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Eredivisie · Matchweek 33

Momentum

ExcelsiorFC Volendam
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
4,600

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Rick Kruys
Position
14 · 16
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
14.8° (feels 14.0°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

DLDWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 9.04–6.54 · xPts 8.19

  • W A FC Groningen 3–2 xG 2.42–0.95 NLD E
  • W H FC Utrecht 5–0 xG 2.76–0.87 NLD E
  • D A PEC Zwolle 2–2 xG 2.06–2.22 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 0–2 xG 0.66–1.06 NLD E
  • D A Heracles Almelo 1–1 xG 1.15–1.43 NLD E

FC Volendam

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 5.3–8.21 · xPts 5.01

  • L H SC Heerenveen 0–2 xG 1.33–2.0 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 2–0 xG 1.2–1.02 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 1–2 xG 0.74–2.05 NLD E
  • D H Feyenoord 0–0 xG 1.46–1.51 NLD E
  • L A Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 xG 0.57–1.63 NLD E

All meetings · 6 matches since 2023

Excelsior 31 draws2 FC Volendam

Goals 12–8 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Excelsior 31 draws2 FC Volendam

Goals 12–8 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Excelsior 21 draws2 FC Volendam

Goals 10–8 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Excelsior 1–1 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Volendam 1–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 4–0 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Volendam 3–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Volendam 3–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–0 FC Volendam NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 34Excelsior at home · 17FC Volendam all · 34FC Volendam away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.121.060.940.53
W / D / L10 / 8 / 165 / 3 / 98 / 8 / 182 / 3 / 12
Goals for / match1.261.181.030.65
Goals against / match1.651.291.621.88
Clean sheets18%24%9%6%
Failed to score21%24%35%53%
Both teams scored65%53%59%41%
Over 2.562%53%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.401.120.73
xG against / match1.721.581.872.02
xG difference-0.29-0.18-0.75-1.29
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.22-0.09-0.08
xPts / match1.201.280.980.69
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.22-0.04-0.16
Game state
Scored first44%53%32%18%
PPG when scoring first1.801.671.641.33
PPG when conceding first0.560.380.590.36
Came back from behind33%25%31%20%
Leads held62%56%57%50%
Minutes leading24%26%14%5%
Minutes level46%49%44%36%
Minutes trailing30%25%42%58%
First goal (min)39374549
First goal conceded (min)41453124
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%50%63%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%42%31%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.290.240.12
Late goals against0.260.290.320.24
Style
Possession48%49%45%44%
Shots12.412.811.08.9
On target4.24.33.82.9
Shot conversion10%9%9%7%
Shots inside box66%66%61%57%
Big chances created2.63.11.81.4
Corners4.14.23.73.0
xG from set plays29%30%25%16%
Goals from headers22%22%9%0%
Pressure index7.99.36.74.3
Dominant minutes38.742.231.425.2
Pass accuracy77%78%78%77%
Fouls12.311.49.89.6
Cards1.351.531.561.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'86
16–30'58
31–45'88
46–60'416
61–75'69
76–90'129

FC Volendam

0–15'413
16–30'26
31–45'713
46–60'67
61–75'85
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

FC Volendam

No pressure profile yet.

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-117 50%1.351.061.651.251.95
4-3-39 26%1.221.891.671.971.47
4-1-4-13 9%0.671.331.671.11.53
3-4-2-12 6%0.00.01.51.260.87
5-4-12 6%0.51.52.01.482.13

FC Volendam

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.041.041.481.021.78
4-3-36 18%0.51.171.831.652.05
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.02.00.872.3
4-4-21 3%0.00.03.00.732.1

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 56%4.0Draw 24% P 26%4.5Away 21% P 18%

Double Chance

1.2Excelsior or Draw 39%1.22Excelsior or FC Volendam 38%2.05Draw or FC Volendam 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.323.32-0.0838
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.22
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.08 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1157
Time added6.06.4-0.8510
First card
36' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-29 10 181 78'9
2026-04-25 20 251 21'4
2026-04-16 41 270 8'10
2026-04-11 30 140 38'5
2026-04-05 10 250 36'3
2026-03-22 40 281 60'8
2026-03-17 10 120 46'8
2026-03-14 · FC Volendam 30 240 21'8
2026-03-07 · Excelsior 20 111 78'7
2026-02-22 20 140 25'4