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Championship · Matchweek 6

Momentum

MIDWBA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,803

Teams

Coaches
Rob Edwards · Ryan Mason
Position
1 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.9° (feels 20.0°)
Wind
7.6
Humidity
76%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 6.55–3.96 · xPts 8.63

  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.76–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.81–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.35–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 3–0 xG 1.21–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 1–0 xG 0.42–0.07 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

WWDWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.6–4.0 · xPts 8.68

  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 1.59–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 1–0 xG 0.94–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.69–0.69 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 3–2 xG 1.94–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.44–0.49 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 29 matches since 2002

Middlesbrough 147 draws8 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 41–35 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 71 draws2 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 50 draws0 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 4–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.150.83
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 513 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.491.421.040.87
Goals against / match1.020.751.261.43
Clean sheets29%42%30%26%
Failed to score26%29%33%35%
Both teams scored55%46%50%48%
Over 2.553%42%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.441.21
xG against / match1.050.951.051.32
xG difference0.530.670.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.701.801.621.29
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first53%54%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.380.14
Came back from behind46%38%17%12%
Leads held79%86%62%71%
Minutes leading32%33%25%18%
Minutes level49%52%50%49%
Minutes trailing19%15%25%33%
First goal (min)37384246
First goal conceded (min)46474541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.260.35
Late goals against0.290.290.260.22
Style
Possession59%60%52%50%
Shots16.217.313.411.7
On target4.85.24.13.5
Shot conversion9%8%8%7%
Shots inside box64%63%65%67%
Big chances created2.42.32.11.9
Corners6.87.85.24.2
xG from set plays24%30%36%30%
Goals from headers12%15%26%30%
Pressure index19.721.013.410.4
Dominant minutes63.163.152.948.6
Pass accuracy84%84%80%79%
Fouls9.39.210.210.4
Cards1.611.081.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.22

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.3Away 29% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Middlesbrough or Draw 35% P 36%1.3Middlesbrough or West Brom 36% P 35%1.66Draw or West Brom 28% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.3110
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.82
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0255
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-30 40 230 17'8
2025-08-17 20 150 12'9
2025-08-08 50 381 19'10
2025-05-18 10 270 46'5
2025-05-03 10 210 90'5
2025-04-26 · West Bromwich Albion 10 260 33'5
2025-04-19 30 270 23'6
2025-04-14 10 210 75'1
2025-04-08 · Middlesbrough 20 220 74'2
2025-03-29 20 4