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Championship · Matchweek 9
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1–0
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– PortsmouthMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,397

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Rob Edwards
Position
18 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.7° (feels 12.0°)
Wind
12.0
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.29–6.2 · xPts 6.82

  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.11–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.81–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield Wednesday 0–2 xG 1.93–1.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.81–0.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.62–1.21 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WDWDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.08–5.42 · xPts 7.14

  • D H Stoke City 0–0 xG 1.04–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.55–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.93–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.76–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.81–0.83 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2003

Portsmouth 89 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 28–19 · 2.35 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 45 draws1 Middlesbrough

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 31 draws1 Middlesbrough

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 0–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.201.301.651.52
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 922 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.071.091.491.56
Goals against / match1.391.001.021.28
Clean sheets22%26%29%16%
Failed to score28%30%26%24%
Both teams scored54%48%55%64%
Over 2.544%39%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.591.55
xG against / match1.241.121.051.15
xG difference-0.060.340.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.100.01
xPts / match1.361.601.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first46%48%53%52%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.670.64
Came back from behind27%31%46%50%
Leads held64%67%79%71%
Minutes leading18%23%32%31%
Minutes level51%51%49%47%
Minutes trailing31%27%19%22%
First goal (min)50453736
First goal conceded (min)41454645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.220.28
Late goals against0.280.130.290.28
Style
Possession50%54%59%58%
Shots12.215.416.215.3
On target3.74.44.84.5
Shot conversion9%7%9%10%
Shots inside box65%67%64%65%
Big chances created1.61.82.42.5
Corners5.66.36.85.8
xG from set plays40%41%24%18%
Goals from headers16%20%12%10%
Pressure index11.714.819.718.4
Dominant minutes49.757.063.163.2
Pass accuracy74%74%84%84%
Fouls10.29.89.39.5
Cards1.931.741.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 31%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.3Away 41% P 41%

Double Chance

1.57Portsmouth or Draw 30% P 29%1.3Portsmouth or Middlesbrough 36% P 36%1.36Draw or Middlesbrough 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8480
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.18
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3139
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 60 260 39'9
2025-09-20 80 250 15'10
2025-08-30 20 240 30'6
2025-08-16 70 252 45'10
2025-05-03 50 240 29'8
2025-04-18 · Middlesbrough 22 201 45'10
2025-01-17 40 182 84'7
2025-01-04 10 230 83'5
2024-12-26 · Middlesbrough 41 230 39'13
2024-12-07 70 200 39'11