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Championship · Matchweek 7

Momentum

CVCBRC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,585

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · Chris Davies
Position
7 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 311

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 12.41–5.12 · xPts 9.98

  • D A Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.82–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 4.63–0.27 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 2–2 xG 1.64–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 7–1 xG 1.71–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 5–3 xG 3.61–1.44 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 7.99–3.73 · xPts 9.81

  • W H Swansea City 1–0 xG 2.22–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 0.78–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • L A Leicester City 0–2 xG 1.45–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 1–0 xG 1.53–0.36 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 2.0–0.56 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2006

Coventry City 67 draws6 Birmingham City

Goals 20–19 · 2.05 per match · BTTS 32% · over 2.5 32%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 44 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 30 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Birmingham City 3–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 3–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 3–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–4 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game2.072.391.390.87
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 217 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match2.112.221.240.78
Goals against / match0.980.831.221.48
Clean sheets37%35%22%13%
Failed to score15%17%24%39%
Both teams scored59%61%56%48%
Over 2.563%65%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.491.07
xG against / match1.141.091.141.27
xG difference0.901.270.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.14-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.832.031.571.23
Points vs xPts0.230.36-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first65%56%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.352.40
PPG when conceding first1.551.860.410.44
Came back from behind53%71%33%32%
Leads held80%100%71%83%
Minutes leading38%39%28%11%
Minutes level50%48%42%38%
Minutes trailing12%13%31%51%
First goal (min)33353952
First goal conceded (min)45423527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.240.30
Late goals against0.170.170.150.13
Style
Possession55%58%54%52%
Shots16.318.013.69.9
On target5.65.84.12.6
Shot conversion13%12%9%8%
Shots inside box72%72%64%67%
Big chances created2.83.22.41.8
Corners5.35.95.85.0
xG from set plays36%34%30%33%
Goals from headers20%14%21%17%
Pressure index17.021.314.410.4
Dominant minutes58.865.354.344.6
Pass accuracy80%82%77%77%
Fouls9.69.511.712.3
Cards1.611.352.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
4-1-4-11 2%0.02.03.01.310.85

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 29%

Double Chance

1.3Coventry or Draw 36% P 36%1.28Coventry or Birmingham 37% P 36%1.72Draw or Birmingham 27% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 40 231 31'11
2025-03-01 60 291 14'7
2025-02-25 40 210 50'10
2025-02-08 40 281 88'11
2025-01-11 · Coventry City 30 230 6'7
2024-12-22 50 250 16'6
2024-12-07 60 240 69'6