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Championship · Matchweek 8
Derby CountyDerby County
1–1
FT
Charlton AthleticCHA

Momentum

– Derby CountyCHA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,966

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Nathan Jones
Position
21 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
16.0° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
1.9
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 221

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

DDWLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 3.32–7.2 · xPts 4.15

  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.86–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–1 xG 0.35–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.32–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 1.45–3.32 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 1–1 xG 0.35–0.8 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.64–4.39 · xPts 8.3

  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 1.16–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.99–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 0.89–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 1.24–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 0–1 xG 2.36–0.77 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2000

Derby County 86 draws5 Charlton Athletic

Goals 28–23 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 52 draws3 Charlton Athletic

Goals 15–12 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 21 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Charlton Athletic 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 3–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 0–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 2–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 3–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 3–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.571.150.96
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 713 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.461.350.960.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.261.39
Clean sheets26%30%28%22%
Failed to score9%4%22%26%
Both teams scored65%65%54%56%
Over 2.552%39%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.151.03
xG against / match1.321.111.551.76
xG difference-0.090.16-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.230.07-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.331.471.191.00
Points vs xPts0.170.09-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first54%52%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.242.332.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.270.38
Came back from behind35%46%24%36%
Leads held69%71%59%44%
Minutes leading30%29%16%14%
Minutes level46%46%56%61%
Minutes trailing24%25%28%26%
First goal (min)40455661
First goal conceded (min)40364350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.260.22
Late goals against0.300.260.330.61
Style
Possession44%48%42%40%
Shots11.011.911.09.2
On target3.63.73.53.0
Shot conversion13%11%9%10%
Shots inside box70%65%68%68%
Big chances created2.22.31.91.7
Corners4.55.54.13.2
xG from set plays39%44%39%44%
Goals from headers28%32%19%20%
Pressure index10.111.67.04.7
Dominant minutes39.945.734.427.4
Pass accuracy73%77%70%69%
Fouls12.311.912.012.7
Cards2.632.302.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.2Draw 29% P 31%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Derby or Draw 33% P 33%1.36Derby or Charlton 35% P 35%1.44Draw or Charlton 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.75Over 34% P 35%1.44Under 66% P 65%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.69 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw31%32%29%-3.3
Away35%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.535%36%41%+4.2

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-13 80 190 34'12
2025-08-30 20 150 52'5
2025-08-16 20 180 74'7
2025-04-21 · Derby County 30 220 10'8
2025-04-09 40 170 37'2
2025-04-05 –– 20– –5
2025-03-11 21 270 38'8
2025-03-08 10 140 50'5
2025-03-01 · Derby County 30 220 19'8
2025-02-22 30 220 45'5