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Championship · Matchweek 8
MillwallMillwall
0–4
FT
Coventry CityCVC

Momentum

– MillwallCVC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,802

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Frank Lampard
Position
11 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.4°)
Wind
2.0
Humidity
53%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.65–5.27 · xPts 7.69

  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.28–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.07–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.0–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 2.26–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.03–1.34 UK CHAMP

Coventry City

WDDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 11.14–4.04 · xPts 10.14

  • W H Birmingham City 3–0 xG 2.34–0.36 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 0–0 xG 0.82–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 4.63–0.27 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 2–2 xG 1.64–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Queens Park Rangers 7–1 xG 1.71–1.0 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Millwall 53 draws11 Coventry City

Goals 18–30 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 22 draws6 Coventry City

Goals 7–16 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 01 draws4 Coventry City

Goals 2–9 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Coventry City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–4 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–3 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Coventry City 1–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Coventry City all · 46Coventry City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.752.071.74
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 828 / 11 / 711 / 7 / 5
Goals for / match1.331.382.112.00
Goals against / match1.061.130.981.13
Clean sheets40%46%37%39%
Failed to score21%21%15%13%
Both teams scored48%38%59%56%
Over 2.546%50%63%61%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.632.041.73
xG against / match1.331.151.141.19
xG difference0.180.490.900.54
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.260.070.27
xPts / match1.471.631.831.64
Points vs xPts0.280.120.230.10
Game state
Scored first52%58%65%74%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.432.00
PPG when conceding first0.790.561.551.00
Came back from behind43%27%53%38%
Leads held86%87%80%61%
Minutes leading27%34%38%38%
Minutes level56%50%50%51%
Minutes trailing17%16%12%11%
First goal (min)44373332
First goal conceded (min)43444548
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%53%46%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%62%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.480.39
Late goals against0.350.460.170.17
Style
Possession48%50%55%52%
Shots12.913.516.314.7
On target4.24.65.65.3
Shot conversion10%10%13%14%
Shots inside box68%71%72%71%
Big chances created2.32.42.82.4
Corners5.76.25.34.7
xG from set plays33%36%36%38%
Goals from headers16%19%20%26%
Pressure index11.914.817.012.7
Dominant minutes44.449.758.852.4
Pass accuracy70%72%80%79%
Fouls12.610.99.69.8
Cards1.901.381.611.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
5-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.870.48
3-4-1-21 2%1.01.01.02.311.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.7Home 25% P 26%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Millwall or Draw 26% P 27%1.3Millwall or Coventry 37% P 36%1.28Draw or Coventry 37% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10
2025-08-16 30 220 13'10
2025-05-25 20 350 16'9
2025-05-03 80 270 28'9
2025-04-18 · Millwall 10 280 45'8
2025-03-11 40 210 20'10
2025-03-08 30 192 31'12
2025-02-15 40 220 22'6
2025-02-09 30 210 16'6