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Championship · Matchweek 9
MillwallMillwall
3–0
FT
West Bromwich AlbionWBA

Momentum

– MillwallWBA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,865

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Ryan Mason
Position
13 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Tim Robinson

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.6° (feels 11.6°)
Wind
7.8
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 7.2–7.02 · xPts 7.21

  • L H Coventry City 0–4 xG 1.58–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.28–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.07–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.0–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–2 xG 2.26–0.41 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.24–5.06 · xPts 7.75

  • W A Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.0–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.72–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.0–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–1 xG 1.59–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 1–0 xG 0.94–0.92 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

Millwall 48 draws2 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 13–9 · 1.57 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 14%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 37 draws0 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 10–4 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 14 draws0 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.150.83
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 813 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.331.381.040.87
Goals against / match1.061.131.261.43
Clean sheets40%46%30%26%
Failed to score21%21%33%35%
Both teams scored48%38%50%48%
Over 2.546%50%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.441.21
xG against / match1.331.151.051.32
xG difference0.180.490.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.471.631.621.29
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first52%58%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.380.14
Came back from behind43%27%17%12%
Leads held86%87%62%71%
Minutes leading27%34%25%18%
Minutes level56%50%50%49%
Minutes trailing17%16%25%33%
First goal (min)44374246
First goal conceded (min)43444541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.260.35
Late goals against0.350.460.260.22
Style
Possession48%50%52%50%
Shots12.913.513.411.7
On target4.24.64.13.5
Shot conversion10%10%8%7%
Shots inside box68%71%65%67%
Big chances created2.32.42.11.9
Corners5.76.25.24.2
xG from set plays33%36%36%30%
Goals from headers16%19%26%30%
Pressure index11.914.813.410.4
Dominant minutes44.449.752.948.6
Pass accuracy70%72%80%79%
Fouls12.610.910.210.4
Cards1.901.381.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 33%3.1Draw 30% P 32%2.6Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.5Millwall or Draw 32% P 32%1.36Millwall or West Brom 35% P 34%1.4Draw or West Brom 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 45%1.66No 56% P 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 37%1.53Under 62% P 63%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 55%1.9Under 49% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away35%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes45%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Tim Robinson

Career
329 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.654.05+1.0892
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.71
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.17+0.1363
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
36' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-20 80 210 39'8
2025-05-25 20 190 35'9
2025-05-10 20 170 43'9
2025-04-26 40 250 14'7
2025-04-19 61 180 18'11
2025-04-05 40 260 28'8
2025-03-15 51 290 21'8
2025-03-09 10 251 90'12
2025-02-22 30 290 15'11
2025-01-25 80 191 28'15