Rating 7.2 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 5 (31% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 31
Momentum
– HEEFOR –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| SC Heerenveen | at home | Stat | league | away | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.8 #17 |
| 14.9 #8 | – | Shots total | 14.1 | – | 12.7 #13 |
| 5.4 #9 | – | Shots on target | 5.2 | – | 4.4 #12 |
| 5.6 #7 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.3 #15 |
| 10.9 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.9 | – | 12.3 #2 |
| 1.2 #11 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #5 |
| 15.1 #16 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 17.7 #2 |
| 98.0 #9 | – | Attacks | 97.3 | – | 91.1 #13 |
| 48.1 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.1 | – | 36.6 #17 |
| 444.0 #5 | – | Passes | 419.2 | – | 363.2 #15 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.2 #6 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.1 #10 |
| – #6 | – | Btts | 62.8 | – | – #2 |
| – #15 | – | Cleansheet | 20.2 | – | – #16 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 26.2 | – | – #15 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #12 |
| -0.1 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.0 #7 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 20.3 | – | – #13 |
| 1.7 #7 | 1.9 | Goals | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 #10 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 #3 |
| 0.2 #17 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #5 |
| 8.2 #12 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #1 |
| – #11 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #9 |
| 6.8 #9 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.8 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.4 #12 |
| 10.0 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.2 | – | 7.9 #15 |
| 4.7 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.1 | – | 4.8 #13 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.8 #11 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 36.8 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 309 of 309
- Goals / match
- 3.17 (home 1.8 · away 1.37)
- Home / draw / away
- 45% · 26% · 29%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 63% · 61%
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Heerenveen · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.89 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.63 ppg with (30) · 0.4 without (5)
Fortuna Sittard · 2025/2026 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.22 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 10 (33% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Team 1.35 ppg with (23) · 0.73 without (11)
Rating 6.79 (44th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (10% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.11 ppg with (28) · 1.33 without (6)
Rating 6.77 (36th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (2% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.21 ppg with (28) · 0.83 without (6)
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Levi Smans midfielder · Knee Injury · 41 missed
Fortuna Sittard
- injury Daley Sinkgraven defender · Knee Injury · 56 missed
- injury Justin Lonwijk midfielder · Unknown Injury · 17 missed · until 2026-06-19
- injury Ramazan Bayram goalkeeper · Knee Injury · 56 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 31
Venue
- Stadium
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Capacity
- 27,224
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 25,164
Teams
- Coaches
- Robin Veldman · Danny Buijs
- Position
- 8 · 12
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Edwin van de Graaf
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 9.3° (feels 7.6°)
- Wind
- 3.2
- Humidity
- 74%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 45 | 56 | 84 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Feyenoord |
34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 65 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 53 | 24 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 4 |  FC Twente |
34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 58 | WDDWL |
| 5 |  Ajax |
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 56 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  FC Utrecht |
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar |
34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 52 | WDDDD |
| 8 |  SC Heerenveen |
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 51 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | DLLWW |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 | LLDLL |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard |
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 39 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 38 | DDDLL |
| 13 |  Excelsior |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 | DWWDW |
| 14 |  Telstar |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 | LWDWW |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 37 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  FC Volendam |
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35 | 55 | -20 | 32 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  NAC Breda |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Heracles Almelo |
34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 85 | -50 | 19 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 41 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 36 | DWWDW |
| 3 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 33 | WLWWW |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 32 | DDDLW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Ajax |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 31 | WWDLD |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 31 | WDDDD |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 | LWWLD |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 25 | DDDLL |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 25 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 13 | FC Volendam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 | LWLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Telstar |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 16 | NAC Breda |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 15 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Feyenoord |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 29 | DWWDW |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 27 | DDDLW |
| 4 | FC Twente |
17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Ajax |
17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 25 | WWDLD |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 | DLLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 21 | LWWLD |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar |
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Excelsior |
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Telstar |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 17 | LWDWW |
| 13 | Fortuna Sittard |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 | DDDLL |
| 15 | NAC Breda |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 9 | DLLWD |
| 16 | FC Volendam |
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Heracles Almelo |
17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 49 | -37 | 4 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Heerenveen
WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 10.44–10.53 · xPts 6.5
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–3
xG 0.73–2.4
NLD E
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–1
xG 4.4–1.39
NLD E
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.66–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
3–0
xG 1.82–1.89
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.83–2.74
NLD E
LWWLWWWDWL 6W 1D 3L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 21 GA 19 · xG 18.16–21.82 · xPts 12.49
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–3
xG 0.73–2.4
NLD E
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
4–1
xG 4.4–1.39
NLD E
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.66–2.12
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
3–0
xG 1.82–1.89
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.83–2.74
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 2.19–0.78
NLD E
- L
A
PSV
1–3
xG 1.13–3.66
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
4–2
xG 1.52–1.53
NLD E
- W
A
Go Ahead Eagles
3–1
xG 2.2–1.38
NLD E
- L
A
FC Twente
0–5
xG 0.68–3.94
NLD E
Fortuna Sittard
LWLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 8.71–8.78 · xPts 6.66
- D
H
NAC Breda
1–1
xG 1.25–1.0
NLD E
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 0.83–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
1–2
xG 1.09–1.94
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 2.12–2.6
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
1–4
xG 3.42–1.58
NLD E
LDLWWLWLLD 3W 2D 5L · 11 pts (1.1 ppg) · GF 14 GA 21 · xG 16.58–17.69 · xPts 12.91
- D
H
NAC Breda
1–1
xG 1.25–1.0
NLD E
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–2
xG 0.83–1.66
NLD E
- L
H
FC Twente
1–2
xG 1.09–1.94
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 2.12–2.6
NLD E
- L
H
Telstar
1–4
xG 3.42–1.58
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
3–2
xG 2.42–1.6
NLD E
- W
H
Excelsior
2–1
xG 2.37–1.61
NLD E
- L
A
Ajax
1–4
xG 1.23–1.42
NLD E
- D
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–2
xG 1.2–2.09
NLD E
- L
A
Heracles Almelo
1–2
xG 0.65–2.19
NLD E
All meetings · 16 matches since 2018
Goals 26–26 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 69%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–16 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–11 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W SC Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D Fortuna Sittard 3–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 3–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
- L Fortuna Sittard 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 35 | SC Heerenveen at home · 17 | Fortuna Sittard all · 34 | Fortuna Sittard away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.46 | 1.76 | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 | 8 / 6 / 3 | 11 / 6 / 17 | 4 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.94 | 1.44 | 1.24 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.41 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 23% | 18% | 15% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 76% | 76% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 68% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 2.08 | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.14 | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| xG difference | 0.27 | 0.94 | -0.35 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.12 | -0.14 | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.16 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 41% | 50% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.14 | 2.14 | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.56 | 0.47 | 0.54 |
| Came back from behind | 48% | 70% | 26% | 27% |
| Leads held | 64% | 67% | 55% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 31% | 27% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 41% | 40% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 28% | 34% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 39 | 33 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 36 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 49% | 52% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 54% | 51% | 35% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 16.3 | 12.7 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.4 | 5.9 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 67% | 62% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 24% | 28% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 5% | 6% | 26% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.4 | 53.1 | 37.0 | 33.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 76% | 76% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 10.0 | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 1.69 | 1.76 | 2.12 | 1.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'37
16–30'811
31–45'147
46–60'1112
61–75'108
76–90'1311
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1011
16–30'511
31–45'109
46–60'88
61–75'69
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253
Game state
When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065
Situations
At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086
Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 97% | 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.81 | 1.55 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.97 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 62% | 1.24 | 1.52 | 1.81 | 1.54 | 1.71 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 0.73 | 2.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.5 | 1.59 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 9% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.4 | 1.56 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.36 | 1.85 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen at home · 10 | Fortuna Sittard all · 10 | Fortuna Sittard away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 1 / 5 | 4 / 1 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.94 | 0.86 | 1.08 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.43 | 2.34 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | 0.52 | -1.48 | -0.88 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | -0.14 | 0.84 | 0.52 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.64 | 0.70 | 0.86 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.36 | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 70% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 60% | 17% | 29% |
| Leads held | 50% | 86% | 57% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 31% | 37% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 45% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 13% | 18% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 31 | 28 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 46 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 56% | 47% | 31% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 77% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 37% | 40% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.6 | 10.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 12% | 17% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 54% | 54% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 20% | 20% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 18% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 11.9 | 7.3 | 6.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 46.6 | 31.4 | 34.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 75% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.6 | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'40
16–30'33
31–45'22
46–60'33
61–75'36
76–90'28
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.0 | 0.74 | 1.77 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.28 | 4.65 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.35 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen at home · 18 | Fortuna Sittard all · 35 | Fortuna Sittard away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.20 | 1.06 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 11 | 9 / 5 / 4 | 12 / 6 / 17 | 5 / 3 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.78 | 1.49 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 22% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 28% | 14% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 77% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% | 69% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.87 | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1.93 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.62 | -0.62 | -0.88 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.08 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 39% | 54% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.43 | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.44 | 0.44 | 0.64 |
| Came back from behind | 52% | 60% | 26% | 36% |
| Leads held | 68% | 75% | 57% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 28% | 30% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 39% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 22% | 31% | 41% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 33 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 37 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 46% | 44% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 57% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 42% | 42% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.8 | 11.9 | 10.9 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 12% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 61% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 3% | 3% | 25% | 28% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.4 | 8.0 | 6.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 48.3 | 35.1 | 32.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 75% | 75% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.50 | 2.06 | 2.18 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
Fortuna Sittard
0–15'1111
16–30'710
31–45'108
46–60'910
61–75'810
76–90'719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1835
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635
Late push (76+, level)-0.459
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218
Game state
When ahead-0.2121
When level-0.2035
When behind-0.1223
10 min after conceding-0.3632
10 min after scoring-0.1030
Situations
With ten men-0.114
At home-0.1918
Away-0.1617
4+ days rest-0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents-0.299
v bottom-tier opponents-0.019
As favourite+0.113
Evenly matched-0.1011
As underdog-0.2621
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3635
Conceded when ahead+0.3121
Conceded late (76+)+0.2034
Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
Fortuna Sittard
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 54% | 1.16 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.45 | 1.75 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 11% | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.75 | 1.15 | 1.73 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 2.25 | 1.12 | 2.34 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.03 | 2.25 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 1.33 | 3.33 | 1.47 | 2.2 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.45Home 65% P 66%5.25Draw 18% P 19%5.75Away 16% P 15%
Double Chance
1.14Heerenveen or Draw 41%1.16Heerenveen or Fortuna Sittard 41%2.62Draw or Fortuna Sittard 18%
Draw No Bet
1.181 79%4.52 21%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–70% · away 10–20% · 3,666 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 66% | 65% | 66% | +1.3 |
| Draw | 19% | 21% | 21% | -0.5 |
| Away | 15% | 14% | 13% | -0.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Edwin van de Graaf
- Career
- 129 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.16 (2.95 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.27
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 61 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.13 | 3.32 | -0.49 | 27 |
| Fouls / match | 17.7 | 20.3 | -1.56 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 6.2 | -0.98 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.24 | -0.44 | 32 |
| Time added | 5.7 | 6.4 | -1.36 | 0 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.33
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 44' | 4 |
| 2025-05-10 · SC Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 43' | 8 |