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Eredivisie · Matchweek 34

Momentum

AZNAC Breda
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Capacity
19,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,460

Teams

Coaches
Leeroy Echteld · Carl Hoefkens
Position
6 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Edwin van de Graaf

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.8° (feels 12.2°)
Wind
5.8
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 257

  • Algeria STARZPLAY
  • Angola DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Anguilla Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ · ESPN 3
  • Armenia Setanta Sports 1
  • Aruba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Azerbaijan Setanta Sports 1
  • Bahrain STARZPLAY
  • Barbados Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Belarus Setanta Sports 1
  • Belgium Play Sports · Play Sports 1 · Play Sports 5
  • Benin ESPN Africa
  • Bolivia Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Moja TV · SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Botswana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Brazil Claro TV+ · Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 4 · Sky+ · Vivo Play · Zapping
  • Bulgaria Voyo Sport
  • Burkina Faso DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Burundi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cameroon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Central African Republic ESPN Africa
  • Chad DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Chile Disney+ Chile · ESPN2 Chile
  • Colombia Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Croatia Sportklub 1 Croatia · Sportklub 9 Croatia
  • Cuba Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Denmark Viaplay Denmark
  • Djibouti DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Dominica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Norte · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Egypt STARZPLAY
  • El Salvador Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Equatorial Guinea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Eritrea DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Estonia Setanta Sports 1
  • Eswatini DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay
  • Gabon DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Gambia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 1 · Silk Sport HD 1 · Silk Sport HD 2
  • Germany DAZN
  • Ghana DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Grenada Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Guinea-Bissau DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Haiti Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Iceland Viaplay Iceland
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International Bet365 · ESPN Caribbean · ESPN Norte · OneFootball · Setanta Sports 1 · Triller TV+
  • Iraq STARZPLAY
  • Israel Sport 1 · Sport 2 · Sport 4
  • Ivory Coast DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Jamaica Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Jordan STARZPLAY
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports 1
  • Kenya DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Kuwait STARZPLAY
  • Latvia Go3 Extra Sports Latvia · Setanta Sports 1
  • Lebanon STARZPLAY
  • Lesotho DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Liberia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Liechtenstein Blue Sport
  • Lithuania Go3 Extra Sports Lithuania · Setanta Sports 1
  • Madagascar DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malawi DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Malaysia Astro Go · sooka
  • Mali DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Martinique Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Mauritania DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Mauritius DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Mayotte ESPN Africa
  • Mexico Disney+ Mexico · ESPN · ESPN 2
  • Moldova Setanta Sports 1
  • Montenegro SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Montserrat Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Namibia DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Netherlands Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 Netherlands · Watch ESPN
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Nigeria DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • North Macedonia MaxTV Go · SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Norway V Sport 1 Norway · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman STARZPLAY
  • Palestine STARZPLAY
  • Panama Disney+ Norte · ESPN Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Peru Disney+ Chile · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Poland ESPN Africa · Polsat Box GO · Polsat Sport 1
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Romania Prima Play · Prima Sport 2 · Prima Sport 3
  • Rwanda ESPN Africa
  • Saint Kitts and Nevis Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saint Lucia Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia STARZPLAY
  • Senegal DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Serbia SportKlub 1 Serbia · Sportklub 9 Serbia
  • Seychelles DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Sierra Leone DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
  • Slovenia SportKlub 1 Slovenia · Sportklub 2 Slovenia · Sportklub 3 Slovenia
  • Somalia STARZPLAY
  • South Africa ESPN Africa
  • South Sudan DStv Now · STARZPLAY
  • Spain Movistar Futbol · Movistar Liga de Campeones 2
  • Sweden Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland Blue Sport
  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe ESPN Africa
  • Tanzania DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Togo DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Caribbean · ESPN Caribbean
  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkmenistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Uganda DStv Now · ESPN Africa
  • Ukraine Setanta Sports Ukraine
  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • Uruguay Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Uzbekistan Setanta Sports 1
  • Venezuela Disney+ · ESPN · ESPN 2 · ESPN 3
  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia ESPN Africa
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · ESPN Africa

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 342734 1014556 84 WWDWW
2 Feyenoord 341987 704426 65 DWWDW
3 NEC Nijmegen 3416117 775324 59 DDDLW
4 FC Twente 3415136 594019 58 WDDWL
5 Ajax 3414146 624121 56 WWDLD
6 FC Utrecht 3415811 554213 53 WLWWW
7 AZ Alkmaar 34141010 58517 52 WDDDD
8 SC Heerenveen 3414911 57534 51 LWWLD
9 FC Groningen 3414614 49454 48 DLLWW
10 Sparta Rotterdam 3412715 4062-22 43 LLDLL
11 Fortuna Sittard 3411617 4963-14 39 DLLWL
12 Go Ahead Eagles 3481412 54531 38 DDDLL
13 Excelsior 3410816 4356-13 38 DWWDW
14 Telstar 3491015 4955-6 37 LWDWW
15 PEC Zwolle 3491015 4471-27 37 DLWLL
16 FC Volendam 348818 3555-20 32 LWLDL
17 NAC Breda 3461117 3558-23 29 DLLWD
18 Heracles Almelo 345425 3585-50 19 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AZ

WDDDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.18–5.98 · xPts 7.54

  • D A Feyenoord 1–1 xG 0.92–1.1 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.6–0.88 NLD E
  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 xG 1.49–1.55 NLD E
  • D H Shakhtar Donetsk 2–2 xG 0.76–1.72 UEFA ECL
  • W H SC Heerenveen 3–0 xG 2.4–0.73 NLD E

NAC Breda

DDLLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 6.19–7.6 · xPts 6.35

  • W H SC Heerenveen 2–0 xG 2.18–1.24 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.53–3.07 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 0–2 xG 1.92–1.7 NLD E
  • D A Fortuna Sittard 1–1 xG 1.0–1.25 NLD E
  • D H Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 xG 0.57–0.34 NLD E

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

AZ 156 draws7 NAC Breda

Goals 55–32 · 3.11 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

AZ 82 draws0 NAC Breda

Goals 24–9 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

AZ 32 draws0 NAC Breda

Goals 10–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D AZ Alkmaar 3–3 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 0–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 5–0 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 1–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 2–1 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 3–2 NAC Breda NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NAC Breda 0–1 AZ Alkmaar neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAZ all · 34AZ at home · 17NAC Breda all · 34NAC Breda away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.531.820.850.53
W / D / L14 / 10 / 108 / 7 / 26 / 11 / 171 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.712.291.030.88
Goals against / match1.501.531.712.06
Clean sheets26%24%18%12%
Failed to score12%0%41%47%
Both teams scored65%76%47%47%
Over 2.565%76%50%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.872.011.311.14
xG against / match1.361.201.481.78
xG difference0.510.80-0.17-0.64
Finishing vs xG-0.160.29-0.28-0.26
xPts / match1.671.811.311.05
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.45-0.52
Game state
Scored first62%82%26%18%
PPG when scoring first2.192.142.001.33
PPG when conceding first0.420.330.390.31
Came back from behind38%67%32%33%
Leads held56%53%43%17%
Minutes leading34%52%12%10%
Minutes level44%32%51%44%
Minutes trailing21%15%37%46%
First goal (min)35254850
First goal conceded (min)40483532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%38%60%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%62%50%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.470.290.29
Late goals against0.380.410.470.71
Style
Possession53%52%49%47%
Shots15.816.214.113.4
On target5.96.44.24.0
Shot conversion11%14%7%7%
Shots inside box66%70%61%59%
Big chances created3.13.51.91.8
Corners5.85.95.85.5
xG from set plays27%25%39%34%
Goals from headers9%8%23%27%
Pressure index14.816.011.99.2
Dominant minutes53.656.644.337.8
Pass accuracy82%81%77%76%
Fouls10.29.410.811.5
Cards1.911.471.882.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AZ

0–15'159
16–30'64
31–45'1111
46–60'57
61–75'87
76–90'1313

NAC Breda

0–15'18
16–30'410
31–45'911
46–60'68
61–75'55
76–90'1016

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AZ · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

NAC Breda

No pressure profile yet.

AZ

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%1.381.761.761.921.35
4-3-39 26%1.781.671.221.961.25
3-4-32 6%2.01.00.01.581.19
5-4-11 3%0.01.02.01.423.06
5-3-21 3%3.03.01.01.091.04

NAC Breda

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%0.781.01.611.291.47
5-3-25 15%0.40.81.41.511.46
4-4-24 12%1.251.752.01.281.51
3-4-1-22 6%0.50.01.01.281.35
4-1-3-22 6%1.51.03.01.71.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 73% P 74%5.75Draw 16% P 15%9.0Away 11% P 11%

Double Chance

1.08AZ or Draw 44%1.16AZ or NAC 41%3.25Draw or NAC 15%

Draw No Bet

1.11 86%7.02 14%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 73% P 73%3.5Under 27% P 27%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 10–12.5% · 193 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%73%73%-0.8
Draw15%16%18%+1.6
Away11%11%10%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 72%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.573%73%74%+0.3

Edwin van de Graaf

Career
129 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.16 (2.95 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
19.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.133.32-0.4927
Fouls / match17.720.3-1.56
Fouls per card5.76.2-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.4432
Time added5.76.4-1.360
First card
41' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-25 31 160 88'8
2026-03-21 30 240 44'4