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Championship · Matchweek 7

Momentum

Ipswich TownPortsmouth
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,141

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · John Mousinho
Position
17 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
2.9
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 10.3–4.83 · xPts 10.17

  • W H Sheffield United 5–0 xG 2.09–0.46 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 2–2 xG 3.32–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–1 xG 1.34–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 2.27–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.27–1.19 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 7.01–5.67 · xPts 7.65

  • L H Sheffield Wednesday 0–2 xG 1.93–1.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.81–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.62–1.21 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.69–0.69 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 1–2 xG 1.95–1.86 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 11 matches since 2006

Ipswich Town 32 draws6 Portsmouth

Goals 9–14 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 32 draws5 Portsmouth

Goals 9–13 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 11 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Portsmouth 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 2–3 Portsmouth aet UK FA Cup · 1st Round
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Ipswich Town UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • W Portsmouth 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Portsmouth all · 46Portsmouth away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.201.09
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 114 / 13 / 196 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.741.871.071.04
Goals against / match1.020.741.391.78
Clean sheets37%44%22%17%
Failed to score13%9%28%26%
Both teams scored56%52%54%61%
Over 2.552%56%44%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.180.89
xG against / match1.030.841.241.37
xG difference0.801.23-0.06-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.110.15
xPts / match1.882.161.361.11
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.16-0.02
Game state
Scored first54%70%46%44%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.192.10
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.300.25
Came back from behind60%86%27%23%
Leads held79%82%64%60%
Minutes leading33%45%18%14%
Minutes level50%48%51%51%
Minutes trailing17%8%31%34%
First goal (min)40325054
First goal conceded (min)40464138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%61%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%55%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.280.22
Late goals against0.130.040.280.43
Style
Possession56%56%50%47%
Shots15.116.512.29.0
On target5.15.73.73.0
Shot conversion12%11%9%12%
Shots inside box67%68%65%63%
Big chances created2.83.51.61.3
Corners5.76.25.65.0
xG from set plays32%29%40%40%
Goals from headers12%5%16%12%
Pressure index18.820.711.78.5
Dominant minutes62.366.749.742.4
Pass accuracy81%81%74%74%
Fouls11.210.310.210.5
Cards1.931.391.932.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 68% P 69%4.5Draw 21% P 19%8.5Away 11% P 12%

Double Chance

1.08Ipswich or Draw 44% P 44%1.18Ipswich or Portsmouth 40% P 41%3.0Draw or Portsmouth 16% P 15%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.0Over 46% P 37%1.72Under 54% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home69%69%72%+3.5
Draw19%20%18%-1.5
Away12%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.3110
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.82
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0255
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-19 10 8
2025-08-30 40 230 17'8
2025-08-17 20 150 12'9
2025-08-08 · Ipswich Town 50 381 19'10
2025-05-18 · Ipswich Town 10 270 46'5
2025-05-03 10 210 90'5
2025-04-26 10 260 33'5
2025-04-19 30 270 23'6
2025-04-14 10 210 75'1
2025-04-08 20 220 74'2