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Championship · Matchweek 9

Momentum

Ipswich TownNorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,809

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Liam Manning
Position
17 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
10.0
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 222

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 10.0–4.91 · xPts 10.03

  • D A Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.69–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 1.55–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 5–0 xG 2.09–0.46 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 2–2 xG 3.32–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–1 xG 1.34–0.9 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.82–11.14 · xPts 5.66

  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.91–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.06–2.14 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.55–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.27–4.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 2.03–2.08 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Ipswich Town 68 draws10 Norwich City

Goals 28–39 · 2.79 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 25 draws3 Norwich City

Goals 11–12 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 21 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Norwich City 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 3–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.411.52
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 119 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.741.871.371.57
Goals against / match1.020.741.221.22
Clean sheets37%44%20%22%
Failed to score13%9%20%13%
Both teams scored56%52%61%65%
Over 2.552%56%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.351.30
xG against / match1.030.841.461.64
xG difference0.801.23-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.020.27
xPts / match1.882.161.351.23
Points vs xPts-0.060.020.060.29
Game state
Scored first54%70%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.680.80
Came back from behind60%86%27%33%
Leads held79%82%68%67%
Minutes leading33%45%28%32%
Minutes level50%48%48%42%
Minutes trailing17%8%24%26%
First goal (min)40324236
First goal conceded (min)40464641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.260.30
Late goals against0.130.040.300.30
Style
Possession56%56%54%52%
Shots15.116.512.611.5
On target5.15.74.54.4
Shot conversion12%11%11%14%
Shots inside box67%68%64%66%
Big chances created2.83.52.32.1
Corners5.76.25.35.0
xG from set plays32%29%25%23%
Goals from headers12%5%10%11%
Pressure index18.820.712.510.8
Dominant minutes62.366.753.247.7
Pass accuracy81%81%79%78%
Fouls11.210.310.210.4
Cards1.931.391.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 59% P 60%4.1Draw 23% P 23%5.25Away 18% P 17%

Double Chance

1.16Ipswich or Draw 41% P 41%1.22Ipswich or Norwich 39% P 39%2.3Draw or Norwich 21% P 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 54%1.9No 49% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home60%59%57%-1.5
Draw23%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 · Norwich City 40 231 31'11
2025-03-01 60 291 14'7
2025-02-25 40 210 50'10
2025-02-08 40 281 88'11
2025-01-11 30 230 6'7