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Eredivisie · Matchweek 30

Momentum

PEC ZwolleExcelsior
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
13,747

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Ruben den Uil
Position
13 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Martijn Vos

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.0° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 251

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
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  • Iraq STARZPLAY
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  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 Netherlands · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
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  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
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  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

DDDWL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 7.41–9.42 · xPts 5.88

  • L A Go Ahead Eagles 0–5 xG 1.51–2.12 NLD E
  • W H NAC Breda 2–1 xG 0.84–1.35 NLD E
  • D H FC Groningen 1–1 xG 2.14–3.01 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 xG 1.54–2.28 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 0–0 xG 1.38–0.65 NLD E

Excelsior

LLLDL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 7.66–7.47 · xPts 6.96

  • L H NEC Nijmegen 0–2 xG 0.66–1.06 NLD E
  • D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 1.15–1.43 NLD E
  • L A Feyenoord 1–2 xG 1.25–2.45 NLD E
  • L H SC Heerenveen 1–2 xG 2.74–1.83 NLD E
  • L H Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 xG 1.86–0.68 NLD E

All meetings · 14 matches since 2014

PEC Zwolle 85 draws1 Excelsior

Goals 30–13 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 63 draws1 Excelsior

Goals 19–10 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 31 draws1 Excelsior

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • W PEC Zwolle 2–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 1–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 34PEC Zwolle at home · 17Excelsior all · 34Excelsior away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.651.121.18
W / D / L9 / 10 / 158 / 4 / 510 / 8 / 165 / 5 / 7
Goals for / match1.291.241.261.35
Goals against / match2.091.241.652.00
Clean sheets18%29%18%12%
Failed to score18%29%21%18%
Both teams scored68%47%65%76%
Over 2.562%47%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.081.141.431.47
xG against / match1.941.641.721.86
xG difference-0.86-0.50-0.29-0.39
Finishing vs xG0.220.10-0.17-0.12
xPts / match0.911.071.201.13
Points vs xPts0.180.58-0.090.05
Game state
Scored first50%65%44%35%
PPG when scoring first1.822.361.802.00
PPG when conceding first0.310.200.560.70
Came back from behind25%17%33%42%
Leads held53%73%62%71%
Minutes leading27%39%24%22%
Minutes level44%49%46%42%
Minutes trailing28%12%30%35%
First goal (min)38263940
First goal conceded (min)39504137
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%33%51%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%62%61%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.350.41
Late goals against0.560.470.260.24
Style
Possession45%43%48%46%
Shots9.69.912.412.1
On target3.53.54.24.2
Shot conversion13%12%10%11%
Shots inside box64%63%66%66%
Big chances created2.22.42.62.0
Corners3.64.14.14.0
xG from set plays24%30%29%28%
Goals from headers20%24%22%22%
Pressure index7.38.07.96.5
Dominant minutes31.132.638.735.1
Pass accuracy78%76%77%77%
Fouls11.412.412.313.2
Cards1.821.651.351.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-116 47%1.061.251.811.091.76
4-3-314 41%1.431.51.641.122.01
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.53.51.251.83
4-5-11 3%0.00.04.00.191.96
4-4-21 3%0.02.08.00.814.01

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 43%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.0Away 32% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36PEC Zwolle or Draw 35%1.28PEC Zwolle or Excelsior 37%1.66Draw or Excelsior 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.25Under 42% P 43%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%43%45%+1.8
Draw26%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Martijn Vos

Career
20 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.4 (4.0 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.5 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.73.32+2.82100
Fouls / match23.520.3+1.55
Fouls per card5.06.2-2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.24+0.8786
Time added6.46.4-0.1055
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 20 241 79'3
2026-02-28 50 160 7'5
2026-02-01 101 230 13'6
2025-12-05 · Excelsior 52 191 21'7
2025-11-07 62 170 33'10
2025-10-05 61 310 29'9
2025-09-14 10 310 44'7
2025-08-17 40 200 13'5
2025-05-18 20 290 73'4