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Championship · Matchweek 9
Derby CountyDerby County
1–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– Derby CountySouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,573

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · William Still
Position
20 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
11.6
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

DWLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.88–7.12 · xPts 5.46

  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.9–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.86–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–1 xG 0.35–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 0.32–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • D A Ipswich Town 2–2 xG 1.45–3.32 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DDLDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.17–4.59 · xPts 8.54

  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.11–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 1.04–0.55 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–3 xG 1.0–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.89–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 2–2 xG 2.13–0.58 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2000

Derby County 39 draws6 Southampton

Goals 20–27 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 15 draws4 Southampton

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 03 draws2 Southampton

Goals 6–11 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 2–2 Derby County pens None–None UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Derby County 2–2 Southampton neutral UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Southampton 4–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–3 Southampton pens None–None UK CHAMP · Play-offs - 1st Round · leg 2/2
  • W Southampton 1–2 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Play-offs - 1st Round · leg 1/2
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.501.571.751.54
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 723 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.461.351.751.83
Goals against / match1.281.171.191.54
Clean sheets26%30%25%8%
Failed to score9%4%12%8%
Both teams scored65%65%71%88%
Over 2.552%39%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.711.64
xG against / match1.321.111.331.57
xG difference-0.090.160.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.230.070.040.20
xPts / match1.331.471.591.41
Points vs xPts0.170.090.160.13
Game state
Scored first54%52%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.242.332.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.620.731.261.20
Came back from behind35%46%54%46%
Leads held69%71%72%62%
Minutes leading30%29%34%31%
Minutes level46%46%49%49%
Minutes trailing24%25%18%20%
First goal (min)40454040
First goal conceded (min)40364446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.380.50
Late goals against0.300.260.270.38
Style
Possession44%48%56%54%
Shots11.011.914.413.1
On target3.63.75.35.1
Shot conversion13%11%12%14%
Shots inside box70%65%68%71%
Big chances created2.22.32.92.8
Corners4.55.55.85.0
xG from set plays39%44%28%32%
Goals from headers28%32%22%19%
Pressure index10.111.617.914.7
Dominant minutes39.945.759.054.2
Pass accuracy73%77%83%82%
Fouls12.311.910.711.5
Cards2.632.301.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-4-31 2%3.03.00.01.470.12

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.2Away 43% P 44%

Double Chance

1.66Derby or Draw 29% P 28%1.36Derby or Southampton 35% P 36%1.3Draw or Southampton 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 49%1.72No 54% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 42%1.61Under 59% P 58%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw29%29%32%+2.9
Away44%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 60 230 12'8
2025-09-20 30 190 55'5
2025-08-16 30 271 30'14
2025-08-09 30 160 71'8
2025-05-08 11 181 45'9
2025-05-03 · Derby County 30 190 29'4
2025-04-26 82 250 13'15
2025-04-18 41 140 7'5
2025-04-12 20 210 64'4
2025-04-05 30 270 87'7