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Championship · Matchweek 8
Blackburn RoversBBR
1–2
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– BBRSwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,013

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Alan Sheehan
Position
20 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Leigh Doughty

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
14.5° (feels 13.8°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.27–6.84 · xPts 7.02

  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 0.65–1.16 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 1–0 xG 1.51–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–2 xG 2.08–2.03 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–0 xG 2.47–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • L H Birmingham City 1–2 xG 0.56–2.0 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

DWDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.0–6.77 · xPts 7.31

  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.77–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–2.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 2–2 xG 0.97–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.56–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.2–0.59 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2011

Blackburn Rovers 64 draws9 Swansea City

Goals 24–30 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 40 draws6 Swansea City

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 10 draws4 Swansea City

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Swansea City 3–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.391.09
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1018 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match0.910.831.241.00
Goals against / match1.221.171.281.39
Clean sheets26%22%26%22%
Failed to score35%30%22%35%
Both teams scored48%56%54%48%
Over 2.539%30%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.221.10
xG against / match1.301.151.371.37
xG difference-0.100.11-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.02-0.10
xPts / match1.321.461.281.19
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first46%39%48%35%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.480.36
Came back from behind26%38%28%20%
Leads held56%40%72%78%
Minutes leading21%14%25%22%
Minutes level55%61%48%47%
Minutes trailing24%24%27%31%
First goal (min)44514643
First goal conceded (min)49534042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.350.26
Late goals against0.390.430.300.30
Style
Possession48%48%55%54%
Shots11.511.612.311.0
On target3.23.23.94.0
Shot conversion8%7%10%9%
Shots inside box67%69%58%56%
Big chances created2.01.71.71.8
Corners5.35.84.54.0
xG from set plays27%30%36%36%
Goals from headers27%26%13%9%
Pressure index10.110.712.810.5
Dominant minutes44.645.851.945.9
Pass accuracy74%73%79%79%
Fouls10.59.89.810.6
Cards2.172.002.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 37% P 38%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.87Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Blackburn or Draw 34% P 34%1.36Blackburn or Swansea 35% P 35%1.5Draw or Swansea 32% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 48%1.72No 54% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%41%41%-0.4

Leigh Doughty

Career
119 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.44 (4.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 93 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.05+0.8378
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.20
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.89 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.17+0.6784
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-30 90 282 35'16
2025-08-23 31 250 48'11
2025-04-26 30 210 37'9
2025-04-12 30 220 7'2
2025-03-01 · Blackburn Rovers 31 260 22'9
2025-01-01 30 200 14'7
2024-12-21 101 290 39'8
2024-12-11 50 220 36'5
2024-11-26 20 150 33'5
2024-11-09 70 260 15'10