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Eredivisie · Matchweek 31

Momentum

TelstarSPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,302

Teams

Coaches
Anthony Correia · Maurice Steijn
Position
16 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Erwin Blank

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
10.7° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 251

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
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  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
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  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
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  • Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
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  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
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  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
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  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
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  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
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  • Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
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  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 Netherlands · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
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  • Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
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  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
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  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
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  • Somalia STARZPLAY
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  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
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  • Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 11 · xG 7.18–10.51 · xPts 5.12

  • L A FC Utrecht 1–4 xG 1.05–1.53 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 0–2 xG 1.0–2.04 NLD E
  • W H PSV 3–1 xG 1.66–1.7 NLD E
  • L A SC Heerenveen 0–3 xG 1.89–1.82 NLD E
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 4–1 xG 1.58–3.42 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

DLWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.88–7.68 · xPts 5.99

  • L H PSV 0–2 xG 1.17–2.17 NLD E
  • D A NAC Breda 0–0 xG 0.34–0.57 NLD E
  • W H FC Volendam 2–0 xG 1.63–0.57 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 0–4 xG 0.45–2.82 NLD E
  • D H PEC Zwolle 1–1 xG 2.28–1.54 NLD E

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Telstar 10 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Telstar 10 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Telstar 10 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 5–5 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • L Telstar 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Telstar 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 34Telstar at home · 17Sparta Rotterdam all · 34Sparta Rotterdam away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.091.181.261.18
W / D / L9 / 10 / 155 / 5 / 712 / 7 / 156 / 2 / 9
Goals for / match1.441.821.181.12
Goals against / match1.621.651.822.06
Clean sheets15%12%32%35%
Failed to score24%18%26%29%
Both teams scored65%71%44%41%
Over 2.559%71%53%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.611.351.22
xG against / match1.901.631.751.90
xG difference-0.47-0.01-0.41-0.68
Finishing vs xG0.010.21-0.17-0.10
xPts / match1.151.391.201.03
Points vs xPts-0.06-0.220.070.14
Game state
Scored first47%53%50%41%
PPG when scoring first1.811.892.352.57
PPG when conceding first0.410.380.130.11
Came back from behind17%12%12%10%
Leads held50%50%67%86%
Minutes leading24%30%24%18%
Minutes level44%43%50%50%
Minutes trailing32%27%26%32%
First goal (min)45424755
First goal conceded (min)40414238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%58%62%74%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%57%71%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.590.380.47
Late goals against0.500.530.500.65
Style
Possession45%47%47%48%
Shots12.813.513.012.2
On target4.95.44.43.9
Shot conversion11%14%9%9%
Shots inside box66%67%65%62%
Big chances created3.13.52.11.8
Corners4.75.44.64.4
xG from set plays31%31%25%22%
Goals from headers20%23%15%16%
Pressure index8.09.010.08.5
Dominant minutes37.041.840.238.3
Pass accuracy76%77%79%80%
Fouls11.310.49.910.5
Cards1.351.292.002.41

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'57
16–30'48
31–45'109
46–60'64
61–75'1110
76–90'1317

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'44
16–30'43
31–45'711
46–60'611
61–75'616
76–90'1317

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-128 82%0.961.431.711.421.94
3-4-35 15%1.41.21.21.411.68
3-5-21 3%3.03.01.01.661.7

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 71%1.381.081.331.361.58
4-3-37 21%1.431.712.571.442.29
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.02.01.172.17
4-2-2-21 3%0.01.06.00.742.12
3-4-1-21 3%0.01.04.01.151.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 47%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.4Telstar or Draw 34%1.28Telstar or Sparta Rotterdam 37%1.61Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.35Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%50%+4.6
Draw25%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

Erwin Blank

Career
61 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.48 (3.41 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 45 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.493.32+0.2759
Fouls / match22.520.3+1.03
Fouls per card6.86.2+0.54 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6914
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
40' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 30 340 39'5
2026-02-28 30 291 62'6
2026-02-14 30 130 20'7
2026-01-25 · Sparta Rotterdam 40 250 28'14
2026-01-17 40 280 8'8
2025-12-07 30 160 42'5
2025-11-22 · Sparta Rotterdam 20 200 39'5
2025-10-25 10 230 69'10
2025-09-20 · Telstar 40 190 47'7
2025-08-31 50 241 39'14