.52 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 76% | 26% | 18% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.82 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 25% | 32% | 33% |
| Leads held | 55% | 50% | 43% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 39% | 12% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 41% | 51% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 19% | 37% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 48 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 46 | 35 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 60% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 69% | 50% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 45% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.5 | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 7% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 67% | 61% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 29% | 39% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 18% | 23% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 10.6 | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 37.0 | 40.2 | 44.3 | 37.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 75% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.2 | 10.8 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.29 | 1.88 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1011
16–30'511
31–45'109
46–60'88
61–75'69
76–90'1015
NAC Breda
0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065
Situations
At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00
NAC Breda
No pressure profile yet.
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 2.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 53% | 0.78 | 1.0 | 1.61 | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 15% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 10 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 10 | NAC Breda all · 10 | NAC Breda away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.10 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.86 | 1.44 | 1.24 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 2.34 | 2.15 | 1.51 | 1.66 |
| xG difference | -1.48 | -0.71 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.84 | 0.06 | -0.24 | -0.41 |
| xPts / match | 0.70 | 1.13 | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.60 | -0.03 | -0.53 | -0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 10% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.86 | 1.57 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 0% | 38% | 38% |
| Leads held | 57% | 43% | 33% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 37% | 7% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 42% | 51% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 21% | 42% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 34 | 55 | 69 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 56 | 33 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 60% | 75% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 77% | 82% | 46% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.80 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | 42% | 49% | 46% |
| Shots | 10.2 | 11.7 | 15.4 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 13% | 6% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 69% | 55% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 2.4 | 4.0 | 6.9 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 20% | 40% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 7.3 | 9.0 | 13.7 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 31.4 | 35.9 | 47.6 | 40.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 77% | 76% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 9.2 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'40
16–30'33
31–45'22
46–60'33
61–75'36
76–90'28
NAC Breda
0–15'03
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'02
61–75'41
76–90'27
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 3.59 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.28 | 4.65 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.28 | 2.26 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.44 | 1.45 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.78 |
| Metric | Fortuna Sittard all · 35 | Fortuna Sittard at home · 18 | NAC Breda all · 29 | NAC Breda away · 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 29 | 14 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 17 | 7 / 3 / 8 | 5 / 10 / 14 | 1 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.49 | 1.50 | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Goals against / match | 1.94 | 1.83 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 9% | 17% | 21% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 6% | 38% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 77% | 78% | 48% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% | 48% | 57% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.52 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.90 | 1.35 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -0.62 | -0.37 | -0.02 | -0.32 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | -0.02 | -0.26 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.08 | 1.27 | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.12 | 0.07 | -0.51 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 54% | 72% | 24% | 14% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.84 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 11% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 57% | 54% | 42% | 20% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 39% | 9% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 39% | 54% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 22% | 37% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 52 | 56 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 47 | 32 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 48% | 61% | 69% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 73% | 45% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.71 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 42% | 50% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 12.7 | 14.9 | 14.5 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 66% | 61% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.6 | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| xG from set plays | 25% | 26% | 36% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 22% | 26% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.1 | 37.4 | 48.3 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | 75% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.4 | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.06 | 1.94 | 1.90 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1111
16–30'710
31–45'108
46–60'910
61–75'810
76–90'719
NAC Breda
0–15'06
16–30'310
31–45'911
46–60'56
61–75'54
76–90'912
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1835
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635
Late push (76+, level)-0.459
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218
Game state
When ahead-0.2121
When level-0.2035
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.3632
10 min after scoring-0.1030
Situations
With ten men-0.114
At home-0.1918
Away-0.1617
4+ days rest-0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents-0.299
v bottom-tier opponents-0.019
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched-0.1011
As underdog-0.2621
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3635
Conceded when ahead+0.3121
Conceded late (76+)+0.2034
Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08
NAC Breda · 29 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1729
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1229
Late push (76+, level)+0.0617
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2816
Game state
When ahead-0.0811
When level+0.1529
When behind+0.2821
10 min after conceding-0.2223
10 min after scoring+0.5917
Situations
With ten men+0.275
At home+0.2115
Away+0.1314
4+ days rest+0.1729
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.117
v mid-tier opponents+0.179
v bottom-tier opponents+0.169
As favourite+0.425
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog+0.0811
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0229
Conceded when ahead+0.2311
Conceded late (76+)-0.1128
Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.14
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 54% | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 11% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.34 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.03 | 2.25 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 1.47 | 2.2 |
NAC Breda
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 45% | 0.77 | 1.08 | 1.54 | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 5 17% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.46 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 14% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 7% | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 7% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.8Home 33% P 34%3.3Draw 28% P 27%2.45Away 38% P 39%
Double Chance
1.57Fortuna Sittard or Draw 30%1.3Fortuna Sittard or NAC 36%1.4Draw or NAC 34%
Draw No Bet
2.11 44%1.662 56%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 34% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 39% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Jeroen Manschot
- Career
- 232 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.31 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 114 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.58 | 3.32 | +0.46 | 73 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 6.2 | -1.44 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.24 | +0.84 | 82 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.44 | 73 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-03-08 · NAC Breda | 5 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 15 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23' | 9 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 44' | 4 |
| 2026-01-17 · Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 57' | 5 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 53' | 10 |
| 2025-12-21 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5' | 6 |
| 2025-12-14 · NAC Breda | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 4' | 5 |
| 2025-11-30 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 48' | 8 |
| 2025-11-22 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 11' | 6 |