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Championship · Matchweek 6
Hull CityHull City
3–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– Hull CitySouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,085

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · William Still
Position
20 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.8° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
3.9
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

DWLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 8.0–9.77 · xPts 6.07

  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 2.1–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 2–4 xG 2.42–3.51 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–3 xG 0.51–2.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 3–2 xG 2.4–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 0–0 xG 0.56–1.69 UK CHAMP

Southampton

WDLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 10.14–6.65 · xPts 8.75

  • D H Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.89–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 2–2 xG 2.13–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Stoke City 1–2 xG 2.28–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 0.83–2.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 2–1 xG 4.02–1.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Hull City 54 draws9 Southampton

Goals 21–28 · 2.72 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 41 draws5 Southampton

Goals 11–14 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 31 draws1 Southampton

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 4–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches49254824
Points per game1.631.681.751.54
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 723 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.441.751.83
Goals against / match1.351.361.191.54
Clean sheets29%28%25%8%
Failed to score18%24%12%8%
Both teams scored61%60%71%88%
Over 2.561%56%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.711.64
xG against / match1.661.421.331.57
xG difference-0.290.040.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.040.20
xPts / match1.251.411.591.41
Points vs xPts0.380.270.160.13
Game state
Scored first57%48%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.881.001.261.20
Came back from behind35%36%54%46%
Leads held72%80%72%62%
Minutes leading30%28%34%31%
Minutes level53%54%49%49%
Minutes trailing17%18%18%20%
First goal (min)32304040
First goal conceded (min)40384446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.380.50
Late goals against0.310.240.270.38
Style
Possession45%47%56%54%
Shots11.111.214.413.1
On target4.13.85.35.1
Shot conversion13%13%12%14%
Shots inside box68%68%68%71%
Big chances created2.22.12.92.8
Corners4.44.25.85.0
xG from set plays21%27%28%32%
Goals from headers14%9%22%19%
Pressure index9.311.017.914.7
Dominant minutes39.846.759.054.2
Pass accuracy72%73%83%82%
Fouls11.210.810.711.5
Cards2.552.081.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 32% P 33%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.25Away 42% P 41%

Double Chance

1.61Hull or Draw 29% P 30%1.28Hull or Southampton 37% P 37%1.4Draw or Southampton 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 60%2.37No 39% P 40%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 55%2.2Under 43% P 45%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.7
Away41%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes60%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-30 20 240 30'6
2025-08-16 70 252 45'10
2025-05-03 50 240 29'8
2025-04-18 22 201 45'10
2025-01-17 40 182 84'7
2025-01-04 · Hull City 10 230 83'5
2024-12-26 41 230 39'13
2024-12-07 70 200 39'11
2024-11-30 40 240 3'7
2024-11-26 20 170 29'8