Rating 7.34 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 12 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.48 ppg with (27) · 2.43 without (7)
Eredivisie · Matchweek 31
Momentum
– PSVPEC Zwolle –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| PSV | at home | Stat | league | away | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.8 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.0 #15 |
| 17.6 #2 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 9.7 #18 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 3.5 #18 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 10.3 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 11.4 #5 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.6 #4 |
| 16.7 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 17.4 #3 |
| 110.8 #2 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 84.8 #17 |
| 60.6 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 35.1 #18 |
| 550.0 #1 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 379.5 #14 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 2.4 #1 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.1 #12 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #4 |
| – #9 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #6 |
| 2.2 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.1 #18 |
| 0.7 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.2 #4 |
| – #17 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #10 |
| 3.0 #1 | 3.4 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 #13 |
| 1.3 #14 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 #2 |
| 0.4 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 8.6 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #2 |
| – #18 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #6 |
| 0.1 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | – |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 4.2 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.5 #17 |
| 12.1 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 6.2 #18 |
| 6.1 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 3.6 #17 |
| 5.4 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.5 #17 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
PSV · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.18 (95th pct) · G+A 14 + 5 (19% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.22 without (9)
Rating 7.24 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 9 (10% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Team 2.71 ppg with (24) · 1.9 without (10)
PEC Zwolle · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.96 (59th pct) · G+A 12 + 6 (41% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 7.28 (88th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (14% of team goals) · 35% of minutes
Team 1.17 ppg with (12) · 1.05 without (22)
Rating 6.84 (40th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (20% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Absences
PSV
- injury Noah Fernandez #17 key player midfielder · Broken Nose Bone · until 2025-05-25
- injury Ruben van Bommel #12 key player attacker · Knee Injury · 39 missed · until 2026-07-17
PEC Zwolle
- injury Samir Lagsir midfielder · Knee Injury · 27 missed
- injury Shola Shoretire attacker · Knee Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-07-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 31
Venue
- Stadium
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Capacity
- 36,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 31,200
Teams
- Coaches
- Peter Bosz · Henry van der Vegt
- Position
- 1 · 13
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 9.6° (feels 8.7°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 60%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
PSV
WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 11.31–7.31 · xPts 9.17
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
2–0
xG 2.17–1.17
NLD E
- W
H
FC Utrecht
4–3
xG 2.74–1.27
NLD E
- L
A
Telstar
1–3
xG 1.7–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–3
xG 1.64–1.79
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
2–1
xG 3.06–1.42
NLD E
WWLWWWLLWW 7W 0D 3L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 23 GA 15 · xG 25.87–12.24 · xPts 21.25
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
2–0
xG 2.17–1.17
NLD E
- W
H
FC Utrecht
4–3
xG 2.74–1.27
NLD E
- L
A
Telstar
1–3
xG 1.7–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
2–3
xG 1.64–1.79
NLD E
- W
H
AZ Alkmaar
2–1
xG 3.06–1.42
NLD E
- W
A
Heracles Almelo
3–1
xG 3.3–1.36
NLD E
- W
H
SC Heerenveen
3–1
xG 3.66–1.13
NLD E
- L
A
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 2.66–1.18
NLD E
- W
A
FC Groningen
2–1
xG 3.23–0.81
NLD E
- W
H
Feyenoord
3–0
xG 1.71–0.45
NLD E
PEC Zwolle
DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 8.26–10.82 · xPts 5.46
- D
H
Excelsior
2–2
xG 2.22–2.06
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–5
xG 1.51–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
2–1
xG 0.84–1.35
NLD E
- D
H
FC Groningen
1–1
xG 2.14–3.01
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
xG 1.54–2.28
NLD E
WLLDDDDWLD 2W 5D 3L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 14 GA 18 · xG 15.73–18.84 · xPts 12.21
- D
H
Excelsior
2–2
xG 2.22–2.06
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
0–5
xG 1.51–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
NAC Breda
2–1
xG 0.84–1.35
NLD E
- D
H
FC Groningen
1–1
xG 2.14–3.01
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
xG 1.54–2.28
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 1.38–0.65
NLD E
- D
A
FC Utrecht
1–1
xG 0.97–2.75
NLD E
- L
A
SC Heerenveen
2–4
xG 1.53–1.52
NLD E
- L
H
FC Volendam
1–2
xG 0.99–1.55
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
4–1
xG 2.6–1.55
NLD E
All meetings · 26 matches since 2012
Goals 83–25 · 4.15 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 92%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 40–9 · 4.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 24–5 · 5.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- W PSV 6–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W PEC Zwolle 0–4 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PEC Zwolle 3–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 6–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W PEC Zwolle 1–7 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 4–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W PEC Zwolle 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 3–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 4–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
- W PEC Zwolle 0–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | PSV all · 34 | PSV at home · 17 | PEC Zwolle all · 34 | PEC Zwolle away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.47 | 2.41 | 1.09 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 27 / 3 / 4 | 13 / 2 / 2 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 1 / 6 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.97 | 3.41 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.53 | 2.09 | 2.94 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 12% | 18% | 6% |
| Failed to score | 3% | 6% | 18% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 76% | 82% | 68% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 94% | 62% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.24 | 2.47 | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.94 | 2.24 |
| xG difference | 1.08 | 1.29 | -0.86 | -1.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.73 | 0.95 | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| xPts / match | 2.00 | 2.12 | 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.18 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 71% | 50% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.75 | 2.67 | 1.82 | 0.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 64% | 67% | 25% | 29% |
| Leads held | 90% | 87% | 53% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 52% | 54% | 27% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 28% | 44% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 19% | 28% | 45% |
| First goal (min) | 24 | 20 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 36 | 39 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 52% | 48% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 54% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.65 | 0.76 | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 63% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 17.6 | 19.1 | 9.6 | 9.4 |
| On target | 7.2 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 64% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 24% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 21% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 22.8 | 26.6 | 7.3 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.8 | 73.5 | 31.1 | 29.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 78% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.56 | 1.12 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'166
16–30'176
31–45'1711
46–60'174
61–75'1211
76–90'227
PEC Zwolle
0–15'107
16–30'610
31–45'716
46–60'710
61–75'79
76–90'719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
PEC Zwolle · 7 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494
Game state
When ahead+0.003
When level-0.257
When behind-0.146
10 min after conceding-0.416
10 min after scoring+0.074
Situations
At home-0.213
Away-0.164
4+ days rest-0.187
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.453
v mid-tier opponents+0.062
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.427
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085
Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.11
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 59% | 2.5 | 3.05 | 1.2 | 2.24 | 1.06 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 32% | 2.27 | 2.73 | 1.55 | 2.19 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.67 | 0.77 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.81 | 1.95 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 47% | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.81 | 1.09 | 1.76 |
| 4-3-3 | 14 41% | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.64 | 1.12 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.19 | 1.96 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 0.81 | 4.01 |
| Metric | PSV all · 10 | PSV at home · 10 | PEC Zwolle all · 10 | PEC Zwolle away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 1 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 2.80 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.53 | 2.62 | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.18 | 2.18 | 2.03 |
| xG difference | 1.44 | 1.44 | -1.31 | -0.94 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.87 | 0.78 | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| xPts / match | 2.14 | 2.13 | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.20 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 88% | 12% | 33% |
| Leads held | 78% | 88% | 50% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 48% | 36% | 15% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 42% | 45% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 22% | 40% | 49% |
| First goal (min) | 19 | 31 | 38 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | 24 | 35 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 65% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 27% | 60% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 65% | 43% | 45% |
| Shots | 19.1 | 19.1 | 9.8 | 11.8 |
| On target | 7.6 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 18% | 9% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 66% | 55% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 7.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 36% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 15% | 22% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 20.9 | 20.9 | 6.5 | 7.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.6 | 67.1 | 32.3 | 34.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.9 | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
PEC Zwolle
0–15'01
16–30'36
31–45'13
46–60'13
61–75'26
76–90'26
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 1.13 | 2.5 | 0.97 | 2.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.49 | 1.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.54 | 1.33 |
| Metric | PSV all · 43 | PSV at home · 21 | PEC Zwolle all · 37 | PEC Zwolle away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 21 | 37 | 19 |
| Points per game | 2.26 | 2.19 | 0.95 | 0.53 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 7 / 6 | 14 / 4 / 3 | 8 / 11 / 18 | 1 / 7 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 2.84 | 3.29 | 1.24 | 1.32 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.57 | 2.32 | 2.89 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 10% | 14% | 5% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 22% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 84% | 90% | 68% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 95% | 68% | 79% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.18 | 2.48 | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | 1.21 | 2.06 | 2.29 |
| xG difference | 0.98 | 1.28 | -0.99 | -1.28 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | 0.80 | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.07 | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.12 | 0.09 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 52% | 49% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.36 | 1.61 | 0.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.79 | 2.00 | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Came back from behind | 71% | 75% | 25% | 31% |
| Leads held | 86% | 78% | 44% | 12% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 47% | 22% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 37% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 16% | 31% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 26 | 38 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 35 | 38 | 31 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 54% | 48% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 46% | 56% | 51% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 62% | 44% | 45% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 10.2 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 28% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 19% | 22% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 24.1 | 7.4 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 64.0 | 68.4 | 30.6 | 29.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.68 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
PEC Zwolle
0–15'88
16–30'814
31–45'816
46–60'712
61–75'714
76–90'822
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4621
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0514
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
PEC Zwolle · 37 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.16) · stands out: with ten men -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1637
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1437
Late push (76+, level)-0.2717
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2614
Game state
When ahead-0.1518
When level-0.2137
When behind-0.0724
10 min after conceding-0.2632
10 min after scoring+0.1728
Situations
With ten men-0.316
Against ten men-0.612
At home-0.2118
Away-0.1019
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.1735
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2911
v mid-tier opponents-0.1711
v bottom-tier opponents-0.049
As favourite-0.362
Evenly matched-0.1210
As underdog-0.1625
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4337
Conceded when ahead+0.6318
Conceded late (76+)+0.4030
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level +0.13
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
PEC Zwolle
Current: winless 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 49% | 0.83 | 1.28 | 2.33 | 1.12 | 2.07 |
| 4-3-3 | 13 35% | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.16 | 2.01 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 3.33 | 1.01 | 1.67 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.65 | 2.99 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.19 | 1.96 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.3Home 73% P 71%6.0Draw 16% P 15%8.0Away 12% P 14%
Double Chance
1.06PSV or Draw 45%1.11PSV or PEC Zwolle 43%3.75Draw or PEC Zwolle 13%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.22Over 77% P 78%4.2Under 23% P 22%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 70–75% · away 10–15% · 759 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 71% | 72% | 74% | +2.5 |
| Draw | 15% | 17% | 16% | -1.5 |
| Away | 14% | 11% | 10% | -1.0 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 65%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 75–80% · 137 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 77% | 79% | +1.8 |
Marc Nagtegaal
- Career
- 90 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.71 | 3.32 | -1.33 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.5 | 6.2 | +1.54 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.75 | 76 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.41 | 43 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 42' | 6 |
| 2026-03-22 · PSV | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 15' | 10 |
| 2026-02-08 · PSV | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 70' | 6 |
| 2026-01-18 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 23' | 6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 37' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 · PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 75' | 5 |