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Championship · Matchweek 6
Queens Park RangersQPR
1–0
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– QPRStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,481

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Mark Robins
Position
12 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
19.7° (feels 19.7°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 5.17–7.48 · xPts 5.36

  • W A Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.41–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.38–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–7 xG 1.0–1.71 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 0.58–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 0.8–0.61 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 3 · xG 5.83–6.04 · xPts 6.85

  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.92–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 1.29–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.41–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 3–1 xG 1.35–0.45 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 108 draws10 Stoke City

Goals 33–33 · 2.36 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 33 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 12 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 4–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.200.96
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1015 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.331.741.110.74
Goals against / match1.591.611.221.22
Clean sheets22%17%28%30%
Failed to score28%17%37%52%
Both teams scored63%74%44%26%
Over 2.563%78%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.241.03
xG against / match1.331.211.431.67
xG difference-0.030.42-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.371.681.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first33%48%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.270.08
Came back from behind26%17%22%7%
Leads held84%77%71%75%
Minutes leading20%30%24%16%
Minutes level46%45%50%51%
Minutes trailing34%26%27%32%
First goal (min)45413742
First goal conceded (min)34434440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.150.04
Late goals against0.260.480.350.35
Style
Possession46%47%52%51%
Shots12.714.311.29.8
On target4.15.03.82.8
Shot conversion10%12%10%8%
Shots inside box63%63%65%62%
Big chances created1.82.41.81.4
Corners4.85.46.05.6
xG from set plays31%28%28%19%
Goals from headers17%15%16%19%
Pressure index11.715.413.310.2
Dominant minutes46.754.452.748.2
Pass accuracy76%75%78%78%
Fouls11.011.110.410.2
Cards1.912.132.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 34%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.45Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.53QPR or Draw 31% P 31%1.33QPR or Stoke 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Stoke 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw28%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-05-25 20 190 35'9
2025-05-10 20 170 43'9
2025-04-26 40 250 14'7
2025-04-19 61 180 18'11
2025-04-05 40 260 28'8
2025-03-15 · Queens Park Rangers 51 290 21'8
2025-03-09 10 251 90'12
2025-02-22 30 290 15'11
2025-01-25 80 191 28'15
2025-01-18 50 340 17'6