KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 7
WrexhamWrexham
1–1
FT
Derby CountyDerby County

Momentum

– WrexhamDerby County –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,613

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · John Eustace
Position
15 · 22
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.3° (feels 13.5°)
Wind
6.6
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 7.23–9.93 · xPts 5.42

  • W A Norwich City 3–2 xG 1.3–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.4–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 2–0 xG 0.41–2.26 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.53–2.77 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 2–3 xG 1.58–1.94 UK CHAMP

Derby County

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 3.9–10.06 · xPts 3.17

  • L H Preston North End 0–1 xG 0.35–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.32–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 1.45–3.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 0.35–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 3–5 xG 1.44–3.61 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2007

Wrexham 11 draws1 Derby County

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Derby County

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 11 draws1 Derby County

Goals 4–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • W Derby County 1–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Wrexham 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 3–1 Wrexham UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Derby County all · 46Derby County away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.501.43
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 620 / 9 / 1710 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.501.781.461.57
Goals against / match1.411.611.281.39
Clean sheets26%22%26%22%
Failed to score13%4%9%13%
Both teams scored65%74%65%65%
Over 2.550%56%52%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.231.18
xG against / match1.481.281.321.54
xG difference-0.260.26-0.09-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.230.38
xPts / match1.221.541.331.18
Points vs xPts0.320.070.170.25
Game state
Scored first52%56%54%56%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.242.15
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.620.50
Came back from behind46%50%35%23%
Leads held63%62%69%67%
Minutes leading31%30%30%32%
Minutes level46%43%46%46%
Minutes trailing23%26%24%22%
First goal (min)37384035
First goal conceded (min)40374045
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%58%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.260.26
Late goals against0.410.350.300.35
Style
Possession48%51%44%40%
Shots11.314.111.010.0
On target3.84.83.63.4
Shot conversion13%13%13%16%
Shots inside box66%68%70%77%
Big chances created2.32.82.22.2
Corners4.55.24.53.6
xG from set plays32%36%39%33%
Goals from headers29%38%28%25%
Pressure index10.113.110.18.6
Dominant minutes41.951.339.934.2
Pass accuracy78%80%73%70%
Fouls9.78.812.312.8
Cards1.591.262.632.96

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Wrexham or Draw 36% P 36%1.28Wrexham or Derby 37% P 36%1.72Draw or Derby 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%44%-0.2
Draw28%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.25
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4520
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 20 280 7'7
2025-08-23 60 370 12'6
2025-08-16 90 270 27'10
2025-04-12 10 310 88'2
2025-04-05 50 290 59'13
2025-03-08 71 230 12'6
2025-03-01 30 270 33'9
2025-02-21 20 230 57'5
2025-02-11 40 180 75'6
2025-02-08 51 160 78'12