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Championship · Matchweek 9
Blackburn RoversBBR
1–1
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– BBRStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,061

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Mark Robins
Position
21 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
11.3° (feels 10.8°)
Wind
13.7
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.45–5.45 · xPts 7.97

  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.74–0.62 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 0.65–1.16 UK CHAMP
  • W A Watford 1–0 xG 1.51–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • L H Norwich City 0–2 xG 2.08–2.03 UK CHAMP
  • W A Hull City 3–0 xG 2.47–0.51 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 3 · xG 6.44–5.09 · xPts 7.64

  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.42–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 2.14–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 1.1–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 0.92–0.94 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 25 matches since 2008

Blackburn Rovers 75 draws13 Stoke City

Goals 26–30 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 32 draws5 Stoke City

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 12 draws2 Stoke City

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.200.96
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1015 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match0.910.831.110.74
Goals against / match1.221.171.221.22
Clean sheets26%22%28%30%
Failed to score35%30%37%52%
Both teams scored48%56%44%26%
Over 2.539%30%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.241.03
xG against / match1.301.151.431.67
xG difference-0.100.11-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.43-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.321.461.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.54-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first46%39%44%35%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.270.08
Came back from behind26%38%22%7%
Leads held56%40%71%75%
Minutes leading21%14%24%16%
Minutes level55%61%50%51%
Minutes trailing24%24%27%32%
First goal (min)44513742
First goal conceded (min)49534440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.150.04
Late goals against0.390.430.350.35
Style
Possession48%48%52%51%
Shots11.511.611.29.8
On target3.23.23.82.8
Shot conversion8%7%10%8%
Shots inside box67%69%65%62%
Big chances created2.01.71.81.4
Corners5.35.86.05.6
xG from set plays27%30%28%19%
Goals from headers27%26%16%19%
Pressure index10.110.713.310.2
Dominant minutes44.645.852.748.2
Pass accuracy74%73%78%78%
Fouls10.59.810.410.2
Cards2.172.002.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 38%3.3Draw 29% P 30%3.0Away 31% P 32%

Double Chance

1.36Blackburn or Draw 35% P 34%1.33Blackburn or Stoke 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Stoke 30% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-01 40 230 74'6
2025-09-20 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8
2025-08-30 30 230 49'4
2025-04-12 90 311 6'3
2025-03-29 40 220 8'8
2025-03-08 20 280 28'8
2025-02-08 40 151 27'5
2025-01-14 20 250 18'6
2025-01-01 10 260 64'4