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Championship · Matchweek 7
Preston North EndPNE
0–0
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– PNEBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,295

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Gerhard Struber
Position
6 · 5
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.0° (feels 14.2°)
Wind
6.8
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 5.97–6.31 · xPts 6.62

  • W A Derby County 1–0 xG 0.74–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.21–1.62 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 1–0 xG 0.9–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.99–1.23 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.5–6.55 · xPts 7.36

  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 1.22–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 0.93–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 4–2 xG 3.51–2.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 0.8–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 1.05–1.07 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2007

Preston North End 1013 draws8 Bristol City

Goals 42–42 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 24 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 12 draws2 Bristol City

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.351.35
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 817 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.201.221.281.13
Goals against / match1.351.301.281.22
Clean sheets20%22%30%26%
Failed to score26%26%33%35%
Both teams scored59%56%46%52%
Over 2.548%48%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.181.16
xG against / match1.631.421.481.46
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.10-0.03
xPts / match1.131.251.201.19
Points vs xPts0.170.100.150.16
Game state
Scored first41%39%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.670.67
Came back from behind38%43%31%33%
Leads held62%73%77%80%
Minutes leading28%27%30%28%
Minutes level45%46%41%43%
Minutes trailing27%27%29%29%
First goal (min)36403236
First goal conceded (min)42433029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.240.13
Late goals against0.300.350.240.17
Style
Possession46%48%49%46%
Shots10.911.312.211.7
On target3.63.44.14.2
Shot conversion11%11%10%10%
Shots inside box68%69%60%62%
Big chances created1.61.71.91.9
Corners4.55.34.85.0
xG from set plays34%35%24%29%
Goals from headers22%21%21%20%
Pressure index8.89.511.99.3
Dominant minutes40.542.343.939.0
Pass accuracy72%73%78%76%
Fouls10.410.19.510.3
Cards2.092.131.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.6Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.5Preston or Draw 32% P 32%1.33Preston or Bristol City 36% P 35%1.44Draw or Bristol City 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away35%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1394
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.38
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0451
Time added8.37.2+1.2592
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 40 270 41'12
2025-08-09 60 180 57'9
2025-04-21 70 241 13'11
2025-04-08 20 220 33'9
2025-03-29 70 271 13'8
2025-03-15 51 190 51'9
2025-01-13 10 140 15'4
2025-01-01 · Preston North End 50 260 42'7
2024-12-26 50 250 29'6