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Eredivisie · Matchweek 30

Momentum

SPRPSV
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Capacity
11,026
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
10,319

Teams

Coaches
Maurice Steijn · Peter Bosz
Position
8 · 1
Formation
4-4-1-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alex Bos

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
10.1° (feels 9.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 257

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sparta Rotterdam

LDLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.49–7.7 · xPts 5.74

  • D A NAC Breda 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 NLD E
  • W H FC Volendam 2–0 xG 1.63–0.57 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 0–4 xG 0.45–2.82 NLD E
  • D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.28–1.54 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 1–2 xG 0.78–2.19 NLD E

PSV

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 11 · xG 12.44–7.51 · xPts 9.54

  • W H FC Utrecht 4–3 xG 2.74–1.27 NLD E
  • L A Telstar 1–3 xG 1.7–1.66 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 2–3 xG 1.64–1.79 NLD E
  • W H AZ Alkmaar 2–1 xG 3.06–1.42 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 3–1 xG 3.3–1.36 NLD E

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Sparta Rotterdam 04 draws24 PSV

Goals 20–70 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sparta Rotterdam 01 draws9 PSV

Goals 7–28 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sparta Rotterdam 00 draws5 PSV

Goals 4–17 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L PSV 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 6–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PSV 4–2 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PSV 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
MetricSparta Rotterdam all · 34Sparta Rotterdam at home · 17PSV all · 34PSV away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.352.472.53
W / D / L12 / 7 / 156 / 5 / 627 / 3 / 414 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.181.242.972.53
Goals against / match1.821.591.321.12
Clean sheets32%29%21%29%
Failed to score26%24%3%0%
Both teams scored44%47%76%71%
Over 2.553%41%85%76%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.472.242.01
xG against / match1.751.611.161.14
xG difference-0.41-0.131.080.87
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.240.730.52
xPts / match1.201.362.001.89
Points vs xPts0.07-0.010.470.64
Game state
Scored first50%59%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.352.202.752.83
PPG when conceding first0.130.141.801.80
Came back from behind12%14%64%60%
Leads held67%54%90%93%
Minutes leading24%30%52%50%
Minutes level50%49%35%43%
Minutes trailing26%21%13%8%
First goal (min)47392428
First goal conceded (min)42473635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%52%50%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half71%78%49%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.290.650.53
Late goals against0.500.350.210.18
Style
Possession47%46%61%58%
Shots13.013.817.616.1
On target4.44.97.27.1
Shot conversion9%9%17%16%
Shots inside box65%68%69%72%
Big chances created2.12.44.34.4
Corners4.64.77.16.7
xG from set plays25%28%23%22%
Goals from headers15%14%25%30%
Pressure index10.011.522.819.1
Dominant minutes40.242.266.860.2
Pass accuracy79%78%86%85%
Fouls9.99.210.310.8
Cards2.001.591.562.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44
16–30'43
31–45'711
46–60'611
61–75'616
76–90'1317

PSV

0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16

PSV · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237

Situations

At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466

Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.381.081.331.361.58
4-3-37 21%1.431.712.571.442.29
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.06.00.742.12
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.02.01.172.17
3-4-1-21 3%0.01.04.01.151.36

PSV

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 59%2.53.051.22.241.06
4-3-311 32%2.272.731.552.191.34
4-4-22 6%3.02.50.52.670.77
3-2-4-11 3%3.05.03.01.811.95

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%4.2Draw 22% P 22%1.9Away 50% P 50%

Double Chance

1.95Sparta Rotterdam or Draw 24%1.2Sparta Rotterdam or PSV 39%1.28Draw or PSV 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.33Yes 71%3.25No 29%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 73% P 71%3.5Under 27% P 29%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%20%-5.5
Draw22%23%24%+1.0
Away50%51%56%+4.5

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.4

Alex Bos

Career
61 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.353.32-0.0341
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.99 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.24+1.5296
Time added6.26.4-0.4641
First card
42' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-04 17 4
2026-03-13 30 220 19'6
2026-03-08 10 161 73'5
2026-02-07 · Sparta Rotterdam 40 230 83'7
2026-01-31 27 11
2026-01-21 40 180 67'7
2026-01-11 10 190 83'5
2025-12-13 · PSV 60 193 17'8
2025-11-23 41 200 43'5
2025-10-19 30 280 38'6