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Championship · Matchweek 7
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–1
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– Swansea CityMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,942

Teams

Coaches
Alan Sheehan · Alex Neil
Position
11 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
15.9° (feels 15.5°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WDWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.4–6.33 · xPts 7.21

  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–2.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 2–2 xG 0.97–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.56–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.2–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.17–0.84 UK CHAMP

Millwall

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 6.17–4.71 · xPts 7.66

  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.07–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.0–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 2.26–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.03–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–3 xG 0.8–1.21 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2010

Swansea City 75 draws6 Millwall

Goals 21–15 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 23 draws5 Millwall

Goals 9–10 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 01 draws4 Millwall

Goals 2–6 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Millwall 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Millwall neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.391.701.751.75
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 624 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match1.241.481.331.29
Goals against / match1.281.171.061.00
Clean sheets26%30%40%33%
Failed to score22%9%21%21%
Both teams scored54%61%48%58%
Over 2.550%52%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.501.38
xG against / match1.371.371.331.51
xG difference-0.15-0.020.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.281.361.471.30
Points vs xPts0.120.340.280.45
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.791.00
Came back from behind28%40%43%60%
Leads held72%69%86%85%
Minutes leading25%28%27%20%
Minutes level48%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing27%23%17%18%
First goal (min)46494451
First goal conceded (min)40374342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.350.38
Late goals against0.300.300.350.25
Style
Possession55%56%48%46%
Shots12.313.612.912.3
On target3.93.84.23.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box58%60%68%65%
Big chances created1.71.72.32.2
Corners4.55.15.75.2
xG from set plays36%36%33%30%
Goals from headers13%16%16%13%
Pressure index12.815.211.99.1
Dominant minutes51.958.044.439.2
Pass accuracy79%80%70%69%
Fouls9.89.112.614.4
Cards2.001.911.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 43% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.4Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3Swansea or Draw 37% P 36%1.36Swansea or Millwall 35% P 35%1.66Draw or Millwall 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.66Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%43%-0.3
Draw29%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 30 270 43'5
2025-04-18 60 220 42'10
2025-04-08 40 250 4'2
2025-04-05 20 230 28'6
2025-03-15 30 201 54'6
2025-03-12 · Millwall –– 19– –7
2025-02-15 · Swansea City 40 270 41'6