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Championship · Matchweek 9
Bristol CityBristol City
1–2
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– Bristol CityQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,200

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Julien Stéphan
Position
5 · 10
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Edward Duckworth

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
13.5° (feels 12.4°)
Wind
11.8
Humidity
56%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 8.39–7.51 · xPts 7.34

  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.45–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 1.22–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 0.93–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 4–2 xG 3.51–2.42 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 7.81–6.17 · xPts 8.04

  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.23–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.53–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.27–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Wrexham 3–1 xG 1.41–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.38–1.24 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 30 matches since 2007

Bristol City 1010 draws10 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 34–32 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 24 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 9–10 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 03 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.261.09
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1016 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.281.431.330.91
Goals against / match1.281.351.591.57
Clean sheets30%35%22%26%
Failed to score33%30%28%39%
Both teams scored46%39%63%52%
Over 2.546%48%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.300.98
xG against / match1.481.491.331.45
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.100.220.02-0.07
xPts / match1.201.211.371.07
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first39%44%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.600.60
Came back from behind31%29%26%33%
Leads held77%75%84%100%
Minutes leading30%33%20%10%
Minutes level41%38%46%48%
Minutes trailing29%29%34%42%
First goal (min)32284550
First goal conceded (min)30313423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.390.26
Late goals against0.240.300.260.04
Style
Possession49%52%46%45%
Shots12.212.712.711.1
On target4.14.04.13.2
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box60%59%63%63%
Big chances created1.92.01.81.2
Corners4.84.74.84.3
xG from set plays24%20%31%34%
Goals from headers21%21%17%20%
Pressure index11.914.511.77.9
Dominant minutes43.948.946.738.9
Pass accuracy78%80%76%76%
Fouls9.58.811.010.8
Cards1.831.651.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 50% P 52%3.4Draw 27% P 25%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Bristol City or Draw 39% P 39%1.3Bristol City or QPR 36% P 37%1.9Draw or QPR 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw25%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Edward Duckworth

Career
16 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.0 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.25 cards, 20.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2024-11-03 40 190 61'6