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Championship · Matchweek 7
WatfordWatford
2–1
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– WatfordHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,973

Teams

Coaches
Paulo Pezzolano Suárez · Sergej Jakirović
Position
22 · 15
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.4° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.68–6.49 · xPts 5.63

  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.86–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 1.13–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 2–2 xG 0.58–2.13 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 0.59–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 1.53–0.58 UK CHAMP

Hull City

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 9.06–9.08 · xPts 7.29

  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.63–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 2.1–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 2–4 xG 2.42–3.51 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–3 xG 0.51–2.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 3–2 xG 2.4–1.13 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Watford 77 draws8 Hull City

Goals 17–24 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 36%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 44 draws2 Hull City

Goals 7–6 · 1.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 23 draws0 Hull City

Goals 4–2 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Hull City 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–0 Hull City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 46Watford at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.241.611.631.58
W / D / L14 / 15 / 1710 / 7 / 623 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.151.301.491.54
Goals against / match1.411.171.351.33
Clean sheets15%22%29%29%
Failed to score30%30%18%12%
Both teams scored59%52%61%62%
Over 2.548%44%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.341.501.371.27
xG against / match1.251.151.661.91
xG difference0.100.34-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.190.120.27
xPts / match1.431.571.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.200.040.380.49
Game state
Scored first26%30%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.332.712.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.841.130.880.71
Came back from behind47%60%35%33%
Leads held67%91%72%65%
Minutes leading18%25%30%32%
Minutes level49%48%53%52%
Minutes trailing34%27%17%16%
First goal (min)48423233
First goal conceded (min)34364044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%50%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%52%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.300.300.270.33
Late goals against0.280.220.310.38
Style
Possession51%52%45%43%
Shots13.815.711.111.0
On target4.45.44.14.3
Shot conversion8%8%13%14%
Shots inside box58%57%68%68%
Big chances created2.12.42.22.3
Corners4.95.44.44.6
xG from set plays27%23%21%13%
Goals from headers14%17%14%19%
Pressure index10.912.49.37.6
Dominant minutes47.052.239.832.6
Pass accuracy80%81%72%71%
Fouls11.011.111.211.5
Cards2.151.872.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.4Home 39% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.87Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Watford or Draw 33% P 34%1.3Watford or Hull 36% P 36%1.53Draw or Hull 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 56%2.0No 46% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Oliver Langford

Career
352 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.84.05-0.4626
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.97
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3533
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 30 190 55'5
2025-08-16 30 271 30'14
2025-08-09 30 160 71'8
2025-05-08 11 181 45'9
2025-05-03 30 190 29'4
2025-04-26 82 250 13'15
2025-04-18 41 140 7'5
2025-04-12 20 210 64'4
2025-04-05 · Hull City 30 270 87'7
2025-03-28 30 200 17'13