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Championship · Matchweek 8

Momentum

QPROXF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,470

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Gary Rowett
Position
10 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.9° (feels 16.0°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 223

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 7.58–7.38 · xPts 7.0

  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.53–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.27–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.41–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.38–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–7 xG 1.0–1.71 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.53–5.93 · xPts 7.22

  • L H Sheffield United 0–1 xG 1.24–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 3–1 xG 1.86–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 2–2 xG 1.95–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 2–2 xG 1.11–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 0.36–1.53 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Queens Park Rangers 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 5–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Queens Park Rangers 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 5–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Queens Park Rangers 22 draws0 Oxford United

Goals 5–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Oxford United 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Oxford United 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.020.78
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1011 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.331.740.980.91
Goals against / match1.591.611.281.39
Clean sheets22%17%17%13%
Failed to score28%17%41%44%
Both teams scored63%74%52%56%
Over 2.563%78%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.170.99
xG against / match1.331.211.431.68
xG difference-0.030.42-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.371.681.210.95
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first33%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.220.17
Came back from behind26%17%19%13%
Leads held84%77%58%44%
Minutes leading20%30%21%19%
Minutes level46%45%47%47%
Minutes trailing34%26%32%34%
First goal (min)45412829
First goal conceded (min)34433538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.150.13
Late goals against0.260.480.150.26
Style
Possession46%47%40%38%
Shots12.714.311.99.8
On target4.15.03.42.6
Shot conversion10%12%8%9%
Shots inside box63%63%54%53%
Big chances created1.82.41.61.6
Corners4.85.44.03.4
xG from set plays31%28%40%33%
Goals from headers17%15%16%19%
Pressure index11.715.46.43.8
Dominant minutes46.754.433.723.1
Pass accuracy76%75%69%70%
Fouls11.011.110.811.0
Cards1.912.131.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 45%3.4Draw 28% P 27%3.5Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28QPR or Draw 37% P 36%1.3QPR or Oxford Utd 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Oxford Utd 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%50%+4.6
Draw27%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4098
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.66
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8
2025-08-30 · Oxford United 30 230 49'4
2025-04-12 90 311 6'3
2025-03-29 40 220 8'8
2025-03-08 20 280 28'8
2025-02-08 40 151 27'5
2025-01-14 20 250 18'6
2025-01-01 · Oxford United 10 260 64'4
2024-11-30 20 130 80'3