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Championship · Matchweek 8
Hull CityHull City
2–2
FT
Preston North EndPNE

Momentum

– Hull CityPNE –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,624

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
18 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.3°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
48%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 7.83–11.41 · xPts 5.52

  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.18–3.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.63–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 2.1–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 2–4 xG 2.42–3.51 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–3 xG 0.51–2.47 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.66–6.53 · xPts 5.54

  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 0.68–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 1–0 xG 0.74–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 1.13–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.21–1.62 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 1–0 xG 0.9–1.34 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Hull City 116 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 34–24 · 2.23 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 44 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 12–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 22 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 0–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–4 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.301.26
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 715 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.491.441.201.17
Goals against / match1.351.361.351.39
Clean sheets29%28%20%17%
Failed to score18%24%26%26%
Both teams scored61%60%59%61%
Over 2.561%56%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.181.14
xG against / match1.661.421.631.83
xG difference-0.290.04-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.020.020.04
xPts / match1.251.411.131.01
Points vs xPts0.380.270.170.25
Game state
Scored first57%48%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.162.00
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.680.67
Came back from behind35%36%38%33%
Leads held72%80%62%54%
Minutes leading30%28%28%30%
Minutes level53%54%45%43%
Minutes trailing17%18%27%27%
First goal (min)32303632
First goal conceded (min)40384240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.260.22
Late goals against0.310.240.300.26
Style
Possession45%47%46%44%
Shots11.111.210.910.6
On target4.13.83.63.8
Shot conversion13%13%11%11%
Shots inside box68%68%68%66%
Big chances created2.22.11.61.6
Corners4.44.24.53.7
xG from set plays21%27%34%33%
Goals from headers14%9%22%22%
Pressure index9.311.08.88.1
Dominant minutes39.846.740.538.6
Pass accuracy72%73%72%72%
Fouls11.210.810.410.7
Cards2.552.082.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 48% P 48%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.75Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Hull or Draw 37% P 37%1.28Hull or Preston 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Preston 26% P 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 50%1.8No 51% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%48%47%-1.0
Draw27%26%27%+1.9
Away25%26%25%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-22 10 200 30'7
2025-08-29 60 270 45'14
2025-08-23 61 180 25'12
2025-08-09 –– 20– –7
2025-03-12 · Hull City 61 200 45'7
2025-02-15 10 200 82'6
2025-01-31 · Preston North End 20 191 63'9
2025-01-27 30 200 31'4
2025-01-22 70 211 13'5
2025-01-18 30 211 50'8