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Championship · Matchweek 8

Momentum

MIDStoke City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,707

Teams

Coaches
Rob Edwards · Mark Robins
Position
1 · 3
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.8° (feels 15.1°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WWDWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 6.39–5.12 · xPts 7.56

  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.55–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.93–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.76–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.81–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.35–1.13 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.31–6.33 · xPts 6.82

  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 2.14–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 1.1–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.92–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • W A Southampton 2–1 xG 1.29–2.28 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2008

Middlesbrough 96 draws5 Stoke City

Goals 24–17 · 2.05 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 35%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 44 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 31 draws1 Stoke City

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Middlesbrough neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 3–1 Stoke City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Middlesbrough neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.200.96
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 515 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.491.421.110.74
Goals against / match1.020.751.221.22
Clean sheets29%42%28%30%
Failed to score26%29%37%52%
Both teams scored55%46%44%26%
Over 2.553%42%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.241.03
xG against / match1.050.951.431.67
xG difference0.530.67-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.701.801.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first53%54%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.270.08
Came back from behind46%38%22%7%
Leads held79%86%71%75%
Minutes leading32%33%24%16%
Minutes level49%52%50%51%
Minutes trailing19%15%27%32%
First goal (min)37383742
First goal conceded (min)46474440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.150.04
Late goals against0.290.290.350.35
Style
Possession59%60%52%51%
Shots16.217.311.29.8
On target4.85.23.82.8
Shot conversion9%8%10%8%
Shots inside box64%63%65%62%
Big chances created2.42.31.81.4
Corners6.87.86.05.6
xG from set plays24%30%28%19%
Goals from headers12%15%16%19%
Pressure index19.721.013.310.2
Dominant minutes63.163.152.748.2
Pass accuracy84%84%78%78%
Fouls9.39.210.410.2
Cards1.611.082.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 51% P 52%3.5Draw 27% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.2Middlesbrough or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Middlesbrough or Stoke 36% P 37%1.9Draw or Stoke 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 49%1.72Under 55% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.436
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.29
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2247
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 40 150 13'10
2025-09-13 20 130 52'10
2025-08-22 30 200 65'7
2025-08-09 41 260 47'8
2025-05-20 30 220 22'9
2025-05-03 40 250 52'17
2025-04-21 40 251 27'9
2025-04-12 61 200 27'4
2025-04-08 20 250 78'2
2025-03-29 10 270 90'6