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Championship · Matchweek 6
Bristol CityBristol City
1–3
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– Bristol CityOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,440

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Gary Rowett
Position
3 · 23
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

John Brooks

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.6° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
8.9
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 7.49–6.97 · xPts 7.16

  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 0.93–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 4–2 xG 3.51–2.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 0.8–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 1.05–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 4–1 xG 1.21–2.29 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 6.15–7.83 · xPts 5.8

  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.95–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 2–2 xG 1.11–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.36–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 2–3 xG 1.13–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.59–1.36 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Bristol City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Bristol City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Bristol City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Oxford United 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–3 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.020.78
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1011 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.281.430.980.91
Goals against / match1.281.351.281.39
Clean sheets30%35%17%13%
Failed to score33%30%41%44%
Both teams scored46%39%52%56%
Over 2.546%48%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.170.99
xG against / match1.481.491.431.68
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.201.211.210.95
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first39%44%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.220.17
Came back from behind31%29%19%13%
Leads held77%75%58%44%
Minutes leading30%33%21%19%
Minutes level41%38%47%47%
Minutes trailing29%29%32%34%
First goal (min)32282829
First goal conceded (min)30313538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.150.13
Late goals against0.240.300.150.26
Style
Possession49%52%40%38%
Shots12.212.711.99.8
On target4.14.03.42.6
Shot conversion10%11%8%9%
Shots inside box60%59%54%53%
Big chances created1.92.01.61.6
Corners4.84.74.03.4
xG from set plays24%20%40%33%
Goals from headers21%21%16%19%
Pressure index11.914.56.43.8
Dominant minutes43.948.933.723.1
Pass accuracy78%80%69%70%
Fouls9.58.810.811.0
Cards1.831.651.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 61% P 60%4.2Draw 22% P 23%5.5Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Bristol City or Draw 41% P 42%1.22Bristol City or Oxford Utd 39% P 38%2.37Draw or Oxford Utd 20% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

John Brooks

Career
221 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.554.05+0.9084
Fouls / match23.621.8+1.53
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.17+3.22100
Time added6.07.2-1.414
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-05-11 61 220 36'12
2025-04-06 50 220 1'6
2025-04-01 40 120 53'10
2025-03-09 60 311 4'7
2025-03-01 40 380 28'3
2025-02-08 50 211 63'6
2025-02-02 40 250 49'10
2025-01-30 10 280 69'6
2025-01-25 50 140 4'7
2025-01-16 40 170 45'6