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Championship · Matchweek 7
Stoke CityStoke City
1–1
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– Stoke CityNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,200

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Liam Manning
Position
3 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.4° (feels 13.5°)
Wind
6.0
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.58–6.86 · xPts 6.02

  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 1.1–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.92–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 1.29–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 1.41–1.59 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 6.84–11.31 · xPts 5.48

  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.55–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.27–4.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 2.03–2.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.13–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 2–1 xG 1.86–1.95 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2005

Stoke City 107 draws10 Norwich City

Goals 34–33 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 23 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 22 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 4–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Norwich City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 4–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.411.52
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 819 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.111.481.371.57
Goals against / match1.221.221.221.22
Clean sheets28%26%20%22%
Failed to score37%22%20%13%
Both teams scored44%61%61%65%
Over 2.544%56%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.351.30
xG against / match1.431.191.461.64
xG difference-0.190.26-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.020.27
xPts / match1.281.551.351.23
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.060.29
Game state
Scored first44%52%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.680.80
Came back from behind22%38%27%33%
Leads held71%69%68%67%
Minutes leading24%31%28%32%
Minutes level50%48%48%42%
Minutes trailing27%21%24%26%
First goal (min)37344236
First goal conceded (min)44474641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.260.30
Late goals against0.350.350.300.30
Style
Possession52%53%54%52%
Shots11.212.712.611.5
On target3.84.74.54.4
Shot conversion10%12%11%14%
Shots inside box65%67%64%66%
Big chances created1.82.12.32.1
Corners6.06.45.35.0
xG from set plays28%34%25%23%
Goals from headers16%15%10%11%
Pressure index13.316.312.510.8
Dominant minutes52.757.353.247.7
Pass accuracy78%79%79%78%
Fouls10.410.610.210.4
Cards2.302.261.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 49%3.7Draw 25% P 26%3.7Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Stoke or Draw 37% P 38%1.28Stoke or Norwich 37% P 37%1.83Draw or Norwich 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw26%28%29%+1.6
Away25%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.43
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.762
Time added8.37.2+1.2592
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-23 70 260 7'7
2025-08-09 · Stoke City 30 260 38'10
2025-04-26 100 260 16'12
2025-04-21 · Norwich City 40 190 61'8
2025-04-09 50 250 64'2
2025-02-22 20 181 44'12
2025-02-12 20 220 89'5
2025-01-11 · Stoke City 50 261 23'8
2024-11-02 40 270 73'6